Peter J. Webster



Professor Peter J. Webster

School of Earth & Atmospheric Sciences

Georgia Institute of Technology

pjw@eas.gatech.edu

Education:

1972 Ph.D.: Massachusetts Institute of Technology

1964 BSc: Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology

Professional:

2010- Professor, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology

2002-2010 Professor, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology

2012- Consultant, Natural Resources Defense Council: “Predicting heat stress in Gujarat, India”.

2011- Consultant, World Bank on Pakistani/Bangladeshi flooding

2011- Consultant, World Bank on the Bangladesh Sundarbans NLTA

2009 Consultant, World Bank. Tropical cyclone hazards in the Caribbean.

2006- Chief Scientist, Climate Forecast Applications Network

1992-2002: Director and Professor, Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado

1983-1992: Professor of Meteorology, The Pennsylvania State University

1990-1991: Visiting Scientist, European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Visiting Professor, University of Reading

1982-1983: G. J. Haltiner Chair Professor, Department of Meteorology, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, USA

1979-1983: Adjunct Professor, Department of Mathematics, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia

1981-1982: Visiting Professor, TATA Institute of Fundamental Research, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India

1977-1983 Principal Research Scientist, Division of Atmospheric Physics, CSIRO, Melbourne, Australia

1973-1977: Assistant Professor, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, U.S.A.

1972-1973: Post-Doctoral Fellow, Department of Atmospheric Science, University of California, Los Angeles, U.S.A.

Honors and Awards:

2016 Sigma Xi Sustained Research Award: Georgia Institute of Technology

2016 American Meteorological Society Editor’s Award

2015 International Award: American Geophysical Union

2015 116th Sir Edmund Halley Lecturer June, Oxford University UK

2014 Honorary Fellow: Chinese-American Oceanic and Atmospheric Association

2013 Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecturer: February 2013, AMS Annual Meeting, Atlanta GA.

2012 Mason Gold Medal: Royal Meteorological Society

2010: No 47: Discover Magazine Top 100 Science Stories 2009 for Kim, H., P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry, 2009: Impact of shifting patterns of Pacific Ocean warming on the frequency and tracks of North Atlantic tropical cyclones. Science, 325, 77-80

2007: Outstanding Faculty Research Author Award: Georgia Tech

2007: Jule G. Charney Lecturer, American Geophysical Society, Spring meeting, Acapulco Mexico

2006 Best Faculty Paper Award: Georgia Institute of Technology

2006: No 1: Discover Magazine Top 100 Science Stories 2009 for Webster, P. J., G. J. Holland, J. A. Curry and H-R. Chang, 2005: “ Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration and intensity in a warming environment.” Science, 309 (5742), 1844-1846

2005: Fellow: American Association for the Advancement of Science

2004: Carl Gustav Rossby Research Gold Medal: American Meteorological Society

2003: Adrian Gill Medal: Royal Meteorological Society

2000: Fellow: American Geophysical Union

1999: Special Creativity Award: National Science Foundation

1995: Special Achievement Award: American Meteorological Society

1990: Jule G. Charney Award: American Meteorological Society

1990: Special Creativity Award: National Science Foundation

1990: Senior Humboldt Research Award: Humboldt Foundation

1989: The Wilson Research Award: The Pennsylvania State University

1984: Fellow: American Meteorological Society

1984: Fellow: Royal Meteorological Society

Corporate Activities:

2006. Chief Scientist and co-founder: Climate Forecast Application Network (CFAN): A Georgia Tech Enterprise Company

1998-2006 Board member: Aerosonde Pty Litd

2000-2004 CEO: Aerosonde North America

Committees and Appointments:

2015 Past-President: Atmospheric Sciences Section, American Geophysical Union

2012-2014 President: Atmospheric Sciences Section, American Geophysical Union

2012- American Geophysical Union, Thriving Earth Enterprise (TEX) Review Board.

2011-2014 American Geophysical Council Leadership Team

2011-2012 President-Elect: Atmospheric Sciences Section, American Geophysical Union

2010 Scientific Steering Group: DYNAMO project in North Indian Ocean

2008 Nicholas School of the Environment Duke University. Academic review committee.

2006-2010 Member: NRC Research Associateship Programs on the Earth & Atmospheric Sciences Panel

2006-2008 Presidential Climate Change Science Program’s (CCSP) Synthesis and Assessment Product 3.3

2005-2006 AGU committee of experts on the rebuilding of New Orleans.

2004-2005 Member: NOAA Hurricane Intensity Committee

2001-2005: Co-chair, CLIVAR Asian - Australian Monsoon Panel

2001- Co-convener, NCAR summer colloquium (with A. M. Moore) "Tropical Atmosphere and Oceans", July 9-23

2000- Director and Principal Scientist: Climate Forecast Applications in Bangladesh (CFAB) project

1999 Member, Asian-Australian Monsoon Working Group, National Research Council, Washington, DC

1998 Advisor: Indian Ocean Climate Initiative, Western Australian Government

1998-1999 Member: International Research Institute Advisory Board (Modeling)

1998-1999 Member: Climate Research Committee, National Academy of Science

1998 Organizer and Program Chair: Workshop on the Asian-Australian Monsoon, St. Michaels, Maryland

1994-1998 Chair, National Academy of Sciences Global Ocean Atmosphere Land System Panel

1997-1998 Member: USGCRP Committee (ex officio) Nominating Committee, American Meteorological Society

1997 Nominating Committee, American Meteorological Committee

1994 Member: DOE/ARM Tropical Western Pacific Site Advisory Committee

1995 Chair: Scientific Organizing Committee; WCRP International TOGA Conference, Melbourne, Australia, April.

1996 Member: WCRP CLIVAR Working Group on the Asian-Australian Monsoons

1994-1998 Member of the White House Review Committee on the US Global Climate Research Program

1993 Co-convener (with R. Lukas), TOGA COARE Session, AGU Fall Meeting, December, San Francisco.

1993 Co-convener (with G. Holland), Predictability of Low Frequency Systems, IAMAP Meeting, Yokahama, Japan, July.

1989-1994 Chairperson, US TOGA COARE Panel

1988-1994 Co-chairperson, US TOGA COARE Science Working Group

1985-1991 Chairperson, WCRP TOGA Scientific Steering Group

1983-1995 Member of the Chinese-American monsoon research group.

1983-1987 Member, ICSU/WMO Joint Scientific Committee (JSC)

1982-1995 Member, National Academy of Science TOGA Panel

1985-1995 Member, WCRP TOGA Scientific Steering Group

1984-1990 Member, Executive Committee NASA STEP Project

1977-1983 Member, International Commission on Dynamic Meteorology

1987-1988 Chairman, AMS Committee on Climate Variations

1979-1982 Member, Australian Academy of Science Committee on Climate of Australia and New Zealand.

1974-1980 Member of the International Monsoon Experiment Steering Group.

Editorships:

1999: Associate Editor, Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences: Academic Press

1998: Guest Editor, Journal of Geophysical Research (Atmospheres & Oceans). Special TOGA Decade Edition.

1995: Editor of the TOGA Volumes: The Proceedings of the International TOGA Conference. Melbourne, Australia, April 1-7.

1989: Guest Editor, Journal of Geophysical Research (Atmospheres & Oceans)

1986-1990: Associate Editor of the Journal of Atmospheric Sciences

1983-1986: Chief Editor, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

PhD Graduates, Theses and Current Positions:

2016 Emily Christ: Optimizing Yield with Agricultural and Weather Forecasts (CFAN, Atlanta)

2013 Fernando Hirata: Intraseasonal oscillations in South America, Research Associate, Univeriadade Federal do Parana, Brazil

2012 James Belanger: Predictability and prediction of North Atlantic tropical cyclones. Georgia Institute of Technology (co-advised with Prof. J. A. Curry)

2012 Manuel Zuluaga: Spatio-temporal Variability of Aerosols in the Tropics Relationship with Atmospheric and Oceanic Environments. University of Washington.

2011 Asuka Suzuki-Parker: An assessment of uncertainties and limitations in simulating tropical cyclones and future changes: National Center for Atmospheric Research.

2010 Matthew Widlansky: Evolution of the South Pacific Convergence Zone: International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii, Hawaii.

2009 Sara Vieria: Formation Processes of African Easterly Waves. Assistant Professor, Medellin, Colombia

2009 Galina Cherikova: Interannual variability of the Indian Ocean heat transport and its correlation with climate modes. University of Colorado. Desert Research Institute, Reno Nevada

2008 Toma, Violeta: Instability of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Research Associate, School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Climate Forecast Applications Network, Atlanta GA

2007 Jian, Jun: Predictability of current and future multi-river discharge: The Ganges, Brahmaputra, Yangtze, Blue Nile and Murray-Darling Rivers. Assistant Professor, Dalian Maritime University, People’s Republic of China

2006 Hoyos, Carlos: Intraseasonal variability in the monsoon regions: Understanding and prediction. Georgia Tech, Senior Research Scientist

2005 Hopson, Thomas: Operational Flood forecasting for Bangladesh. Research Associate, National Center for Atmospheric Research.

2004 Halkides, Daria: (with Prof. Weiqing Han) The effects of the seasonal cycle on the development and termination of the Indian Ocean Zonal Mode. Scientist, NASA JPL.

2002 Sahami, Kamran: Aspects of the heat balance of the Indian Ocean on intra-annual and interannual time scales. Postdoc. Assistant professor, Metro. State.

2000: Oefkle-Clark, C., Influence of SSTs on the Littoral Zones of the Indian Ocean: Postdoc., University of Colorado and Florida State University

1999: Lawrence, D., "Intraseasonal variability of the South Asian monsoon." Research Scientist, NCAR.

1998: Loschnigg, J., "On the heat balance of the Indian Ocean," Assistant Director Office of Science and Technology, White House, DC.

1998: Quan, X-. W., "Interannual variability associated with ENSO: Seasonal dependence and interdecadal change." Res. Assoc. NOAA/CRC

1998: Wheeler, M., "Convectively-coupled equatorial waves." Senior Research Scientist, BMRC, Australia

1997: Compo, G., "Modulation of East-Asian pressure surges." Res. Assoc. NOAA/CRC

1997: Torrence, C., "The El Nino-Southern Oscillation: Interannual predictability and interdecadal variability." Res. Scientist. RSI

1997: Fasullo, J., "Analysis and Interpretation of tropical intraseasonal variability." Res. Assoc. NCAR

1997: Duane, G., "Atmospheric self-organization: A thermodynamic view and a dynamical systems view." Research Associate NCAR

1994: Tomas, R., "A Horizontal and vertical structure of cross-equatorial wave propagation." Res. Assoc. NCAR

1994: Dixit, S., "Mean flow and interannual variability in the Pacific Ocean." SUN Microsystems

1993: Reynolds, C., "Regional sources of error growth in the National Meteorological Center's Medium-Range Forecast model." Res. Scientist, Naval Res. Lab.

1991: Wainer, I., "Monsoon-ENSO relationships." Assoc. Prof. Univ. San Paulo, Brazil

1990: Yang, S., "Atmospheric teleconnections: Emphasis on the El Nino-Southern Oscillation and monsoons." Senior Res. Sci. NASA/Goddard

1990: Tilley, J. S., "On the application of edge-wave theory to terrain-bounded cold surges: A numerical study." Res. Assoc. Univ. Alaska

1989: Zhang, C., "Equatorially trapped waves in varying basic states: Structures and lateral forcing processes." Asso. Prof. Univ. Miami

1978: Lau, K. M., "A simple ocean-atmosphere climate model." Div. Head, NASA/Goddard

Masters Degree Recipients

1975 J. L. Keller (UCLA) 1975 D. G. Curtin (UCLA)

1976 K. M Lau (UW) 1985 A. Samel (PSU)

1988 J. S. Tilley (PSU) 1989 I Wainer (PSU)

1990 S. Yang (PSU) 1991 C. Reynolds (PSU)

1992 S. Dixit (PSU)1992 1992 R. A. Tomas (PSU)

1995 G. Compo (CU) 1995 J. Fasullo (CU)

1995 C. Torrence (CU) 1996 J. Loschnigg (CU)

1996 M. Wheeler(CU) 1996 X-, W. Quan (CU)

1997 D. Lawrence (CU) 1998 C. Oefkle–Clark (CU)

2000 K. Sahami (CU) 2002 D. Halkides (CU)

2003 D. Hopson (CU) 2004 J. Jian (CU)

2004 C. Hoyos (GT) 2007 V. Toma (GT)

2009 M. Zuluega (GT) 2009 M. Widlansky

Current Graduate Students

Emily Christ PhD candidate (2015)

Sebastian Ortega PhD candidate (2015)

Research Group Post-doctoral Fellows and Research Associates

2011-2014 Kris Shreshtha (Research Scientist II)

2010- Violeta Toma (Senior Research Scientist )

2008-2012 Hyemi Kim (Senior Research Scientist), National University of Seoul, South Korea

2007-2009 Jun Jian (Research Scientist I)

2006-2010 Carlos Hoyos (CU/GT) Senior Research Scientist

2003-2004: Claire Cosgrove (Research Associate)

2003-2005: Daniel Collins (Research Associate)

1991- Hai-Ru Chang (Senior Research Associate)

1999-2002: Weiqing Han (Postdoctoral Fellow)

1995-2002: Robert Tomas (Research Associate)

1999-2002: John Fasullo (Research Associate)

1997-2004 Robert Grossman (Senior Research Associate)

1999-2000: David Lawrence (Research Associate)

1999-2000: Paquita Zuidema (Research Associate)

1995-1997: Brian Mapes (Postdoctoral Fellow)

Field Experiments

1999: JASMINE: (Joint Air-Sea Monsoon Interaction Experiment). Lead scientist and principal investigator. Participant in field phase. JASMINE was an international experiment in the eastern Indian ocean measuring the interaction of the ocean and the atmosphere

1992-1995: TOGA COARE: (Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Response Experiment) Lead Scientist & Principal Investigator, Co-Chairperson of the TOGA COARE Science Working Group, Chairman of the TOGA COARE Panel. TOGA COARE culminated in a four month field phase in the western Pacific Ocean involving 19 nations and a $50m budget.

1987-1988: EMEX: (Equatorial Mesoscale Experiment) Lead Scientist. A joint US-Australian-UK experiment investigating strong convective storms of the winter monsoon.

1978-1979: MONEX: (Monsoon Experiment) Member of the MONEX Scientific steering Group, Lead Scientist, Winter MONEX

Current Funding:

NSF: Dynamics of Low-Frequency Phenomena 2011-July 2016, 3506G42: $1,960,000

Cotton Inc.: A Pilot Study of Weather Forecasting for Irrigation and Heat Management 3506H71: $53000/year, second year extension

NSF: SRN: Integrated Urban Infrastructure Solutions for Environmentally Sustainable, Health and Livable Cities Start: 09/15/14, 48 months. $12,000,000, GIT Share: $1,349,140, PI: 0.5 month summer salary

NSF: Macro-Monsoon 2016-2019 (in preparation: submission Feb. 2016)

Publications:

January 1, 2016

ISI h-index 52, 11,763 citations

Google: h-index 63, 19,662 citations

i) Books

Curry, J. A. and P. J. Webster, 1998: Thermodynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans. International Geophysics Series, Academic press, Volume 65, 471 pp.471.

Ernesto Sánchez-Triana, Santiago Enriquez, Bjorn Larsen, Peter Webster, and Javaid Afzal, 2015 (June): Sustainability and Poverty Alleviation: Confronting Environmental Threats in Sindh, Pakistan", World Bank's Directions in Development series, Environment and Sustainable Development. 264pp

Webster PJ , VE Toma and H-R Chang, 2015: Tropical Meteorology and Climate. Wiley (June 2016)

Curry, J. A. and P. J. Webster, 2016: Thermodynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans. International Geophysics Series, Academic press, Second Edition (in preparation)

(ii) Recent Reports

Webster P.J. and K. Shrestha: An Extended-Range Water Management and Flood Prediction System for the Indus River Basin: Application to the 2010-2012 floods. Report to the World Bank, 2013

Webster P.J., 2011: Building Resilience for Sustainable Development of the Sundarbans through Estuary Management, Poverty Reduction, and Biodiversity Conservation: A Non-Lending Technical Assistance. Report to the World Bank

(iii) Peer Reviewed Articles

2016

S. Ortega, Peter J. Webster, Violeta Toma, H. ai-Ru Chang, 2016: Quasi-Biweekly Oscillations of the South Asian Monsoon: An observed link between the upper and lower level variability. Submitted to Clim. Dyn.

H. M. Kim, Daehyun Kim, F. Vitart, VE Toma, J-S Kug and PJ Webster, 2016: MJO propagation across the Maritime Continent in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system, submit accepted February 2016.

E. H. Christ, P.J. Webster, J. L. Snider, V. E. Toma, D. M. Ooserhuis, D. R. Chastain, 2015: Predicting heat stress using probabilistic canopy temperature forecasts. Submitted to J. of Agronomy.

2015

G. L Stephens, D. O’Brien, Peter J Webster, Peter Pilewski, Seiji Kato6 and Jui-Lin Li, The Albedo of the Earth, Reviews of Geophysics , 53, doi:10.1002 /2014RG000449

B. Wang, S-Y Yim, B. Xiang, H-M, Kim, P.J. Webster, J. Cao, J. Liu, K-J Ha: Rethinking Indian Monsoon Rainfall Prediction in the context of recent global warming: Nature Communications, Volume: 6, Article Number: 7154   Published: MAY 2015, DOI: 10.1038/ncomms8154

K. Rassmussen, A. Hill, V. Toma, M. Zuluaga, PJ Webster and R. Houze. Three consecutive years of anomalous flooding in Pakistan Volume: 141   Issue: 689   Pages: 1259-1276   Part: B   Published: APR 2015

Christ, E. H., P. J. Webster, G. D. Collins, V. E. Toma, and S. A. Byrd, 2015: Using Precipitation Forecasts to Irrigate Cotton. J. Cotton Sci.,19, 351-358.

2014

Kim, H. M., P. J. Webster, V. E. Toma, and D. Kim, 2014: Predictability and prediction skill of the MJO in two operational forecasting systems, J. Climate, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00480.1

T.H. Syed, PJ Webster and JS Famiglietti: Assessing Variability of Evapotranspiration over the Ganga River Basin Using Water Balance Computations: Water Resources Research, 21 MAR 2014, DOI: 10.1002/2013WR013518

K. Knowlton, PJ Webster, VE. Toma, and thirteen additional authors: Development and Implementation of South Asia’s First Heat-Health Action Plan in Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India. International J. Environmental Res. and Public Health, Volume: 11   Issue: 4   Pages: 3473-3492

Shrestha, K.Y., P.J. Webster, and V.E. Toma, 2014: An Atmospheric-Hydrologic Forecasting Scheme for the Indus River Basin, Journal of Hydrometeorology (Available at:

2013

Kim HM, Lee MI, Webster PJ, Kim D, Yoo JH, 2013: A physical basis for the probabilistic prediction of the accumulated tropical cyclone kinetic energy in the western North Pacific. J. Clim. 26/20, 7981-7991. October.

Kim, H-M, Webster PJ and VE Toma, 2013: Dynamical multi-week MJO prediction in ocean-atmosphere coupling hindcasts. Submitted to J. Clim.

Hirata, F, Webster PJ and VE Toma, 2013: Distinct manifestations of austral summer tropical intraseasonal oscillations. Geophys. Re. Lettrs, 40/12,3337-3341, June 28.

Kim, H-M, M-I Lee, Webster P. J., Kim D. H. Yoo, J.H. 2013: Western North Pacific tropical storm activity associated with ENSO and its extended- range seasonal forecast. In press. J. Clim

Webster P, 2013: Improve weather forecasts for the developing world. NATURE, 493/7430    17-19   Published: Jan 3

Wang, B,, J. Liu, P. J. Webster, S-Y Yim, D. Xiang, 2013: “Northern Hemisphere summer monsoon intensified by mega-El Nino/southern oscillation and Atlantic multidecadal oscillation”. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. doi:10.1073/pnas.1219405110

.

2012

Hoyos, C. D. and Webster, P. J., 2012: Evolution of the tropical warm pool: Past, present and future. Climate Dynamics. DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1181-3

Kim, H-M, Webster PJ and Curry JA, 2012a: Seasonal prediction by ECMWF System 4 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective forecast Part I: Northern Hemisphere Winter, Clim. Dyn., DOI 10.1007/s00382-012-1364-6 (published online 04May2012)

Kim, H-M, Webster PJ and Curry JA, 2012b: Seasonal prediction by ECMWF System 3 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective forecast Part II: Northern Hemisphere Summer Monsoon. submitted to Clim. Dyn.

Kim, H. M., P. J. Webster, Judith A. Curry and V. E. Toma, 2012: Asian summer monsoon prediction in ECMWF System 4 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective seasonal forecasts, Clim. Dyn., DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1470-5 (pdf)

Kim, H. M., P. J. Webster and Judith A. Curry, 2012: Evaluation of short-term climate change prediction in multi-model CMIP5 decadal hindcasts, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L10701, doi:10.1029/2012GL051644 (pdf)

Wang B., Liu J., Kim H. J., Kim HJ,, Webster P.J., Yim S. Y., 2012 Recent change of the global monsoon precipitation (1979-2008) Clim. Dyn. doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1266-z (pdf)

Zuluaga, M. D., P. J. Webster and C. D. Hoyos, 2012: Variability of Aerosols in the Tropical Atlantic Ocean relative to African Easterly Waves and their relationship with Atmospheric and Oceanic Environments: J. Geophys. Res. – 117, D16207   DOI: 10.1029/

2011:

Belanger, J., Webster P.J., Curry J.A., 2011: Extended Prediction of North Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones using the ECMWF Variable Ensemble Prediction System: (In press) Wea and Forecasting.

Wang, B, J. Liu, H-J Kim, P. J. Webster5, T. A. Schroeder, 2011: Recent Intensification of Northern Hemispheric Monsoon Precipitation. Submitted to Nature Geocience.

Webster P. J., V. E. Toma and H-. M Kim 2011: Were the 2010 Pakistan Floods predictable? To appear, Geophys. Res. Lettrs. ,38, L04806, doi:10.1029/2010GL046346

Webster P. J. and J. Jian 2011:  Environmental prediction, risk assessment and extreme events: adaptation strategies for the developing world. Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. A( Math, Phys and Eng.) Volume: 369   Issue: 1956    4768-4797   DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2011.0160. DEC 13 2011

Curry, J. A. and P. J. Webster, 2011: Climate science and the uncertainty monster. (December 2011) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Kim, H-M., P.J. Webster, J. A. Curry 2010: Modulation of North Pacific tropical cyclone activity by the three phases of ENSO. J.Clim., 24, 1839-1849

2010:

Kim, H-M. and P.J. Webster, 2010:  Extended range seasonal hurricane forecasts using a hybrid dynamical-statistical model. Geophys. Res. Lttrs 37 Article Number: L21705   Published: Nov 9 2010

Widlansky, M., P. J. Webster and C. D. Hoyos, 2011: On the location and orientation of the South Pacific Convergence Zone. 123 Clim Dyn (2011) 36:561–578 DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0871-6

Agudelo, P.A., C.D. Hoyos, J.A. Curry, P.J. Webster, 2010: Probabilistic discrimination between large-scale environments of intensifying and decaying African Easterly Waves. Climate Dynamics, 36, Numbers 7-8, 1379-1401, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-085

Belanger, J., Curry J.A., Webster P.J., 2010: Predictability of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones on Intraseasonal time scales. In press Mon. Wea. Rev.

Webster, P. J., and C. D. Hoyos, 2010: Beyond the spring barrier? Nature Geoscience, 3, 152–153 (1 March 2010) | doi:10.1038/ngeo800.

Zuluaga, M. D., C. D. Hoyos & P.J. Webster, 2010: Spatial and temporal distribution of latent heating in the South Asian monsoon region. J. Clim., 23, 2010-2029

Webster, P.J., T. M. Hopson, C. D. Hoyos, J. Jian, H-R. 
Chang, P. Agudelo, J. A. Curry1, T. N. Palmer, A. R. Subbiah, R. L. Grossman, 2010: Extended-range probabilistic forecasts of Ganges and Brahmaputra floods in Bangladesh. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 91, 11, 1493-1514

Hopson, T. M., P. J. Webster, 2010: A 1-10 day ensemble forecasting scheme for the major river basins of Bangladesh: forecasting severe floods of 2003–2007. J. Hydromet. 11, 618-641

Done, J., G, J, Holland, P. J. Webster, 2010: The Role of Wave Accumulation in Tropical Cyclone Genesis over the Tropical North Atlantic. Accepted Clim. Dyn. 9 August, 2010, 10.1007/s00382-010-0880-5

Toma, V., P. J. Webster, 2010: Oscillations of the intertropical convergence zone and the gensis of easterly waves. I Theory and diagnostics. Clim. Dyn. doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0584-

Toma, V., P. J. Webster, 2010: Oscillations of the intertropical convergence zone and the gensis of eeasterly waves. II Numerical experiments. Clim. Dyn. doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0585-9

Kim, H, C. D. Hoyos, P. J. Webster and In-Sik Kang, 2010: Ocean-atmosphere coupling and the boreal winter MJO. Clim. Dyn., DOI 10.1007/s00382-009-0612-x, 35   Issue: 5   Pages: 771-784  

2009:

Jian, J., P. J. Webster, C. Hoyos, 2009: Intraseasonal and interannual variability of Ganges and Brahmaputra river discharge. Quar. J. R. Met. Soc. 135, 353-370

Kim, H., P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry, 2009: Impact of shifting patterns of Pacific Ocean warming on the frequency and tracks of North Atlantic tropical cyclones. Science, 325, 77-80

2008:

Webster, P. J., 2008: Myanmar's deadly daffodil. Nature Geoscience doi: 10.1038/ngeo257

Han, W., P. J. Webster, J-. J Lin, W. T. Liu, R. Fu, D. Yang, and A Hu, 2008: Dynamics of intraseasonal sea level and thermocline variability in the equatorial Atlantic dring 2002-2003. J. Phys. Ocean., 38, 945-967.

Agudelo, P. A., C. D. Hoyos, P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry, 2008: Application of a serial extended forecast experiment using the ECMWF model to interpret the predictive skill of tropical intraseasonal variability. Climate Dynamics.doi: 10.1007/s00382-008-0447-x

Kim, H. M., C. D. Hoyos, P. J. Webster and I. S. Kang, 2008: Sensitivity of MJO simulation and predictability to sea surface temperature variability. J. Climate, 21, 5304–5317. doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2078.1

2007:

Holland, G. J., and P. J. Webster, 2007: Recent heightened tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic: Natural variability or climate trend? Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2083.

Hoyos, C. and P. J. Webster, 2007: The role of intraseasonal oscillation on the nature of monsoon precipitation. J. Climate, 20 (17), 4402-4424.

Nicholson, S. E. and P. J. Webster, 2007: “A physical basis for rainfall variability over West Africa”. Quar. J. Roy. Met. Soc. , DOI: 10.1002/qj.104

Mann, M.E., K.A. Emanuel, G.J. Holland, and P. J. Webster, 2007: Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Revisited. EOS 88, 349-350

2006:

Webster, P. J., T. Hopson, C. Hoyos, A. Subbiah, H-. R. Chang, R. Grossman, 2006: A three-tier overlapping prediction scheme: Tools for strategic and tactical decisions in the developing world. In Predictability of Weather and Climate, Ed. T. N. Palmer, Cambridge University Press. P 645-673.

Webster, P. J, 2006: The coupled monsoon system. In The Asian Monsoon. Editor Bin Wang, p 3-66.

Halkides, D. J., W. Han, P. J. Webster, 2006: The effects of the seasonal cycle on the development and termination of the Indian Ocean Zonal Mode. J. Geophys. Res., 111, C12017, doi:10.1029/2005JC003247.

Wang B, Webster P. J., Kikuchi K, Yasunari T, Qi Y, 2006: Boreal summer quasi-monthly oscillation in the global tropics, Clim. Dyn. 27, 661-675

Curry, J. A., P.J. Webster, G. H. Holland 2006: Mixing science and politics: Testing the hypothesis that greenhouse warming is causing a global increase in hurricane intensity. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. August 2006, 87 (8), 1025-1037.

Agudelo, P.A., J.A. Curry, C.D. Hoyos, P.J. Webster, 2005: Transition between suppressed and active phases of intraseasonal oscillations in the Indo-Pacific warm pool. J. Climate, 19 (21), 5519–5530

Hoyos, C. D., P. A. Agudello, P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry, 2006: Deconvolution of the factors contributing to the increase in global hurricane intensity. Science, Vol 312, 94-97 April 7 (March 16).

Webster PJ, Curry JA, Liu J, et al. 2006: Response to comment on "Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment", Science 311 (5768): Mar 24 2006

Chirikova, G. and P. J. Webster, 2006: Interannual Variability of the Indian Ocean Heat Transport. J. Clim. 19, 1013-1031

2005:

Webster, P. J., G. J. Holland, J. A. Curry and H-R. Chang, 2005: “ Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration and intensity in a warming environment.” Science, 309 (5742), 1844-1846 (September 16).

Wang, B., P. J. Webster and H. Teng, 2005: Antecedents and Perpetuation of the Active-Break Indian Monsoon Cycles. Geophys. Res. Lettr. 32(4), Art. No. L02704 (Feb 18 2005)

2004:

Quan, X-. W., P. J. Webster, A. M. Moore, H-. R. Chang, 2004: Seasonality in SST-Forced Atmospheric Short-term Climate predictability. J. Climate, 17, 3090-3108.

Webster, P. J., 2004: The Elementary Hadley Circulation. The Hadley Circulation: Past, Present and Future. Editors: H. Diaz and R. Bradley. Cambridge University Press. 9-60.

Webster, P. J. and C. Hoyos, 2004: Forecasting monsoon rain fall and river discharge variability on 20-25 day time scales. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 85, 1745-1765.

Han, W., P. J. Webster, R. Lukas and P. Hacker , 2004: Impact of atmospheric intraseasonal variability in the Indian Ocean: low-frequency rectification in equatorial surface current and transport. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 34, 1350--1372.

Stephens, G. L., P. J. Webster, R. H. Johnson, R. Englen, T, L’eculer, 2004: Observational evidence for the mutual regulation of the tropical hydological cycle and tropical sea surface temperature. J. Climate: 17(11), 2213–2224.

Curry, J. A., A. Bentamy, M.A Bourassa, D. Bourras, E.F. Bradley, M. Brunke, S Castro. S.H. Chou, C.A. Clayson, W.J. Emery, L. Eymard, C.W. Fairall, M. Kubota, B. Lin, W. Perrie, R.R. Reeder, I.A. Renfrew, W.B. Rossow, J. Schulz, S.R Smith, P.J. Webster, G.A. Wick, X. Zen, 2004: Seaflux. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85(3), 409-424.

2003:

Fasullo, J., and P. J., Webster, 2003: A hydrological definition of the Indian summer monsoon onset and withdrawal. J. Clim. 16, 3200-3211.

Loschnigg, J., G. A. Meehl, P. J. Webster, J. M. Arblaster, G. P. Compo, 2003: The Asian monsoon, the tropospheric biennial oscillation and the Indian ocean dipole in the NCAR CSM. J. Clim., 16, 1617-1642.

Clark, C. O., P. J. Webster, and J. E. Cole, 2003: The Indian Ocean dipole and the prediction of East African precipitation. J. Clim., 16, 548-554.

Webster, P. J. and J. Fasullo, 2003: Dynamic theory of monsoons. Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences, Academic Press. 1370-1386

Tomas, R. A. and P. J. Webster, 2003: Tropical Meteorology: Overview and Theory, Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences, Academic Press. 2306-2312.

2002:

Webster, P. J., E. F. Bradley, C. W. Fairall, J. S. Godfrey, P. Hacker, R. A. Hopuze jr., R. Lukas, Y. Serra, J. M. Hummon, T. D. M. Lawrence, C. A. Russel, M. N. Ryan, K. Sahami, P. Zuidema, 2002: The Joint Air-Sea Monsoon Interaction Experiment (JASMINE) Pilot Study. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 83, 1603-1630.

Fasullo, J., and P. J., Webster, 2002: Hydrologic signatures relating the Asian summer monsoon and ENSO, J. Climate, 15, (21), pp. 3082–3095.

Webster, P. J., C. Clark, G. Chirikova, J. Fasullo, W. Han, J. Loschnigg, and K. Sahami, 2002: “The Monsoon as a self-regulating coupled ocean-atmosphere system.” Meteorology at the Millennium. Academic Press, 198-219.

Han, W., D. Lawrence, and P. J. Webster, 2002: Dynamical response of equatorial Indian Ocean to intraseasonal winds: Zonal flow. Geophys. Res. Lett. 28, 4215-4218.

Han, W. and P. J. Webster, 2002: Forcing mechanisms of sea-level interannual variability in the Bay of Bengal. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 32, 216-239.

Lawrence, D, and P. J. Webster, 2002: The boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation and the South Asian monsoon. J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 1593-1606.

2001:

Holland, G.H., P.J. Webster, J. A. Curry, et al., 2001: The Aerosonde robotic aircraft: A new paradigm for environmental observations. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 82(5), 889-991.

Han, W. and P. J. Webster, 2001: Interannual Variability of Sea Level in the Arabian Sea: Remote Versus Local Wind Forcing. Dynamics of Atmospheric-Oceanic Circulations and Climate, Eds. IAP, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China Meteorological Press, 461-474, 872pp.

Lawrence, D, and P. J. Webster, 2001: Interannual variability of intraseasonal oscillation in the Asian monsoon region. J. Clim., 14(3), 2910-2922.

2000:

Clark, C. O., J. E. Cole and P. J. Webster, 2000: SST and Indian summer rainfall: predictive relationships and their decadal variability. J. Clim., 13, 2503-2519.

Fasullo, J. T. and P. J. Webster, 2000: Structure of the ocean-atmosphere system in the tropical western Pacific during strong westerly wind bursts. Q. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 126, 899-924.

Loschnigg, J. and P. J. Webster, 2000: A coupled ocean-atmosphere system of SST regulation for the Indian Ocean. J. Clim., 13, 3342-3360.

Torrence, C. and Peter. J. Webster, 2000: Comment on "The connection between the Boreal Spring Southern Oscillation Persistence Barrier and Biennial Variability," by A. J. Clarke and S. Van Gorder. J. Clim., 13, 665-667.

Wheeler, M., G. Kilidas and P. J. Webster, 2000: Large-scale dynamical fields associated with convectively-coupled equatorial waves. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 613-640.

1999:

Curry, J. A., C. A. Clayson, W. B. Rossow, R. Reeder, Y.C. Zhang, P. J. Webster, G. Liu, and R. S. Sheu, 1999: High-resolution satellite-derived dataset of the surface fluxes of heat, freshwater and momentum for the TOGA COARE IOP. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 80, 2059-2080.

Duane, G., P. J. Webster and J. Weiss, 1999: Co-occurrence of northern and southern hemisphere blocks as partially synchronized chaos. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 4183-4205.

Fasullo, J. T. and P. J. Webster, 1999: Warm pool sea surface temperature variability in relation to the surface energy balance. J. Clim., 12, 1292-1305.

Torrence, T. and P. J. Webster, 1999: Interdecadal changes in the ENSO-Monsoon System. J. Clim., 12, 2679-2690.

Tomas, R., J. R. Holton and P. J. Webster, 1999: On the theory of the location of convection in strong cross-equatorial pressure gradient flows. Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 1107-1127.

1998:

Webster, P. J., A. Moore, J. Loschnigg and M. Leban: 1999: Coupled ocean-atmosphere dynamics in the Indian Ocean during 1997-98. Nature, 40, 23 September, 1999, 356-360.

Webster, P. J. and J. A. Curry, 1998: The ocean and the weather. Scientific American, September, 38-47 . (NS)

Henderson-Sellers, A., Zhang, H., Berz, G., Emanuel, K., Gray, W., Landsea, C., Holland G., Lighthill J., Shieh S. L. , Webster P, McGuffie K., 1998: Tropical cyclones and global climate change: A post-IPCC assessment. Bull Amer. Meteor. Soc., 79 (1): 19-38. (48)

Webster, P. J., T. Palmer, M. Yanai, R. Tomas, V. Magana, J. Shukla and A. Yasunari, 1998: Monsoons: Processes, Predictability and the prospects for prediction. J. Geophys. Res., 103 (TOGA special issue),14451-14,510.

Anderson, D. L. T., E. S. Sarachik, P. J. Webster, 1998: The TOGA decade: a preface. J. Geophys. Res., 103, 14,167.

Compo, G., G. Kilidas and P. Webster, 1998: East Asian Winter Monsoon Pressure Surges and Their Relationship to Tropical Variability. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 125, 29-54

Torrence, C. and P. J. Webster, 1998: The annual cycle of persistence in the El Nino Southern. Q. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 124, 1985-2004.

1997:

Webster, P. J., and H-. R. Chang, 1997: Atmospheric wave propagation in heterogeneous flow: Basic flow constraints on tropical-extratropical interaction and equatorial wave modification. Dyn. Oceans and Atmos., 27, 91-134.

Webster, P. J. and T. N. Palmer, 1997: The past and future of El Nino. Nature, December 12, 390, 562-564.

Tomas, R. and P. J. Webster, 1997: On the location of the intertropical convergence zone and near-equatorial convection: The role of inertial instability. Quar. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 123, 1445-1482.

1996:

Webster, P. J., C. A. Clayson and J. A. Curry, 1996: Clouds, radiation and the diurnal cycle of sea surface temperature in the tropical western Pacific Ocean. J. Clim., 9, 1712-1730.

Wainer I., and P. J. Webster, 1996: Monsoon-ENSO relationships in a simple coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J. Geophys. Res., 101, 25,599-25,614.

1995:

Webster, P. J., 1995: The annual cycle and the predictability of the tropical coupled ocean-atmosphere system. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 56, 33-55.

Chang, H-. R., and P. J. Webster, 1995: Energy Accumulation and Emanation at Low Latitudes. Part III: Forward and Backward Accumulation. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 2384-2403.

Gosnell, R., C. Fairall, and P. Webster, 1995: The Sensible Heat of Rain. J. Geophys. Res., 100, 18437-18442.

Leslie, L. M., Holland, G. L. and Webster P. J., 1995: Introductory comments” Special issue of scale interactions in the tropics. Meteor. Atmos. Phys. 56, 1-1.

Lukas, R., P. J. Webster, M. Ji, and A. Leetmaa, 1995: The large scale context for the TOGA COARE coupled ocean-atmosphere response experiment. Meteor. Atmos. Phy., 56, 3-16.

1994:

Webster, P. 1994: The Role of Hydrological Processes in Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction. Rev. of Geophys., 32, 427-476.

Palmer, T. N. and P. J. Webster, 1994: Towards a unified approach to climate and weather prediction. Global Climate Change, 1, 265-280.

Reynolds, C., P. J. Webster, and E. Kalnay, 1994: Random error growth in the numerical prediction models. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 1281-1305.

Tomas, R. and P. J. Webster, 1994: Vertical and Horizontal Structure of Cross-equatorial Wave Propagation. J. Atmos. Sci., 51, 1417-1430.

1993:

Srinivasan, J, S. Gadgil, and P. J. Webster, 1993: Meridional Propagation of Large-Scale Monsoon Convective Zones. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 52, 15-35.

1992:

Webster, P. J., and M. Dong, 1992: The Structure of Low Frequency Phenomena in the Tropics and Its Interactions with the Extratropics. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 10, 303-334. (NS)

Webster, P. J., and R. Lukas, 1992: TOGA-COARE: The Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Response Experiment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 73, 1377-1416.

Webster, P. J. and S. Yang, 1992: Monsoon and ENSO: Selectively Interactive Systems. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 118, 877-926.

Lukas, R., and P. J. Webster, 1992: TOGA COARE, OCEANUS. Phys. Oceanogr., 35, 2, September. (Yang, S.,

Webster, P. J. and M. Dong, 1992: Longitudinal Heating Gradient: Another possible factor influencing the intensity of the Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 9, 397-410. (NS)

Zhang, C. and P. J. Webster, 1992: Laterally Forced Equatorial Waves in Mean Zonal Flows. Part I: Stationary Transient Forcing. J. Atmos. Sci., 49, 585-607.

Webster, P. J., S. Yang, I. Wainer and S. Dixit, 1992: Processes Involved in Monsoon Variability, Physical Processes in Atmospheric Models, (Eds. D. R. Sikka and S. S. Singh), Wiley Eastern (New Delhi), 492-500.

1991:

Webster, P. J., and R. A. Houze, Jr., 1991: The Equatorial Mesoscale Experiment, EMEX. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 72, 1481-1505.

Lukas, R., P. J. Webster, and J. Picaut, 1991: Preface: Papers from the Western Pacific International Meeting on TOGA COARE, 24-30 May 1989. J. Geophys. Res., Special Supplement, 96, 3125-3150.

1990:

Yang, S., and Webster, P. J., 1990: The Effect of Summer Tropical Heating on the Location and Intensity of the Extratropical Westerly Jet Stream. J. Geophys. Res., 95, 18705-18721.

Chang, H. -R. and P. J. Webster, 1990: Energy Accumulation and Emanation at Low Latitudes. Part II: Nonlinear Response to Strong Episodic Forcing. J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 2624-2644.

1989:

Webster, P. J., and S. Yang, 1989: The Three-Dimensional Structure of Perturbation Kinetic Energy and Its Relationship to the Zonal Wind. J. Clim., 2, 1186-1198.

Webster, P. J., 1989: Great Events, Grand Experiments: Man's Study of the Variable Climate. Part III: Exploring Climate's Boiler-box. Earth and Mineral Sciences, 58, 46-51.

Zhang, C. and P. J. Webster, 1989: Effects of Zonal Flows on the Equatorially Trapped Waves. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 3632-3652.

1988:

Webster, P. J., and H. -R. Chang, 1988: Energy Accumulation and Emanation Regions at Low Latitudes: Impacts of a Zonally Varying Basic State. J. Atmos. Sci. , 45, 803-829

Frederiksen, J. S., and P. J. Webster, 1988: Alternative Theories of Teleconnections and Low Frequency Fluctuations. Rev. Geophys., 26, 459-494.

1987:

Webster, P. J., 1987: "The Elementary Monsoon." In Monsoons, (Eds., Fein and Stephens), J. Wiley Co., 3-32.

Webster, P. J., 1987: "The Variable and Interactive Monsoon.” In Monsoons, (Eds., Fein and Stephens), J. Wiley Co., 269-330.

1986:

Webster, P. J., 1986: Great Events, Grand Experiments: Man's Study of the Variable Climate. Part II: Prospects of a Warming Earth". Earth and Mineral Sciences, 55, 21-24.

Wallace, J. M., P. J. Webster, K. Trenberth, et al., 1986: On El Nino. Scientific American, 257, 6-7. (NS)

1985:

Arkin, P., and P. J. Webster, 1985: Annual and Interannual Variability of Tropical-Extratropical Interactions: An Empirical Study. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 1510-1523.

Webster, P. J., 1985: Great Events, Grand Experiments: Man's Study of the Variable Climate. Part I: Interannual Variability. Earth and Mineral Sciences, 55, 3-5.

1984:

Webster, P. J., 1984: The Climate-CO2 Controversy: Some Personal Comments. Climate Change, 6, 377-390.

Stephens, G. L., and P. J. Webster, 1984: Cloud Decoupling of the Surface and Planetary Radiative Budgets. J. Atmos. Sci., 41, 681-686.

1983:

Webster, P. J., 1983: Mechanisms of Monsoon Transition: Surface Hydrology Effects. J. Atmos. Sci., 40, 2110-2124.

Webster, P. J., and G. L. Stephens, 1984: Cloud-Radiation Feedback and the Climate Problem. The Global Climate, (Ed., J. Houghton), Cambridge University Press, 63-78.

Webster, P. J., 1983: "The Large Scale Structure of the Tropical Atmosphere." In General Circulation of the Atmosphere (Eds., Hoskins and Pearce), Academic Press, 235-275.

1982:

Webster, P. J., 1982: Seasonality of Atmospheric Response to Sea-Surface Temperature Anomalies. J. Atmos. Sci., 39, 29-40.

Webster, P. J., and J. R. Holton, 1982: Wave Propagation Through a Zonally Varying Basic Flow: The Influences of Mid-Latitude Forcing in the Equatorial Regions. J. Atmos. Sci., 39, 722-733.

1981:

Webster, P.J and N. A. Streten, 1981: Surface circulation of the Indian ocean during the last glacial maximum approximately 18,000 BP: Comments. Quaternary Res. 16 (3): 421-423 1981

Webster, P. J., 1981: Mechanisms Determining the Atmospheric Response to Large-Scale Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 554-571. (SC: 206)

Webster, P. J., 1981: Monsoon. Scientific American, 108-118.(SC: 4)

Webster, P. J., 1981: The Surface Circulation of the Indian Ocean During the Last Glacial Maximum, Approximately 18,000 Yr. B.P. Quat. Res. 16, 421-423. (0)

Stephens, G. L., and P. J. Webster, 1981: Clouds and Climate: Sensitivity of Simple Systems. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 235-245.

1980:

Webster, P. J., and G. L. Stephens, 1980: Gleaning CO2-Climate Relationships from Model Calculations. Carbon Dioxide, Australian Academy of Science (Ed., G. I. Pearman), Canberra.

Webster, P. J., 1980: "A Model of the Seasonally Varying Planetary Scale Monsoon." In Monsoon Dynamics, (Eds., Lighthill and Pearce). Cambridge University Press, 165-192.

Webster, P. J. and L. C. Chou, 1980: Low-Frequency Transitions of a Simple Monsoon System. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 368-382.

Webster, P. J., and L. C. Chou, 1980: Seasonal Structure of a Simple Monsoon System. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 354-367.

Webster, P. J., and G. L. Stephens, 1980: Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Extended Clouds: Inferences from Winter MONEX. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 1521-1541.

1979:

Stephens, G. L., and P. J. Webster, 1979: Sensitivity of Radiative Forcing to Variable Cloud and Moisture. J. Atmos. Sci., 36, 1542-1556.

1978:

Webster, P. J., 1978: Lateral Effects on Monsoon Systems. Indian Journal of Meteorology, Hydrology and Geophysics, 29, 314-326. (NS)

Webster P. J. and K-Ming Lau, 1978: Simulation of the global monsoon sequence by a simple ocean-atmosphere interaction model. Indian Journal of Meteorology, Hydrology and Geophysics, 29, 235-244. (NS)

Webster, P. J., and N. A. Streten, 1978: Late Quaternary Ice-Age Climates of Tropical Australasia: Interpretations and Reconstructions. Quat. Res.,10, 279-309.

1977:

Webster, P. J., 1977: The Low-Latitude Circulation of Mars. ICARUS, 30, 626-664.

Webster, P. J., and K. M. W. Lau, 1977: A Simple Ocean-Atmosphere Climate Model: Basic Model and a Simple Experiment. J. Atmos. Sci., 34, 1065-1084 .

Webster, P. J., K. M. W. Lau, and L. C. Chou, 1977: Mechanisms Affecting the State, Evolution and Transition of the Planetary Scale Monsoon. PAGEOPH, 5, 1463-1492. (SC: 17)

Leovy, C. B., and P. J. Webster, 1977: Stratospheric Long Waves: Comparisons of Thermal Structure in the Northern and Southern Hemisphere: Reply. J. Atmos. Sci., 34, 435-436.

1976:

Leovy, C. B., and P. J. Webster, 1976: Stratospheric Long Waves: Comparisons of Thermal Structure in the Northern and Southern Hemisphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 33, 1141-1154.

1975:

Webster, P. J., and D. G. Curtin, 1975: Interpretation of the EOLE Experiment: (II) Spatial Variation of Stationary and Transient Modes. J. Atmos. Sci., 32, 1848-1863.

Webster, P. J., and J. L. Keller, 1975: Atmospheric Variations, Vacillation and Index Cycles. J. Atmos. Sci., 32, 1283-1300.

1974:

Webster, P. J., and D. G. Curtin, 1974: Interpretations of the EOLE Experiment: (I) Temporal Variations of Eulerian Quantities. J. Atmos. Sci., 31, 1860 -1875.

Webster, P. J., and J. L. Keller, 1974: A Strong Long-Period Tropospheric and Stratospheric Rhythm in the Southern Hemisphere. Nature, 248, 212-213.

1973:

Webster, P. J., 1973: Remote Forcing of the Time-Independent Tropical Atmosphere. Mon. Wea. Rev., 101, 58-68 .

Webster, P. J., 1973: Temporal Variation of Low-Latitude Zonal Circulations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 101, 793-806.

Webster, P. J., 1973: Aspects of the Climate of the Southern Hemisphere. Climate of the Arctic, University of Alaska Press, University of Alaska, 190-203.

1972:

Webster, P. J. 1972: Response of the Tropical Atmosphere to Local Steady Forcing. Mon. Wea. Rev., 100, 518-541.

Webster, P. J., and N. A. Streten, 1972: Aspects of Late Quaternary Climate in Tropical Australasia. Bridge and Barrier: The Natural and Cultural History of Torres Strait, (Editor, D. Walker), Research School of Pacific Studies, Australian National University, 39-.61

Webster, P. J., 1972: Response of the Tropical Atmosphere to Steady Forcing. Doctoral Dissertation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Meteorology, 182pp

Webster, P. J., 2007: Climate and tropical cyclones. (Invited review) Reviews of Geophysics.

In preparation:

Webster, P. J., and Hoyos, C. D., 2010: The coupled nature of the monsoon. (Invited review), Quar. J. Roy. Met. Soc.

Webster, P. J., 2007: Climate and tropical cyclones. (Invited review) Reviews of Geophysics.

Invited Lectures:

|2015 |Oxford UK |Understanding the Monsoon. The Edmund Halley Lecture, Department of Atmospheric and |

| | |Oceanic Physics University of Oxford, June 19, 2015 |

|2015 |Atlanta GA |The developing world in a changing climate: Apocalypse now, soon or never? College of |

| | |Science Frontiers of Science Series, April 16. |

|2014 |Stonybrook NY |Hazard Prediction and Implementation in the Less-developed World: What works, what |

| | |doesn’t work and how to fix it. The Robert D. Cess Lecture: March 5, 2014 |

|2014 |Atlanta GA |Hazard Anticipation and Mitigation in the developing world: United States/United Kingdom |

| | |Workshop on Climate Science Needed to Support Robust Adaptation Decisions: February 7 |

| | |2014 |

|2014 |Atlanta GA |Towards a General Theory of Monsoon Dynamics. Haurwitz Memorial Lecture: American |

| | |Meteorological Society Annual Meeting: 7 February 2014 |

|2013 |Macau PRC |Monsoon Dynamics. Keynote address: Fifth World Meteorological Organizations Conference on|

| | |monsoons. 2-5 November, 2013. |

|2013 |Zhuhai, PRC |Asian Monsoon Year Open Science Conference. 1 November, 2013. |

|2013 |Islamabad |Probabilistic hydrological Forecasting for the Indus Valley Pakistan Federal Flood |

| |Paksitan |Commission: Invited Presentation. Conference on Early Flood Warning & Management Systems |

| | |February 14 2013 |

|2012 |Buckingham, UK |“Sustainability Through Hazard Anticipation And Mitigation” Royal Society Conference on: |

| | |Handling uncertainty in weather and climate prediction, with application to health, |

| | |agronomy, hydrology, energy and economics, October 4-5. |

|2012 |Shinfield Park |“ENSO and ENSO teleconnections”, European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (with|

| |UK |Hyemi Kim). Annual ECMWF Seminar. |

|2012 |Boulder, CO |“The ITCZ, equatorial eaves and the ISO: Prospects for Understanding and Prediction”, |

| | |Annual Postdoctoral Symposium, National Center for Atmospheric Research. |

|2012 |Urbana, IL |“Probability, Prediction and Decisions: A pathway to the alleviation of poverty in the |

| | |developing world”, Y. Ogura Memorial Lecture. April 25. |

|2012 |Pune, India |“Monsoon predictability and prediction: Progress and horizons.” IITM Golden Jubilee |

| | |Conference on “Opportunities and Challenges in Monsoon Prediction and climate (OCHAMP) |

| | |Plenary lecture, Feb. 21-25, 2012 |

|2012 |Jacksonville, FL |Couple oscillations in ocean and land heating. (with V. Toma, H-M Kim and C. D. Hoyos) |

| | |Tropical Cyclone and Meteorology meeting American Meteorological Society |

|2012 |New Delhi India |“Extended prediction of tropical cyclones in the North Indian Ocean. Plenary talk”, |

| | |Second WMO International Conference on Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change,|

| | |IMD, February 14-17, 2012 |

|2011 |San Francisco CA |Role of tropical cyclones in the heat balance of the planet AGU Annual meeting, San |

| | |Franscico. |

|2010 |Pasadena CA |(1) “Tropical cyclones and climate” |

| | |(2) “Some recent thoughts on intraseasonal variability” |

| | |(3) “Equatorial instabilities: a common solution for some fundamental questions in the |

| | |tropics” Jet Propulsion Laboratory, NASA, May 3-5, 2010 |

|2010 |Washington DC |“Tropical cyclones, surface temperature and climate variability”, National Research |

| | |Council Climate Research Committee, April 2010 |

|2010 |London UK |“Uncertainty in predicting extremes in weather and climate”, Royal Society 350th |

| | |Anniversary Symposium: on “Handling Uncertainty in Science, London March 2010 |

|2010 |Boulder CO |“Intraseasonal prediction of tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic” National |

| | |Center of Atmospheric Science, February, 2010 |

|2010 |Atlanta GA |(1) “The mean and transient ITCZ, near-equatorial westerlies and the world in a |

| | |cross-equatorial pressure gradient environment” |

| | |(2) ”Following the equator with Joachim Kuettner: Experiments and Expeditions” |

| | |Annual meeting of the American Meteorological Society, Atlanta, GA January |

|2009 |Washington DC |(1) “Instabilities of the ITCZ and the genesis of easterly waves” |

| | |(2) “Modulation of the tropical warm pool in a warming world” |

| | |(3) “Extended hydrological prediction: The Bangladesh experience”. |

| | |Center for Land, Oceans and Atmosphere (COLA) , October 2010. |

|2009 |San Francisco CA |(1) “The Intertropical Convergence Zone, equatorial westerlies and the creation of |

| | |climatically sensitive zones in the ocean” |

| | |(2) “Bridging the global-regional climate gap through statistical adjustment of |

| | |mutli-model, ensemble integrations” |

| | |AGU Annual Fall Meeting 7-11, December: |

|2009 |Silver Springs MD |“Extended hydrological prediction: The Bangladesh experience”. NOAA Climate Office, |

| | |Silver Springs, MD Sept 11 |

|2009 |Aosta, Italy |“Dynamics of monsoons”: Principal lecturer, Summer School on Monsoon Systems, June 1-6, |

| | |2009. |

|2009 |Cambridge MA |“A new climate paradigm: Evolution of the dynamic warm pool”, Department of Earth and |

| | |Planetary Sciences, Harvard University |

|2009 |Phoenix AZ |“Nargis and Myanmar”, Impacts2008. American Meteorological Society, Annual Meeting, |

| | |January 13, 2009 |

|2009 |Phoenix AZ |Anthony Hollingsworth Memorial Symposium: “Extended prediction and Tony Hollingsworth”. |

| | |American meteorological Society, Annual Meeting, January 15, 2009 |

|2008 |San Francisco, CA |American Geophysical Society: “The coupled state of the Indian Ocean and the monsoon”, |

| | |December 12, 2008 |

|2008 |Reading UK |European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting: Use of ECMWF EPS products for |

| | |extended prediction of floods and tropical cyclones. 14 October 2008 |

|2008 |Reading UK |University of Reading: The evolution of the dynamic warm pool and the genesis of tropical|

| | |cyclones. 13 October 2008 |

|2008 |San Diego CA |Keynote speaker: AIR Spring meeting: Global warming: Evolution of the tropical warm pool,|

| | |convection and tropical cyclones. April 7. |

|2008 |Maryland |Department of Atmospheric Sciences Seminar: The Tropical Warm Pool in a Warming World. |

| | |April 16. |

|2008 |Washington DC |World Bank (Asia branch): Extended prediction of rainfall and river discharge and |

| | |disaster mitigation. March 3 |

|2008 |Miami, FLA |Departmental seminar: Two warm pools, an inertial osicllator and a slow manifold. |

| | |February 6. |

|2007 |San Francisco |AGU Annual Winter meeting. Invited lecture: Changes in the discharge of the Ganges, |

| | |Brahmaputra, Nile and Yangtze rivers during the next century. |

|2007 |San Francisco |AGU Annual Winter meeting. Invited lecture: Forecasting flooding in the Brahmaputra and |

| | |Ganges delta on short (1-10 days) medium (20-30 days) and seasonal time scales (1-6 |

| | |months). |

|2007 |Acapulco Mexico |The Jule Charney Lecture. American Geophysical Union, may 2007. Interactions between |

| | |climate and tropical cyclones |

|2006 |San Francisco |AGU Annual Winter meeting. Invited talk, December 11-15, 2006: Monsoon variability and |

| | |hydrology of South Asia |

| | | |

|2006 |San Francisco |AGU Annual Winter meeting. Invited talk, December 11-15, 2006: Role of Hurricanes in the |

| | |Global Heat Balance |

|2006 |San Francisco |AGU Annual Winter meeting. Invited talk, December 11-15, 2006: Expanding tropical warm |

| | |pool: Increased tropical cyclone season length and storm duration |

|2006 |Tallahassee, FL |Inaugural Baum Library Lecture: Sustainability in a warming world |

|2006 |Rayleigh, NC |NCS College of Science Alumni Keynote Speaker. October 13, 2006 . Environmental tipping |

| | |points and hurricanes in a warming world. |

|2006 |Atlanta GA: |Georgia Tech. Alumi Assoaitaion. October 27. Environmental and social tipping points in |

| | |warming world. |

|2006 |Atlanta GA |Three-tiered hydrometeorological Forecasting: A useful system for the developing world |

| | |with ungauged river basins. : American Meteorological Society annual meeting. |

|2006 |Atlanta GA |Mixing politics and science: American Meteorological Society annual meeting. (Invited |

| | |paper) |

|2006 |Treiste Italy |Empirical forecasting of the Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillation. International Centre for |

| | |Theoretical Physics. March |

|2005 |Tallahassee, FL |Briefing of Gov. J. Bush on hurricane risk in Florida |

|2005 |New York, NY |The frequency, duration and intensity of hurricanes in a warming world. Keynote address: |

| | |Environmental Defense. November 7 |

|2005 |Dhaka, Bangl |Briefing to the Prime Minister of Bangladesh Office: The Climate Forecast Application |

| | |Project for Bangladesh. 24 August |

|2005 |Cairns, Aust |The coupled monsoon system. Dynamic Planet 2005. IAPSO/IAG August 22-23 |

|2005 |Irvine, CA |Three-tierred forecasting of river discharge and precipitation in the South Asian region.|

| | |GEWEX International Conference. 13-17 June. |

|2005 |Irvine CA |Modeling intraseasonal variability of the monsoon. GEWEX Special Conference on Monsoon |

| | |predictability. June 11-12 |

|2005 |Athens, Greece |Slow Manifold modeling and the reduction of erros in convective parameterizations. GEWEX |

| | |Cloud Systems Studies (GCSS) May 12-20. |

|2005 |Hobart, Aust |State of predictability of the intraseasonal variability of the Indian monsoon. Indian |

| | |Ocean Panel, 30 March |

|2005 |Hawaii |Monsoon prediction using Bayesian and slow manifold modeling. IPRC, Honolulu, Hawaii, |

| | |February 11 |

|2005 |Hawaii |The coupled ocean-atmosphere monsoon. AGU Chapman Conference, Honolulu Hawaii, February |

| | |10. |

|2005 |New Delhi India |Regulation of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system. MONEX-25 Conference. |

|2005 |New Delhi, India |Modeling monsoon intraseasonal variability with Bayesian and slow manifold modeling. |

| | |National Centre for medium Range Weather Forecasting: Feb 1 |

|2005 |San Diego, CA |Intraseasonal variability. American Meteorological Society |

|2004 |Hangzhou, PRC |Experimental three-tier overlapping prediction. WMO Forecasters Conference. November 2004|

|2004 |Hangzhou, PRC |Overview of the physics of the monsoon. WMO Forecasters Conference. November 2004 |

|2004 |Baltimore, Maryland |Monsoons (with J. Slingo and R. Mechoso). CLIVAR International Science Conference. June |

| | |20 |

|2004 |Miami, FL |Monsoons, AMS conference |

|2004 |Charlottesville, VA |Monsoons in a Warming World: Moore Lecture, Department of Environmental Sciences, |

| | |University of Virginia . April 7,. |

|2004 |Pune, India |Intraseasonal variability of the monsoon: processes and prediction . Keynote address. |

| | |Monsoon Conference |

|2003 |Melbourne, Australia |Empirical forecasting of monsoon intraseasonal variability and the utility to numerical |

| | |prediction. Convection Conference BMRC October, 2003 |

|2003 |ECMWF, Reading UK |Intraseasonal variability. Invited talk, ECMWF , Reading , UK. Workshop on Madden-Julian|

| | |Oscillation. November |

|2003 |Denver , CO |Monsoons in a warming world: Racing with the 4 horsemen. (with B. A. Webster). Invited |

| | |paper AAAS Annual Meeting. |

|2003 |Long Beach CA |Coupled ocean-atmosphere aspects of the monsoon intraseasonal variability and |

| | |consequences for prediction. AMS annual meeting Invited paper. February 11. |

|2003 |New Delhi, India |Forecasting monsoon variability on 20-25 day time scales: UNDP New Delhi, India |

|2003 |Bangkok, Thailand |Forecasting monsoon variability on 20-25 day timescales. GEWEX Scientific Steering |

| | |Group. |

|2003 |Dhaka, Bangladesh |The Climate Forecasting Applications in Bangladesh (CFAB) Plenary seminar. National |

| | |Consortium meeting. January 17-18 |

| | |. |

|2002 |Reading, UK |ECMWF Annual Seminar: Dynamics of the monsoon and the forecasting of deltaic floods in |

| | |Bangladesh. November. |

|2001 |Boulder |NCAR summer colloquium: ("Tropical Atmosphere and Oceans": Four lectures on the dynamics |

| | |of low latitudes, wave propagation and monsoons. July 9-20. |

|2001 |Seattle, WA |"The monsoon as a coupled ocean-atmosphere system". Invited seminar: Dept. Atmos. Sci., |

| | |University of Washington. |

|2001 |New Delhi, India |"The physics of the monsoon". Invited address International Colloquium on Monsoons, 21 |

| | |March |

|2001 |Reading, UK |"The monsoon". Invited seminar: Department of Meteorology, University of Reading. 19 |

| | |February. |

|2001 |London, UK |"The monsoon as a coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomena". Invited seminar at the Royal |

| | |Society, London. 20 February. |

|2001 |Southhampton, UK |The monsoon as a coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomena". Invited seminar: Southhampton |

| | |Oceanographic Institute, 21 February. |

|2001 |Reading, UK |"Preliminary results from the Joint Air Sea Monsoon Interaction Experiment: JASMINE". |

| | |European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. 22 February. |

|2000 |Fort Collins, CO |"Monsoons, Part 2: A theoretical view of the monsoon as a self-regulating coupled |

| | |ocean-atmosphere system." November. Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State |

| | |University. |

|2000 |Perth, Australia |"Predictability in the Australian sector resulting from the coupled ocean-atmosphere |

| | |nature of the Indian Ocean monsoon." Workshop on Sustained Observations of Climate in the|

| | |Indian Ocean (SOCIO), November 13-15. |

|2000 |Perth, Australia |"A case for sustained climate observations in the Indian Ocean: Emphasis on intraseaonal |

| | |variability." Indian Ocean Climate Initiative (IOCI 2000), November 9-10. |

|2000 |Venice, Italy |"Coupled ocean-atmosphere processes in the Indian Ocean: Intraseasonal to interannual. |

| | |"Conference on The Shallow Tropical/Subtropical Overturning Cells and Their Interaction |

| | |With the Atmosphere. October 9-13: Presentation given by Dr. Weiqing Han. |

|2000 |Cambridge, UK |"Monsoons at the millennium." Royal Society Conference on Meteorology at the Millennium. |

| | |Cambridge, England. |

|2000 |Honolulu, HW |"The Joint Air-Sea Monsoon Interaction Experiment (JASMINE): A Review." Presentation to |

| | |the International WMO/WCRP CLIVAR Scientific Steering Group. May 2-3. |

|2000 |Oracle, AZ |"Abrupt climate change: A tropical perspective," NRC/CRC Abrupt Change Panel, April 6-7. |

|2000 |Fort Collins, CO |"Monsoons, Part 1: An observational perspective," Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic |

| | |Sciences. Feb. 24. |

|2000 |Honolulu, HW |"The Joint Air-Sea Monsoon Interaction Experiment (JASMINE): A Review," CLIVAR Extended |

| | |Observation Program, January 27-Feb. 4. |

|1999 |Honolulu, HW: |1. "A perspective on monsoon meteorology and oceanography: MONEX to JASMINE". |

| | | |

| | |2. "The monsoon as a coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomena," WMO/WCRP International Monsoon |

| | |Conference. CLIVAR Monsoon Panel. December 6-10. |

|1999 |Silver Springs, MD |"Monsoon: Perspectives at the millennium," Center for Ocean-Atmosphere and Land (COLA), |

| | |November 24. |

|1999 |Venice, Italy |"Variability in the Indian Ocean and the monsoon," PAGES-CLIVAR Global Climate Workshop. |

| | |November 8-12. |

|1999 |San Antonio, TX |"Monsoon: Perspectives at the millennium," Center for Ocean-Atmosphere and Land (COLA), |

| | |November 24. |

|1998 |Taipei, Taiwan |"Evidence of Unstable Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Modes in the Indian Ocean," Asia-Pacific |

| | |Monsoon and Typhoon Meeting, Nov. 14--19, 1998. |

|1998 |Hanoi, Vietnam |"Towards the prediction of the East Asia Monsoon," ASEAN Conference on Climate, Oct. |

| | |10--17, 1998. |

|1998 |Greenbelt, MA |"Monsoons," NASA Goddard Lecture, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, June 9, 1998. |

|1998 |San Juan, PR |"El Nino: Physics and Impacts," Puerto Rico Forum on Global Change. March 6--8, 1998. |

|1998 |Bangkok, Thailand |"Monsoons: processes, predictability and the prospect of prediction." Asian Regional |

| | |Meeting on El Nino Related Crises. Jan. 30--Feb. 6, 1998. |

|1997 |Jakarta, Indonesia |"Monsoon-ENSO Interaction and the Prospects for Improved Prediction," International |

| | |Conference on El Nino. |

|1997 |Reading, UK |"An Anthology of Tropical Convection,” European Centre for Medium Range Weather |

| | |Forecasting, September. |

|1997 |Melbourne, Australia |"ENSO-monsoon relationships," IAMAS/IUGG International Conference, June 26--July 17. |

|1997 |Vienna, Austria |"On the Location of Organized Tropical Convection," European Geophysical Society, April. |

|1997 |Mexico City, Mexico |"Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction: Melding Science Objectives with Applications," |

| | |Keynote Address: Conference on Pan-American Climate Studies. |

|1997 |Seattle, WA |"The Monsoon: Processes, Predictability and the Prospects for Prediction," Department of|

| | |Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, Wa. |

|1997 |Bali, Indonesia |"Predictability of the Monsoons," World Meteorological Organization International |

| | |Workshop on Monsoon Studies, February. |

|1997 |Long Beach, CA |"The Scientific Objectives of the GOALS program," American Meteorological Society Annual |

| | |Meeting, January. |

|1996 |Kyoto, Japan |"Intraseasonal Variability and the Predictability of the Monsoon: The concept of a |

| | |Nudged Chaotic System," International Workshop on Climate Systems, December. |

|1996 |Trieste, Italy |“Lecture Series on Monsoon, El Nino and the Southern Oscillation,” Institute of |

| | |Theoretical Physics, July. |

|1996 |Washington, DC |"Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Interaction and Intraseasonal Variability of the Monsoon: A nexus |

| | |for GOALS and GEWEX," International Conference on Global Water and Energy (GEWEX) (with |

| | |J. A. Curry) |

|1996 |Boulder, CO |"Intraseasonal Variability and the Predictability of the Monsoon: The concept of a nudged|

| | |chaotic system," National Center of Atmospheric Research, November. |

|1996 |San Antonio, TX |"Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction in the western Pacific Ocean," DOE ARM conference, March. |

|1996 |Aspendale, Australia |"The Global Hydrology and Climate Stability," Division of Atmospheric Research. |

|1996 |Melbourne, Australia |"The location of Equatorial Convection: Role of Inertial Instability," Bureau of |

| | |Meteorology Research Center, May. |

|1996 |Atlanta, GA |"Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction: A Global View," January. |

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