BWB’s TOP TEN LIST OF U - FEMA



SELECT LIST OF U.S. CATASTROPHES WAITING TO HAPPEN

B. Wayne Blanchard, Ph.D., CEM

Emergency Management Higher Education Project Manager

Alphabetical Listing May 10, 2006 Working Draft

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1. Anchorage Earthquake

2. Austin, TX Wildfire

3. Beaumont, TX Hurricane

4. Biloxi, MS Hurricane

5. Boston, MA Earthquake, LNG Explosion, Hurricane

6. Charleston, SC Earthquake, Hurricane

7. East Coast Tsunami (Canary Islands Volcano- though very long shot)

8. Florida Keys Hurricane

9. Freeport, TX Flooding, Hurricane, Levee Failure

10. Galveston, TX Hurricane

11. Gulfport, MS Hurricane

12. Houston, TX Flooding, Hurricane

13. Lake Okeechobee Dike/Levee Failure

14. Las Vegas Terrorism

15. Los Angeles Earthquake, Terrorism

16. Memphis Earthquake

17. Miami, Ft. Lauderdale Hurricane

18. Mississippi Gulf Hurricane

19. Mobile, AL Hurricane

20. Myrtle Beach SC Hurricane

21. Nationally Cities near Chemical Plants, could kill thousands

22. Nationally Cities near Nuclear Power Plants – Nuclear Accident

23. Nationally Pandemic

24. New Jersey Chemical Release/Explosion/Terrorism

25. New Orleans Hurricane, Levee Failure

26. New York City, Long Island Terrorism, Hurricane, Earthquake

27. Norfolk, VA Hurricane

28. Oregon/Wash. Coast Earthquake & Tsunami

29. Palm Beach, FL Hurricane

30. Port Arthur, TX Hurricane

31. Sacramento Flooding from levee break

32. Salt Lake City Earthquake

33. San Bernardino Earthquake

34. San Francisco Earthquake (e. g. San Andreas Fault)

35. Seattle Earthquake

36. Southern California Wildfire and Earthquake

37. St. Louis Earthquake

38. Tampa, St. Pete FL Hurricane

39. Texas City, TX Flooding, Hurricane, Levee Failure

40. U.S. Pandemic – e. g. influenza

41. U.S. Nuclear Power Plant Catastrophic Failure

42. Washington DC Terrorism

43. Washington State Mt. St. Helens Volcano Eruption

44. Wilmington, NC Hurricane

45. Yellowstone Super Volcanic Eruptions (long shot)

MOST LIKELY – SUBJECTIVE JUDGEMENT

1. San Francisco Earthquake (e. g. San Andreas Fault)

2. Southern California (esp. LA & San Bernardino) Earthquake, Terrorism (LA), Wildfire

3. U.S. Pandemic – e. g. influenza

4. New Orleans Levee Failure/Hurricane

5. Miami Hurricane

6. Tampa/St. Petersburg, FL Hurricane

7. NYC & Long Island Terrorism, Hurricane, Earthquake

8. Washington DC Terrorism

9. Memphis Earthquake

10. Sacramento & Central California Flooding from Levee Break

11. Other South Atlantic and Gulf Coast Cities, e.g., Hurricane

a. Beaumont, TX

b. Biloxi, MS

c. Charleston (also Earthquake)

d. Florida Keys

e. Fort Lauderdale, FL

f. Freeport, TX (also Flooding, Levee Failure)

g. Galveston, TX

h. Gulfport, MS

i. Houston, TX Hurricane, Flooding

j. Lake Okeechobee, FL Dike/Levee Failure

k. Mobile, AL

l. Myrtle Beach, SC

m. Norfolk, VA

n. Palm Beach, FL

o. Port Arthur, TX

p. Texas City, TX (Also Flooding, Levee Failure)

q. Wilmington, NC

12. Oregon/Wash. Coast Earthquake & Tsunami

13. St. Louis Earthquake

14. Salt Lake City Earthquake

15. Seattle Earthquake (1,600 dead, $33B)

16. Anchorage Earthquake

17. Las Vegas Terrorism

18. Boston, MA Earthquake, LNG Explosion, Hurricane

19. New Jersey, etc. Chemical Release/Explosion/Terrorism

20. Any City Near Nuclear Power Plant Nuclear Power Plant Accident

21. Washington State Mt. St. Helens Volcano Eruption

22. Austin, TX Wildfire

23. East Coast Tsunami (Canary Islands Vol.) (long shot)

24. Yellowstone Super Volcanic Eruptions (long shot)

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