Demographia United States Metropolitan Areas: 2030 ...

[Pages:7]Demographia United States Metropolitan Areas: 2030 Population Projections

(2007 Base)

11 July 2008

POPULATION PROJECTIONS: UNITED STATES METROPOLITAN AREAS: 2030

Rank Metropolitan Statistical Area (As Defined at 2007.07.01)

1 New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-PA 2 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, CA 3 Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, IL-IN-WI 4 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 5 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA 6 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX 7 Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ 8 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 9 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA 10 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL 11 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD 12 Boston-Cambridge-Quincy, MA-NH 13 San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA 14 Detroit-Warren-Livonia, MI 15 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 16 Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI 17 Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL 18 Denver-Aurora, CO /1 19 San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA 20 Las Vegas-Paradise, NV 21 Orlando-Kissimmee, FL 22 St. Louis, MO-IL

2007 Census Bureau Estimate

2030 Projections Case A: 2000- Case B: 2004-

MID-POINT 2007 RATE 2007 RATE

18,816,000 12,875,600

9,524,700 6,145,000 5,278,900 5,628,100 4,179,400 5,306,600 4,081,400 5,413,200 5,828,000 4,482,900 4,203,900 4,467,600 3,309,300 3,208,200 2,723,900 2,464,900 2,974,900 1,836,300 2,032,500 2,803,700

19,883,400 13,707,000 10,790,000

9,451,300 8,690,200 8,676,100 7,387,700 6,668,900 6,614,000 6,387,400 6,240,200 4,724,000 4,550,200 4,337,100 4,267,600 3,947,600 3,787,300 3,420,100 3,354,400 3,278,000 3,274,700 3,134,000

20,298,400 14,398,800 10,833,000

9,203,200 8,493,800 8,492,000 7,084,000 6,870,100 6,672,400 6,656,900 6,262,600 4,741,600 4,416,600 4,499,100 4,137,000 3,938,700 3,754,700 3,338,300 3,455,900 3,265,300 3,244,200 3,132,900

19,468,300 13,015,100 10,747,000

9,699,300 8,886,500 8,860,100 7,691,400 6,467,600 6,555,500 6,117,800 6,217,800 4,706,400 4,683,700 4,175,000 4,398,200 3,956,400 3,819,800 3,501,800 3,252,800 3,290,700 3,305,100 3,135,000

23 Portland-Vancouver-Beaverton, OR-WA 24 San Antonio, TX 25 Baltimore-Towson, MD 26 Sacramento--Arden-Arcade--Roseville, CA 27 Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, NC-SC 28 Austin-Round Rock, TX 29 Cincinnati-Middletown, OH-KY-IN 30 Kansas City, MO-KS 31 Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN 32 Indianapolis-Carmel, IN 33 Columbus, OH 34 San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 35 Pittsburgh, PA 36 Raleigh-Cary, NC 37 Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor, OH 38 Jacksonville, FL 39 Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC 40 Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI 41 Richmond, VA 42 Salt Lake City, UT 43 Providence-New Bedford-Fall River, RI-MA 44 Oklahoma City, OK 45 Memphis, TN-MS-AR 46 Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN 47 Birmingham-Hoover, AL 48 Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT 49 New Orleans-Metairie-Kenner, LA 50 Tucson, AZ 51 Rochester, NY 52 Fresno, CA 53 Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY 54 Tulsa, OK 55 Albuquerque, NM 56 Honolulu, HI 57 Bakersfield, CA

2,175,100 1,990,700 2,668,100 2,091,100 1,651,600 1,598,200 2,133,700 1,985,400 1,521,400 1,695,000 1,754,300 1,803,600 2,355,700 1,047,600 2,096,500 1,300,800 1,658,800 1,544,400 1,213,000 1,100,000 1,600,900 1,193,000 1,280,500 1,233,700 1,108,200 1,189,100 1,030,400

967,100 1,030,500

899,300 1,128,200

905,800 835,100 905,600 790,700

3,004,800 2,979,800 2,959,400 2,853,600 2,840,800 2,809,000 2,514,300 2,457,400 2,253,900 2,238,300 2,191,700 2,159,600 2,104,800 1,936,300 1,885,800 1,880,300 1,843,000 1,659,000 1,617,700 1,607,400 1,557,700 1,542,900 1,538,800 1,476,500 1,304,600 1,296,600 1,152,900 1,095,400

993,200 991,400 977,800 960,000 949,300 932,300 926,100

2,945,600 3,063,900

2,865,900 3,093,700

3,025,200 2,893,600

3,002,300 2,704,900

2,656,000 3,025,500

2,670,300 2,947,700

2,517,400 2,511,100

2,445,200 2,469,600

2,179,100 2,328,600

2,223,700 2,252,800

2,189,000 2,194,300

2,007,500 2,311,600

2,119,000 2,090,500

1,832,000 2,040,600

1,930,100 1,841,500

1,864,100 1,896,500

1,911,600 1,774,400

1,680,100 1,637,800

1,576,800 1,658,500

1,510,500 1,704,300

1,645,900 1,469,400

1,499,800 1,585,900

1,513,600 1,563,900

1,455,100 1,497,800

1,285,000 1,324,200

1,312,200 1,281,000

See Note

1,089,400 1,101,300

1,005,000

981,300

999,700

983,000

996,900

958,600

951,600

968,400

941,900

956,700

937,100

927,400

922,100

930,000

58 Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT 59 Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA 60 Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY 61 Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ 62 New Haven-Milford, CT 63 Baton Rouge, LA 64 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX 65 Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA 66 Dayton, OH 67 Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI 68 Worcester, MA 69 El Paso, TX 70 Columbia, SC 71 Sarasota-Bradenton-Venice, FL 72 Greensboro-High Point, NC 73 Stockton, CA 74 Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL 75 Knoxville, TN 76 Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR 77 Boise City-Nampa, ID 78 Charleston-North Charleston, SC 79 Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY 80 Akron, OH 81 Springfield, MA 82 Lakeland, FL 83 Colorado Springs, CO 84 Greenville-Mauldin-Easley, SC 85 Toledo, OH 86 Syracuse, NY 87 Wichita, KS 88 Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA 89 Provo-Orem, UT 90 Madison, WI 91 Ogden-Clearfield, UT 92 Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL

895,000 829,900 853,400 803,800 845,500 770,000 710,500 798,400 835,500 776,700 781,400 734,700 716,000 687,200 698,500 671,000 590,600 681,500 666,400 587,700 630,100 669,900 699,400 682,700 574,700 609,100 613,800 651,000 645,300 596,500 546,600 493,300 555,600 518,300 536,200

899,600 893,400 877,400 867,200 862,000 852,100 849,200 827,500 820,400 807,300 803,600 795,100 785,500 778,100 762,400 754,900 753,400 751,800 727,100 720,100 715,300 705,700 699,400 681,700 681,100 676,900 675,500 639,900 636,900 625,200 617,300 608,400 606,200 597,700 588,400

905,800 892,700 880,900 867,800 866,600 834,900 852,000 841,600 822,600 811,600 810,900 790,000 785,100 784,800 753,300 777,300 742,100 747,600 722,400 710,400 711,900 717,500 702,800 684,900 667,100 680,400 667,500 642,400 640,100 621,700 612,100 610,400 608,900 594,200 596,500

893,300 894,100 873,800 866,500 857,400 869,300 846,300 813,400 818,100 802,900 796,200 800,100 785,900 771,400 771,400 732,500 764,600 756,000 731,800 729,800 718,700 693,900 696,000 678,500 695,000 673,300 683,500 637,300 633,600 628,700 622,400 606,400 603,500 601,200 580,300

93 Jackson, MS 94 Modesto, CA 95 Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC 96 Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL 97 Chattanooga, TN-GA 98 Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA 99 Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA 100 Durham, NC 101 Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA 102 Portland-South Portland-Biddeford, ME 103 Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR-MO 104 Lancaster, PA 105 Winston-Salem, NC 106 Spokane, WA 107 Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL 108 Lexington-Fayette, KY 109 Port St. Lucie, FL 110 Springfield, MO 111 Visalia-Porterville, CA 112 Reno-Sparks, NV 113 Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA 114 York-Hanover, PA 115 Lansing-East Lansing, MI 116 Asheville, NC 117 Brownsville-Harlingen, TX 118 Huntsville, AL 119 Fort Wayne, IN 120 Reading, PA 121 Salem, OR 122 Corpus Christi, TX 123 Flint, MI 124 Manchester-Nashua, NH 125 Mobile, AL 126 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood, TX 127 Vallejo-Fairfield, CA

534,000 511,300 528,500 500,400 514,600 528,900 549,400 479,600 570,700 513,100 435,700 498,500 463,200 456,200 453,500 447,200 400,100 420,000 421,600 410,300 464,400 421,000 456,400 404,300 387,200 386,600 410,100 402,000 386,700 414,400 434,700 402,300 404,400 370,000 408,600

572,500 563,000 558,800 555,300 553,400 551,400 544,500 537,700 537,200 529,300 528,300 526,400 509,600 499,200 489,200 489,000 483,400 476,300 476,100 472,300 465,800 465,100 459,500 441,500 437,400 435,500 430,700 430,500 428,000 427,900 427,600 418,700 414,400 413,700 413,400

571,000 574,800 557,700 557,600 553,200 549,000 539,000 534,900 538,200 537,600 524,700 526,000 504,200 494,800 495,100 485,900 482,300 471,900 476,100 477,900 468,500 460,600 464,600 439,300 439,500 430,900 429,700 430,300 426,400 425,900 432,500 422,900 408,900 409,200 420,600

573,900 551,100 559,800 552,900 553,600 553,800 549,900 540,400 536,100 520,900 531,900 526,800 514,900 503,500 483,200 492,000 484,500 480,700 476,100 466,700 463,100 469,500 454,400 443,700 435,200 440,100 431,700 430,600 429,600 429,900 422,600 414,400 419,800 418,200 406,200

128 Wilmington, NC 129 Santa Barbara-Santa Maria-Goleta, CA 130 Canton-Massillon, OH 131 Salinas, CA 132 Anchorage, AK 133 Shreveport-Bossier City, LA 134 Ocala, FL 135 Montgomery, AL 136 Rockford, IL 137 Tallahassee, FL 138 Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL 138 Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC 140 Peoria, IL 141 Trenton-Ewing, NJ 142 Ann Arbor, MI 143 Naples-Marco Island, FL 144 Savannah, GA 145 Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX 146 Eugene-Springfield, OR 147 Evansville, IN-KY 148 Fayetteville, NC 149 Kalamazoo-Portage, MI 150 Fort Collins-Loveland, CO 151 Green Bay, WI 152 South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI 153 Lincoln, NE 154 Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC 155 Kingsport-Bristol-Bristol, TN-VA 156 Boulder, CO /1 157 Fort Smith, AR-OK 158 Roanoke, VA 159 Greeley, CO /1 160 Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV 161 Spartanburg, SC 162 Charleston, WV

339,500 404,200 407,200 407,600 362,300 387,600 324,900 366,000 352,300 352,300 376,200 360,500 371,200 365,400 350,000 315,800 329,300 376,200 343,600 349,700 348,900 323,300 287,600 301,100 316,600 292,200 249,900 303,700 290,300 289,700 296,500 243,800 261,200 275,500 304,000

411,900 407,500 405,800 405,200 402,500 402,400 397,500 389,700 387,500 384,800 379,800 379,800 379,200 375,800 372,400 370,300 369,000 366,800 366,500 356,600 354,900 330,600 322,600 317,900 317,400 316,800 312,300 311,700 309,400 308,400 307,600 303,500 300,900 300,700 298,700

405,300 408,700 407,400 412,200 405,700 399,400 391,600 385,500 384,600 384,300 376,500 378,400 376,000 379,800 376,300 379,600 366,200 367,500 364,300 356,600 361,500 331,400 323,100 319,500 316,300 317,300 303,400 309,100 309,500 306,100 304,900 306,400 300,100 297,400 298,300

418,500 406,200 404,200 398,100 399,200 405,300 403,300 393,900 390,400 385,200 383,100 381,200 382,400 371,800 368,500 361,000 371,700 366,100 368,700 356,600 348,200 329,800 322,000 316,200 318,400 316,200 321,200 314,200 309,200 310,600 310,200 300,500 301,700 304,000 299,100

163 Clarksville, TN-KY 164 Utica-Rome, NY 165 Atlantic City, NJ 166 Gainesville, FL 167 Lubbock, TX 168 Columbus, GA-AL 169 Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH 170 Lafayette, LA 171 Erie, PA 172 Holland-Grand Haven, MI 173 San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA 174 Merced, CA 175 Duluth, MN-WI 176 Norwich-New London, CT 177 Laredo, TX 178 Olympia, WA 179 Cedar Rapids, IA 180 Sioux Falls, SD 181 Kennewick-Richland-Pasco, WA 182 Lynchburg, VA 183 Prescott, AZ 184 Amarillo, TX 185 Gulfport-Biloxi, MS 186 Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA

261,800 294,900 270,600 257,100 267,200 282,800 284,000 256,500 279,100 259,200 262,400 245,500 274,300 267,400 233,200 238,600 252,800 227,200 229,000 243,600 212,600 242,200 231,500 251,700

295,800 290,600 284,600 284,100 283,800 283,400 280,300 277,800 277,400 277,000 276,500 275,900 272,800 272,000 271,600 271,100 269,100 267,900 264,900 263,100 261,000 257,900 253,300 249,900

291,900

299,700

290,000

291,200

288,900

280,200

281,900

286,200

284,900

282,600

283,400

283,300

279,500

281,100

274,500

281,000

277,400

277,400

279,600

274,300

277,500

275,500

280,600

271,100

273,000

272,500

275,500

268,400

273,000

270,200

269,800

272,300

268,200

269,900

267,300

268,400

266,500

263,200

258,700

267,400

257,800

264,200

257,900

257,800

See Note

247,500

252,200

Method Notes Allocates change based upon share of change in 2000-2007 and 2004-2007 Assumes share of national projected population growth as represented in Case A and Case B Assumes metropolitan share of population rises 3.3 percent New Orleans & Gulport: Assumes 1/2 Katrina population loss is restored, with underlying 2000-2005 rate.

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