Survey of Registered Latinx Voters State of ... - Politico

[Pages:10]Survey of Registered Latinx Voters State of Florida

Live Interview Telephone, (Landline and Cell Phones) and Email-/Text-to-Web Survey

Conducted August 20th ? August 25th, 2020 n=1,081; Margin of Error +3.0 percentage points

EMC Research #20-7825

All numbers in this document represent percentage (%) values, unless otherwise noted. Please note that due to rounding, percentages may not add up to exactly 100%.

Hello, my name is_________ and I'm conducting a survey for ____________ to find out how people feel about issues in Florida. We are not trying to sell anything and are collecting this information on a scientific and completely confidential basis.

SPLIT SAMPLE (RANDOMLY ASSIGN 1/2 TO EACH)

Sample A

50

Sample B

50

LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW

English

75

Spanish

25

1. SEX (SELF-SELECTED/SAMPLE)

Male

45

Female

55

INTRO: My first questions are for statistical purposes only to ensure we're accurately representing opinions in your area. Your individual responses will be kept confidential.

2. Are you registered to vote in Florida?

Yes, Registered Democrat

38

Yes, Registered Republican

24

Yes, Registered Independent/Something Else

38

No, Not Registered TERMINATE

-

QCOUNTY. Which county do you live in? (COUNTIES CODED INTO REGIONS)

Ft. Myers

4

Miami

47

North Florida

5

Orlando

18

Tampa

17

West Palm Beach

8

EMC Research #20-7825

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3. What racial or ethnic group do you identify with most?

White or Caucasian

5

Black or African American

1

Hispanic or Latino

90

Native American or American Indian or Alaska Native

0

Asian

-

Mixed race

2

Something else

2

(IF Q3 = 1,2,4,5,6, OR 7, ASK Q4; n=112)

4. Are you of Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin or descent?

Yes

100

No TERMINATE

-

QCOO. From which country or territory does your family trace their heritage? (MULTIPLE RESPONSES ACCEPTED)

Cuba

30

Mexico

6

Puerto Rico

24

Central America (including El Salvador, Nicaragua, Guatemala, Honduras, Panama, Belize, Costa Rica)

9

Dominican Republic

7

South America (including Brazil, Argentina, Peru, Ecuador, Venezuela, Colombia, Bolivia, Uruguay, Paraguay, Chile)

18

Spain

16

Portugal

2

Other (Specify)

6

Prefer not to respond

3

QAGE. In what year were you born? (YEARS CODED INTO AGE CATEGORIES)

18-29

16

30-39

18

40-49

18

50-64

28

65 or over

20

Prefer not to respond

0

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5. What are the chances you will vote in the November election for President, U.S. Congress, and other offices ? are you almost certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances fifty-fifty, or do you think you won't vote?

Almost certain

90

Probably

5

Fifty-fifty

3

Will not vote

1

(Don't know/Refused)

1

(IF Q5 = 1-3, OR 5 ASK Q6; n=1,068)

6. Thinking about the election for President, U.S. Congress, and other offices in November, do you plan to vote in person ON Election Day, in person BEFORE Election Day, or vote by mail?

Vote in person on Election Day

33

Vote in person before Election Day

23

Absentee OR vote by mail

39

(Don't know/Refused)

5

7. How motivated are you to vote in this year's election for U.S. President (ROTATE; KEEP SOMEWHAT IN THE MIDDLE) not that motivated, somewhat motivated, or very motivated?

Not that motivated

8

Somewhat motivated

11

Very motivated

81

(Don't know/Refused)

0

8. If the general election for President were held today, would you vote for [ROTATE] Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Joe Biden?

Definitely Biden

46

Probably Biden

5

53

(Lean Biden)

2

Definitely Trump

31

Probably Trump

4

37

(Lean Trump)

2

Vote for a third-party candidate

3

(Undecided/Don't know/Refused)

7

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9INT. I'd like you to rate your likelihood of voting for (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Joe Biden using a scale of

zero to one hundred. Zero means there is no chance you would vote for them and one hundred means you

will definitely vote for them.

Very Unlikely Unlikely

Neutral

Likely

Very Likely

(Don't

SCALE:

(0-24)

(25-49)

(50)

(51-74)

(75-100) know/Refused)

(RANDOMIZE)

9. Republican Donald Trump

55

3

3

2

35

2

10. Democrat Joe Biden

38

4

4

3

50

2

(END RANDOMIZE)

11. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president?

Strongly approve

26

Somewhat approve

17

Somewhat disapprove

8

Strongly disapprove

45

(Don't know/Refused)

4

43 53

EMC Research #20-7825

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12INT. INTERNAL 12. INTERNAL 13. INTERNAL 14. INTERNAL 15. INTERNAL 16. INTERNAL 17. INTERNAL 18. INTERNAL 19. INTERNAL 20. INTERNAL

21INT. INTERNAL 21. INTERNAL 22. INTERNAL 23. INTERNAL 24. INTERNAL 25. INTERNAL

EMC Research #20-7825

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26INT. INTERNAL 26. INTERNAL 27. INTERNAL 28. INTERNAL 29. INTERNAL 30. INTERNAL 31. INTERNAL 32. INTERNAL 33. INTERNAL 34. INTERNAL 35. INTERNAL 36. INTERNAL 37. INTERNAL 38. INTERNAL

39. INTERNAL

40. INTERNAL

41. INTERNAL

42. INTERNAL

43. INTERNAL

44. INTERNAL

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45. How closely do you follow news and information about what's happening in politics today? Do you follow the news...(ROTATE ORDER)

Extremely closely

26

Very closely

31

Somewhat closely

29

Not too closely

9

Not at all closely

3

(Don't know/refused)

1

46. For information about politics, would you prefer to get your information almost entirely from Spanish-language sources, mostly from Spanish language sources but sometimes English, both Spanish and English sources equally, almost entirely from English language sources, or mostly from English but sometimes Spanish sources?

Almost entirely in Spanish

10

Mostly Spanish but sometimes English

6

Both equally/Bilingual

31

Almost entirely English

36

Mostly English but sometimes Spanish

16

(Don't know/Refused)

1

DEMO. These final questions are for statistical purposes only.

47. Were you born on the United States mainland, on the island of Puerto Rico, or in another country?

United States

36

Puerto Rico

15

Another country (Specify)

48

(Don't know/Refused)

1

(IF Q47 = 3, ASK Q48; n=533)

48. What year did you arrive in the United States?

1900-1919

0

1920-1939

0

1940-1959

3

1960-1979

25

1980-1989

15

1990-1999

25

2000-2009

25

2010-2019

5

(Don't know/Refused)

1

EMC Research #20-7825

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(IF Q47 = 1, ASK Q49; n=377)

49. Were either of your parents born on the island of Puerto Rico or in another country?

No, both parents born on the US mainland

17

Yes, Puerto Rico

20

Yes, another country

54

Yes, both Puerto Rico and another country

7

(Don't know/Refused)

2

(IF Q47 = 2, ASK Q50; n=158)

50. Were either of your parents born on the island of Puerto Rico?

Yes

91

No

9

(Don't know/Refused)

-

(IF Q49 = 2-4 ASK Q51; n=305)

51. Were just one or both of your parents born outside of the U.S. and Puerto Rico?

Just one

27

Both

62

(Don't know/Refused)

10

(IF Q50= 1 ASK Q52; n=144)

52. Were just one or both of your parents born on the island of Puerto Rico?

Just one

14

Both

86

(Don't know/Refused)

-

53. What is the last year of schooling that you have completed?

First to eleventh grade

2

High school graduate

15

Vocational or technical school

5

Some college, but no degree

18

Associate degree

12

Four-year college graduate or bachelor's degree

26

Graduate school or advanced degree

21

(Don't know/Refused)

3

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