PDF Syneos Health, Inc. Investment Research ...
[Pages:20]Syneos Health, Inc. INnvasedsatqmGeS:nStYRNeHsearch Presentation
MSoenctthoDr:aHy,e2a0lXthXcare Senior Analyst: Jose Grullon Junior Analysts: Garbis Chekerdjian, Ignacio
Fimbres Spring 2018
1
Valuation Summary
Recommendation Summary
Company (Ticker) Current Trading Price (04-12-2018)
SYNH $ 37.60
Recommendation Target Price Upside Potential
BUY $ 57.46
52.80%
Recommendation
BUY
2
Agenda
INDUSTRY DEFINITION & BREAKDOWN
REIT's COMPANY OVERVIEW
INDUSTRY TREND ANALYSIS
COMPANY TREND ANALYSIS
RISK ANALYSIS
FINANCIAL VALUATIONS
SUMMARY & RECOMMENDATION
3
Industry Definition: CRO Market
Contract Research Organizations (CROs)
? Definition: firms that provide outsourced drug development services, regulatory & scientific support, and physical & human capital to help provide fully outsourced research solutions.
End Markets
Pharma & biotech industries, as well as educational & government research institutions.
Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. NYSE: CRL Mkt. Cap: $5.09 billion
ICON, plc. NasdaqGS: ICLR Mkt. Cap: $6.48 billion
PRA Health Sciences, Inc. NasdaqGS: PRAH Mkt. Cap: $5.55 billion
Syneos Health, Inc. NasdaqGS: SYNH Mkt. Cap: $3.95 billion
IQVIA Holdings, Inc. NYSE: IQV Mkt. Cap: $20.35 billion
Sources ? Capital IQ
4
Industry Breakdown: CRO Market
Drivers
Increased Drug Development Spending & Pricing Pressures will drive demand for outsourced R&D and
clinical trial services
User-Friendly & Advanced Bioinformatics Tools will drive demand for CRO services as more biometric platforms and customized data systems are needed
Strong M&A Activity will continue to drive value as industry consolidates to provide more services to drug
manufacturing companies
Pharma-Emerging Economies will grow at a 7.5% CAGR, driving demand for clinical trial activity in Asia
Strong Demand for Early Stage & Late Stage Clinical Trials will drive market penetration from 30.5% to 46.5% by 2021
CRO Market Revenue Forecast (billions)
$70
$60
$50
$40
$30
$20
$10 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E
8.0% 8.0%
9.3% 0.7% 2.2%
9.9%
CRO Product Segmentation
4.9%
11.6% 10.6%
13.6%
21.2%
Preclinical Phase I Phase II Phase III Phase IV Bioanalytics HEOR Pharmacovigilance
Sources ? Capital IQ, Frost & Sullivan
5
Industry Breakdown: Revenue Generation Model
Input
Biotech / Pharma
CRO
Raw Materials
Manufacturing
Clinical Trial Testing
Patient
Organic/Inorganic Chemical
Manufacturing
Laboratory Essentials
Medical Testing Equipment
Master Cell Line Production
Gene & Protein Duplication
Protein Synthesis
Biologic Preparation
Sources ? IBISWorld, PRAH Form 10-K, Amgen
Preclinical Trial Testing Phase I
Phase II
Phase III
Phase IV
Increased outsourcing for clinical trial services, along
with increased R&D expenditures, will drive future value in the industry
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Company Overview: Syneos Health, Inc.
Syneos Health is the only fully integrated biopharmaceutical solutions organization.
Founded in 1985 as INC Research, Inc. Merged with InVentiv Health, Inc. in August 1,
2017 Rebranded as Syneos Health, Inc. in January 4,
2018 Top 3rd CRO, #1 CCO Operates through its Clinical Solutions and
Commercial Solutions segments to deliver endto-end services to its customers
Oncology
Central Nervous System
Cardiovascular
Infectious Diseases
$2,000 $1,800 $1,600 $1,400 $1,200 $1,000
$800 $600 $400 $200
$0
Syneos Health Service Revenue (thousands)
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Market Share Analysis
37% 17%
12% 3% 4% 5% 4% 5%
6% 7%
Syneos Health WuXi AppTec Charles River Laboratories ICON PPD PRA Health Sciences Parexel International Covance QuintilesIMS Others
Sources ? Frost & Sullivan, Company Data
7
Company Overview: Business & Financial Profile
YoY Growth of 2.6% due strong bookings partially 900
offset by higher cancellations
800
700
Commercial Solutions Segment declined 16.4% due 600
to lower FDA approvals in 2016, higher
500
cancellations, and lower YoY new business awards
400
Better segment integration & cross-selling
300
opportunities will drive future growth
200
100
Increasing drug approvals and lower DFA regulation 0 will drive biopharmaceutical funding
Syneos Health Quarterly Adjusted Revenue (thousands)
Q1 '16
Q2 '16 Q3 '16 Q4 '16 Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Clinical Solutions Commercial Solutions
Q3 '17
Q4 '17
Portfolio and customer diversity, a healthy drug pipeline, and
integrated solutions, give Syneos Health competitive advantage over its peers
Customer Concentration
28%
59% 13%
Top 5 6-10 Remainder
Ending Backlog by Therapeutic Area
12% 11% 3% 4%
16%
31% 23%
Oncology CNS General Medicine CV & Met Respiratory FSP Other
Sources ? Company Data
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