Key stage 2 science sampling 2018
Key stage 2 science sampling 2018
Methodology note and outcomes
July 2019
Contents
Table of figures
3
Summary
4
Expiry or review date
4
Who is this publication for?
4
Main points
4
Executive summary
6
Design
7
Assessment matrix
7
Sample selection
8
Methodology
10
Stage 1: item response theory (IRT) analysis
10
Stage 2: latent regression model
10
Stage 3: outcomes analysis
11
Sub-strand analysis
12
Outcomes for 2016 and 2018
14
Gender
16
Free school meals
17
English as an additional language
18
Performance of sub-strands
19
Gender by sub-strand
20
Quality assurance and future reporting arrangements
21
Appendix 1: Test booklet combinations
22
Appendix 2: School sample representation tables
23
Appendix 3: Pupil sample representation tables
26
2
Table of figures
Table 1: Estimated percentage of pupils achieving the expected standard based on KS2 science sampling assessments in 2016 and 2018...........................................................14 Figure 2: Distribution of scaled scores .............................................................................15 Figure 3: Percentage of pupils achieving the expected standard, by gender...................16 Figure 4: Percentage of pupils achieving the expected standard, by FSM eligibility........17 Figure 5: Percentage of pupils achieving the expected standard, by EAL .......................18 Table 2: Performance on sub-strands..............................................................................19 Table 3: Performance on sub-strands by gender.............................................................20 Table A2.1: 2016 school-level sample representation .....................................................24 Table A2.2: 2018 school-level sample representation .....................................................25 Table A3.1: 2016 pupil-level sample representation ........................................................26 Table A3.2: 2018 pupil-level sample representation ........................................................27
3
Summary
This publication provides information on the methodology and outcomes of the key stage 2 (KS2) science sampling assessment in 2018. This publication:
? links the 2018 outcomes to the 2016 science sampling assessment outcomes ? contains technical information on the matrix sampling method and analysis ? provides information on the outcomes of the analysis
Expiry or review date
This publication will be reviewed before July 2021.
Who is this publication for?
This publication is for:
? measurement and assessment experts ? school leaders ? school staff ? governing bodies
It applies to all maintained schools, academies and free schools following the national curriculum in science.
Main points
The purpose of the KS2 science sampling assessment is to monitor national performance in science. It is not possible or appropriate to provide information on individual or school performance.
The biennial KS2 science sampling approach is similar to large-scale international assessments, such as the Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS) and the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA). These types of large-scale sampling assessments seek to obtain valid and reliable measures of the achievement of the national cohort by administering assessments to a sample of pupils.
The main areas of focus for the 2016 and 2018 science sampling assessments outcomes are detailed in below:
? an estimate of the overall performance of the national cohort in terms of a scaled score based on the 2016 scaled score range (70-120)
? the estimated percentage of pupils achieving the expected standard ? overall performance by gender
4
? overall performance by pupils with English as an additional language (EAL) ? overall performance by pupils eligibile for free school meals (FSM) ? performance on the 4 content sub-strands of the national curriculum (biology,
chemistry, physics and working scientifically) ? performance on the 4 content sub-strands of the national curriculum (biology,
chemistry, physics and working scientifically) by gender
5
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