S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Profit Margins
S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Profit Margins (quarterly)
Yardeni Research, Inc.
October 18, 2023
Dr. Edward Yardeni
516-972-7683 eyardeni@
Joe Abbott
732-497-5306 jabbott@
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Table Of Contents Table Of Contents
S&P 500 Operating Profit Margins
S&P 500 Profit Margin
3-6
S&P 500 Sectors Forecasted & Actual Profit Margins
7-8
Communication Services
5-6
Consumer Discretionary
7-8
Consumer Staples
9
Energy
10
Health Care
11
Industrials
12
Information Technology
13
Materials
14
October 18, 2023 / S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Profit Margins
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Profit Margin
Figure 1.
16
14
S&P 500 PROFIT MARGIN (percent, quarterly)
12
10
16
14
12
Q2
10
8
8
6
6
4
4
2
2
0
0
-2
-2
S&P 500 Profit Margin
-4
Operating* (11.8)
-4
Reported** (10.5)
-6
-6
-8
-8
-10
-10
-12
-12
94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
* S&P 500 operating earnings per share (I/B/E/S data) divided by S&P 500 revenues per share. ** S&P 500 reported earnings divided by S&P 500 revenues per share.
Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation and I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.
Figure 2.
14
14
S&P 500 PROFIT MARGIN
13 (percent, trailing four-quarter average)
13
12
Q2
12
11
11
10
10
9
9
8
8
7
7
6
6
5
5
4
4
3
Operating (11.9)
3
2
Reported (9.9)
2
1
1
0
0
94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Source: Standard & Poor's (revenues and reported EPS) and I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv (operating EPS).
Page 3 / October 18, 2023 / S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Profit Margins
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Profit Margin
Figure 3.
16
S&P 500 OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN (percent)
14
Quarterly (11.8)
12
Trailing four-quarter
average (11.9)
10
16
14
Q2
12
10
8
8
6
6
4
4
2
2
94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation (revenues) and I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv (operating EPS).
Figure 4.
15
S&P 500 REPORTED PROFIT MARGIN (percent)
10
15
Q2
10
5
5
0
0
Quarterly (10.5)
-5
Trailing four-quarter
-5
average (9.9)
-10
-10
-15
-15
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation.
Page 4 / October 18, 2023 / S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Profit Margins
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Profit Margin
Figure 5.
14
S&P 500 PROFIT MARGIN (percent, dividing forward earnings by forward revenues)
23 24
14
13
13
10/12
12
12
11
11
10
10
9
9
8
Consensus Forecasts
8
Annual
52-week forward* (12.7)
7
7
6
6
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
* Time-weighted average of the consensus estimates for current year and next year. Monthly through December 2005, then weekly. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.
Figure 6.
14
S&P 500 PROFIT MARGIN MEASURES (percent)
13
12
11
14
13 10/12
Q2
12
11
10
10
9
9
S&P 500 Operating Profit Margins
Forward*
8
Actual (trailing 4Q average)
8
7
7
6
6
5
5
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
* Forward earnings divided by forward revenues. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv and Standard & Poor's.
Page 5 / October 18, 2023 / S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Profit Margins
Yardeni Research, Inc.
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