S&P 500/400/600 Weekly Fundamentals
Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500/400/600
Weekly Fundamentals
Yardeni Research, Inc.
November 10, 2023
Dr. Edward Yardeni
516-972-7683 eyardeni@
Joe Abbott
732-497-5306 jabbott@
Please visit our sites at blog.
thinking outside the box
Table Of Contents Table Of Contents
S&P 500/400/600 Annual Earnings
3
S&P 500/400/600 Annual Revenues
4
S&P 500/400/600 Annual Margins
5
S&P 500 Annual & Quarterly Earnings
6
S&P 400 Annual & Quarterly Earnings
7
S&P 600 Annual & Quarterly Earnings
8
S&P 500/400/600 2023 Quarterly Earnings
9
S&P 500/400/600 2023 Quarterly Y/Y Earnings Growth 10
S&P 500/400/600 Indexes & Forward Earnings 11-12
S&P 500/400/600 P/Es
13
S&P 500/400/600 P/Sales
14
S&P 500 Revenues, Earnings, & Margins
15-16
S&P 400 Revenues, Earnings, & Margins
17
S&P 600 Revenues, Earnings, & Margins
18
S&P 500/400/600 Blue Angels
19
S&P 500 Forward Revenues & Earnings
20-21
S&P 500/400/600 Annual Earnings Squiggles
22
S&P 500/400/600 Sectors Forward Earnings
23
S&P 500 Earnings, Revenues, Margins
24-26
November 10, 2023 / S&P 500/400/600 Weekly Fundamentals
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500/400/600 Annual Earnings
Figure 1.
300
250
S&P 500 OPERATING EARNINGS PER SHARE (consensus analysts estimates in dollars, weekly, ratio scale)
200
300
24
23
11/2
250
200
Consensus Forecasts
150
Annual Earnings
150
Forward Earnings*
100
100
2023 2024 Frwd
Oct 26 219.91 246.10 241.57 Nov 2 220.38 245.75 241.85
50
50
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
235
205 S&P 400
175
145 Consensus Forecasts
Annual Earnings
115
Forward Earnings*
24
235
205
23
11/2 175
145
115
85
85
55
55
2023 2024 Frwd
Oct 26 172.83 194.98 191.15 Nov 2 172.80 193.51 190.32
25
25
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
130
110 S&P 600
90
70
Consensus Forecasts
Annual Earnings
Forward Earnings* 50
130
24
110
23
11/2
90
70
50
30
30
2023 2024 Frwd
Oct 26 86.76 96.30 94.65
Nov 2 86.82 95.29 93.99
10
10
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
* Time-weighted average of consensus estimates for current and next year. Note: Shaded areas are recessions according to the National Bureau of Economic Research. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.
Page 3 / November 10, 2023 / S&P 500/400/600 Weekly Fundamentals
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500/400/600 Annual Revenues
Figure 2.
1950
1800
S&P 500 REVENUES PER SHARE (consensus analysts estimates in dollars, weekly, ratio scale)
1650
24
11/2
23
1950 1800 1650
1500
1500
1350
1350
1200
1200
Consensus Forecasts
1050
Annual Revenues
1050
Forward Revenues*
900
900
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
2500
2250 S&P 400
2000
1750
24
11/2
23
2500 2250 2000
1750
1500
1500
1250
1250
1000
1000
Consensus Forecasts
750
Annual Revenues Forward Revenues*
750
500
500
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
1550
1350 S&P 600
1150
24 11/2
23
1550 1350 1150
950
950
750
750
550
Consensus Forecasts
550
Annual Revenues
Forward Revenues*
350
350
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
* Time-weighted average of consensus revenue estimates for current and next year. Note: Shaded areas are recessions according to the National Bureau of Economic Research. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.
Page 4 / November 10, 2023 / S&P 500/400/600 Weekly Fundamentals
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500/400/600 Annual Margins
Figure 3.
15
S&P 500 PROFIT MARGIN 14 (using analysts average earnings and sales forecasts, percent)
13
12
15
23 24
14
13 11/2
12
11
11
10
10
9
Consensus Forecasts
9
Annual Margins
8
Forward Margins* (12.7)
8
7
7
6
6
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
10
S&P 400
9
10
23 24 9
11/2
8
8
7
7
6
6
Consensus Forecasts
Annual Margins
5
Forward Margins* (8.2)
5
4
4
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
9
S&P 600
8
9
23
8
24
7
7
11/2
6
6
5
5
4
4
Consensus Forecasts
Annual Margins
3
Forward Margins* (6.5)
3
2
2
1
1
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
* Time-weighted average of the consensus estimates for current and next year. Note: Shaded areas are recessions according to the National Bureau of Economic Research. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv and Standard & Poor's.
Page 5 / November 10, 2023 / S&P 500/400/600 Weekly Fundamentals
Yardeni Research, Inc.
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