Global Interest Rates - Yardeni Research
Market Briefing: Global Interest Rates
Yardeni Research, Inc.
June 13, 2023
Dr. Edward Yardeni
516-972-7683 eyardeni@
Debbie Johnson
480-664-1333 djohnson@
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Table Of Contents Table Of Contents
G6 Government Bond Yields
1
US, Europe, & Japan
2
Emerging Markets Bond Yields
3-4
June 13, 2023 / Global Interest Rates
Yardeni Research, Inc.
G6 Government Bond Yields
Figure 1.
7.5
7.0 CANADA
6.5
6.0
5.5
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
6/13
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
.5
.0 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
7
UNITED KINGDOM
6
5
6/13 4
3
2
1
0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
6.0
5.5 GERMANY
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
6/13
2.0
1.5
1.0
.5
.0
-.5
-1.0
-1.5 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Source: Haver Analytics.
6.0
FRANCE
5.5 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 6/13 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 .5 .0 -.5 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 7.5
ITALY
7.0 6.5 6.0 5.5 5.0 4.5 6/13 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 .5 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 2.5
JAPAN
2.0
1.5
1.0
6/13 .5
.0
-.5
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Page 1 / June 13, 2023 / Global Interest Rates
Yardeni Research, Inc.
US, Europe, & Japan
Figure 2.
5.0
GLOBAL GOVERNMENT 10-YEAR BOND YIELDS
4.5
(percent, daily)
4.0
3.5
3.0
5.0
4.5
France (2.95)
Germany (2.46) Japan (0.42)
6/13
4.0
Sweden (2.34)
3.5
UK (4.52)
US (3.84)
3.0
2.5
6/13
2.5
2.0
2.0
1.5
1.5
1.0
1.0
.5
.5
.0
.0
-.5
-.5
-1.0
-1.0
-1.5
-1.5
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Haver Analytics.
Figure 3.
7.0
7.0
6.5 10-YEAR GOVERNMENT BOND YIELDS
6.5
(percent, daily)
6.0
6.0
5.5
10-Year Yields
5.5
5.0
Germany (2.46)
5.0
4.5
Japan (0.45)
4.5
US (3.84)
4.0
6/13
4.0
3.5
3.5
3.0
3.0
2.5
6/13
2.5
2.0
2.0
1.5
1.5
1.0
1.0
.5
6/12
.5
.0
.0
-.5
-.5
-1.0
-1.0
-1.5
-1.5
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Haver Analytics.
Page 2 / June 13, 2023 / Global Interest Rates
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Emerging Markets Bond Yields
Figure 4.
14
14
10-YEAR GOVERNMENT BOND YIELDS IN EMERGING ECONOMIES
(percent)
12
12
Hong Kong (3.55)
India (7.00)
Malaysia (3.81)
10
Philippines (5.98)
10
8
8
6
6
4
4
6/13
2
2
0
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Haver Analytics.
Figure 5.
8
8
10-YEAR GOVERNMENT BOND YIELDS IN EMERGING ECONOMIES
(percent)
Singapore (2.97)
South Korea (3.58)
Taiwan (1.19)
6
Thailand (2.49)
6
4
4
6/13
2
2
0
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Haver Analytics.
Page 3 / June 13, 2023 / Global Interest Rates
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Emerging Markets Bond Yields
Figure 6.
20
20
10-YEAR GOVERNMENT BOND YIELDS IN EMERGING ECONOMIES
19 (percent)
19
18
18
17
17
16
16
15
Brazil (10.99) Chile (5.33)
15
14
Colombia (10.41)
14
13
13
12
12
11
6/13
11
10
10
9
9
8
8
7
7
6
6
5
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
1
1
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Haver Analytics.
Figure 7.
8
OFFICIAL INTEREST RATES (percent, weekly)
6
4
8
Official Interest Rates Fed Funds Rate Target (5.13) ECB Deposit Facility Rate (3.25)
6 6/13
4
2
2
0
0
-2
-2
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Federal Reserve Board, European Central Bank and Haver Analytics.
Page 4 / June 13, 2023 / Global Interest Rates
Yardeni Research, Inc.
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