Cloudy with a Chance of Tariffs ©2018 CliftonLarsonAllen ...

?2018 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP

Cloudy with a Chance of Tariffs and a Recession: 2020 Forecast

Jeff Servais, Principal ? Private Equity Steven Jones, Director ? CliftonLarsonAllen Wealth Advisors, LLC William Choler, Principal ? Manufacturing & Distribution ACG Global Webinar August 21, 2019

WEALTH ADVISORY | OUTSOURCING | AUDIT, TAX, AND CONSULTING

Investment advisory services are offered through CliftonLarsonAllen Wealth Advisors, LLC, an SEC-registered investment advisor

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?2019 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP

Session Overview

? Macroeconomic indicators ? Market indicators ? Geopolitical risks ? Conclusions for transactions in 2020

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?2019 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP

Macroeconomic Indicators

WEALTH ADVISORY | OUTSOURCING | AUDIT, TAX, AND CONSULTING

Investment advisory services are offered through CliftonLarsonAllen Wealth Advisors, LLC, an SEC-registered investment advisor

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?2019 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP

Real GDP

Since 1983, recessions have become less frequent.

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The average growth rate has slowed so now there is "less margin of error", making is easier for the economy to slip into recession.

Leading Index

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The Leading Index has fallen sharply in front of the last three recessions.

There has been no corresponding sharp drop-off.

?2019 CliftonLarsonAllen LLP

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