Biden Voter Messaging Survey Analysis - Media Research Center
Biden Voter Messaging Survey
Analysis
N=1,750 Respondents
N=769 Oversample
November 9 - 18, 2020
Margin of Error +/- 2.34%
Oversample Margin of Error +/- 3.53%
Methodology
? Online survey among 1,750 Biden voters in select states conducted November 9 ¨C 18,
2020. States included in this survey were Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina,
Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Respondents were selected randomly from opt-in
panel participants.
? Sampling controls were used to ensure that a proportional and representative number of
respondents were interviewed from such demographic groups as age, gender, race, and
geographic region.
? Gender breakdown: 48% men ¨C 52% women
? ¡À 2.34% overall margin of error at the 95% confidence interval for overall survey. M.O.E.s
for subgroups are larger.
? ¡À 3.53% overall margin of error at the 95% confidence interval for oversample. M.O.E.s
for subgroups are larger.
2
Over one-quarter (26%) of voters surveyed said they cast their
ballot for Joe Biden on Election Day.
When did you cast your ballot for Joe Biden?
26%
24%
23%
24%
19%
16%
15%
18%
7%
8%
10%
6%
2%
On Election Day
1 - 7 Days before
Election Day
8 - 14 Days before
Election Day
15 - 21 Days before
Election Day
Base
22 - 28 Days before
Election Day
More than 28 Days
before Election Day
1%
Do Not Recall
OS
3
By a 25-point margin, those who cast their ballot for Joe Biden in
select states did so via absentee or vote-by-mail ballot.
By what method did you cast your ballot for Joe Biden?
57%
52%
27%
24%
21%
18%
1%
In person on Election Day
In person during the Early Voting period
Base
Absentee or Vote-by-Mail ballot
*
Do Not Recall
OS
4
The vast majority of Biden voters say they decided to vote for Biden over
the last few months or nearly always vote for the Democrat candidate.
When did you decide to vote for Joe Biden?
39%
7%
5%
On Election Day
6%
10%
42%
41%
36%
9%
3%
Within days of Election Day
Over the last few weeks
Base
Over the past few months
I always/nearly always vote for
the Democrat candidate for
President
OS
5
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