Refinance Report - Second Quarter 2017
REFINANCE REPORT
Second Quarter 2017
FHFA Refinance Report
Second Quarter 2017
Second Quarter 2017 Highlights
Total refinance volume increased in June 2017 as mortgage rates fell in May. Mortgage rates continued to decrease in June: the average interest rate on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell to 3.90 percent from 4.01 percent in May.
In the second quarter of 2017:
Borrowers completed 9,707 refinances through HARP, bringing total refinances from the inception of the program to 3,470,804. HARP volume represented 3 percent of total refinance volume. Year to date through June 2017: Borrowers with loan-to-value ratios greater than 105 percent accounted for 19 percent of the volume of HARP loans. Twenty-five percent of HARP refinances for underwater borrowers were for shorter-term 15- and 20-year mortgages, which build equity faster than traditional 30-year mortgages. HARP refinances represented 6 or more percent of total refinances in Nevada, and Florida, double the 3 percent of total refinances nationwide over the same period.
In June 2017, 6 percent of the loans refinanced through HARP had a loan-to-value ratio greater than 125 percent. Borrowers who refinanced through HARP had a lower delinquency rate compared to borrowers eligible for HARP who did not refinance through the program. Nine states and one U.S. territory accounted for over 60 percent of the Nation's HARP eligible loans with a refinance incentive as of March 31, 2017.
Overview and Eligibility of the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP)
HARP Overview
HARP was established in 2009 to assist homeowners unable to access a refinance due to a decline in their home value. The inception date of the program was April 1, 2009.
The program is designed to provide these borrowers with an opportunity to refinance by permitting the transfer of existing mortgage insurance to their newly refinanced loan, or by allowing those without mortgage insurance on their previous loan to refinance without obtaining new coverage.
HARP enhancements took effect in 2012 to increase access to the program for responsible borrowers. The program was scheduled to expire on December 31, 2013, and was extended to expire on December 31, 2015. On May 8, 2015, HARP was extended again to expire on December 31, 2016. On August 25, 2016, HARP was extended once more to expire on September 30, 2017. On August 17, 2017, HARP was extended once more to expire on December 31, 2018. HARP Eligibility
Below are the basic HARP eligibility criteria: Loan must be owned or guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Loan must have been originated on or before May 31, 2009. Current loan-to-value ratio -- LTV -- (outstanding mortgage balance/home value) must be greater than 80 percent. There is no LTV ceiling. Borrower must be current on their mortgage payments at the time of the refinance. Payment history ? borrower is allowed one late payment in the past 12 months, as long as it did not occur in the 6 months prior to the refinance.
Page 1
FHFA Refinance Report
Second Quarter 2017
Total refinance volume increased in June 2017 as mortgage rates fell in May. Mortgage rates continued to decrease in June: the average interest rate on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell to 3.90 percent from 4.01 percent in May.
Mortgage Rates vs Refinance Volume
ABC D
6.48
EF
G HI
J K L MN
600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000
6.04 5.29
5.42 5.06 4.97 4.71 4.84
5.00
4.93 4.74 4.35
4.51
4.11 3.96
3.95
4.07
3.47 3.57
3.68 3.35
4.49
4.46 4.16
4.34 4.16
3.98 3.86 3.96
4.20 3.57
3.89 3.69 3.46
4.20
Average Interest Rate on a 30- Year Mortgage 3.90
Number of Mortgages Refinanced by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
0
* Mortgage rates are from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, monthly average, from the Freddie Mac website.
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016 Jun
Source: FHFA (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)
2017
A - Highest rate in 2008 for a 30-year mortgage. B - GSEs placed into conservatorship on 09/06/08. C - Fed announces MBS purchase program on 11/25/08. D - Treasury rates sharply rose and reached a 2009 high
on a better than expected June unemployment report. E - 30-year mortgage rates reached 4.17 percent in early November, marking the lowest level observed since Freddie Mac began tracking rates in 1971. F - Treasury rates fell amid ongoing concerns of a growing debt crisis in Europe.
G - 30-year mortgage rates reached new historic lows in November 2012.
H - Mortgage rates rose after Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke stated in late May that the central bank was considering slowing its $85 billion per month bond buying program known as quantitative easing.
I - Highest rate for a 30-year mortgage since July 2011.
J - 30-year mortgage rates reached a monthly average of 3.67 percent in January, the lowest level seen since mid 2013.
K - 30-year mortgage rates reached a monthly average of 4.05 percent in July 2015, the highest level observed since September 2014, amid expectations of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
L - The Federal Reserve raised the target federal funds rate from a range of 0%-0.25% to a range of 0.25%-0.5% on 12/16/15 in response to a strengthening economy.
M - Treasury rates fell, amid a global flight to the safety of government debt, in response to uncertainty in the financial markets driven by the U.K. Brexit vote to leave the European Union.
N - The Federal Reserve raised the target federal
funds rate from a range of 0.25%-0.5% to a
range of 0.5%-0.75% on 12/14/16 in response
to a strengthening economy.
Page 2
FHFA Refinance Report
Second Quarter 2017
In the second quarter of 2017, 9,707 refinances were completed through HARP, bringing total refinances through HARP from the inception1 of the program to 3,470,804.
Refinances Through June 2017
Total Refinances Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total
1Q17
302,683 207,391 510,074
2Q17
222,453 134,256 356,709
2016
1,401,124 924,547
2,325,671
2015
1,187,887 897,049
2,084,936
Total HARP Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total
HARP LTV >80% -105% Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total
HARP LTV >105% -125% Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total
HARP LTV >125% Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total
All Other Streamlined Refis Fannie Mae Freddie Mac
Total
8,260 5,165 13,425
6,775 4,063 10,838
1,019 786
1,805
466 316 782
24,393 14,713 39,106
5,968 3,739 9,707
4,951 2,875 7,826
730 592 1,322
287 272 559
17,962 10,787 28,749
41,819 25,296 67,115
33,695 19,566 53,261
5,592 3,931 9,523
2,532 1,799 4,331
99,439 60,353 159,792
65,562 44,549 110,111
50,962 33,224 84,186
9,596 7,559 17,155
5,004 3,766 8,770
132,566 85,677
218,243
1 Inception - April 1, 2009 Source: FHFA (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)
Inception to Date
15,771,910 9,914,517
25,686,427
2,054,837 1,415,967 3,470,804
1,465,881 977,281
2,443,162
330,930 262,527 593,457
258,026 176,159 434,185
2,501,899 1,465,236 3,967,135
Page 3
FHFA Refinance Report
Second Quarter 2017
In the second quarter of 2017, 9,707 loans were refinanced through HARP, representing 3 percent of total refinance volume during the quarter.
HARP Refinance, Quarterly Volume
(Number of loans in thousands)
319
300
297294
280
264
250
122 112113
111
200
195115
204
150
74
150
139
85
100 50 0
Percent
31
14 17
88 40 48
1059410672 78 47 41 50 32
46 58 53 56 77
66 74
49061309114002109149197185182169130141353707
56 61 62
72 47
54 21 33
44 16
28
37 15
22
32 13
19
32 26 13 10 19 15
21 8 13
20 8 12
18 171
16 6 10
13 85
13 85
10
2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 17 17
of Total 2% 8% 11%14%15%12%11%14%17%16%10%17%27%26%22%21%22%23%23%21%16%11% 9% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% Refinances
3 3 3 Freddie Mac Fannie Mae
Apr May Jun 17 17 17
3% 3% 2%
S. ource: FHFA (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)
Page 4
FHFA Refinance Report
Second Quarter 2017
From inception1 through June 2017, 2,901,149 loans refinanced through HARP were for primary residences, 110,162 were for second homes and 459,493 were for investment properties.
1Inception - April 1, 2009
HARP Loans by Property Type Inception through June 2017
Total
Total HARP Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total
HARP LTV >80% -105% Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total
HARP LTV >105% -125% Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total
HARP LTV >125% Fannie Mae Freddie Mac
Total
2,054,837 1,415,967 3,470,804
1,465,881 977,281
2,443,162
330,930 262,527 593,457
258,026 176,159 434,185
Source: FHFA (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)
Primary Residence
1,695,086 1,206,063 2,901,149
1,234,067 850,625
2,084,692
266,013 218,035 484,048
195,006 137,403 332,409
Second Investment Home Property
61,910 48,252 110,162
45,049 31,522 76,571
8,859 9,106 17,965
8,002 7,624 15,626
297,841 161,652 459,493
186,765 95,134
281,899
56,058 35,386 91,444
55,018 31,132 86,150
Page 5
FHFA Refinance Report
Second Quarter 2017
In June 2017, 6 percent of the loans refinanced through HARP had a loan-to-value ratio greater than 125 percent.
140,000 120,000 100,000
80,000
Monthly HARP Volume by Loan-to-Value Ratio
HARP LTV >80%-105% HARP LTV >105%-125% HARP LTV >125%
60,000
40,000
20,000
0 Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun 1Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 17 2017
1 The number of completed HARP refinances reported for deeply underwater borrowers increased sharply in June 2012 as further enhancements to HARP went into effect. Starting June 1, 2012, lenders became able to deliver loans with loan-to-value ratios greater than 125 percent refinanced through HARP to the Enterprises to be securitized.
Source: FHFA (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)
Page 6
FHFA Refinance Report
Second Quarter 2017
Year to date through June 2017, borrowers with loan-to-value ratios greater than 105 percent accounted for 19 percent of the volume of HARP loans. The proportion of HARP refinances for underwater borrowers (LTV greater than 105 percent) refinancing to shorter term mortgages accounted for 25 percent. Shorter term 15and 20-year mortgages build equity faster than traditional 30-year mortgages.
100%
Percentage of HARP Refinances by Loan-to-Value Ratio
Mortgage Term of HARP Refinances of Underwater Borrowers (LTV Greater than 105%)
100%
80% 60%
56% 60%
LTV 80%-105%
73% 76% 79% 81%
91%
40%
80%
60%
82% 80% 75% 72% 73% 75% 30-year2
91%
40%
20%
44% 40%
0% 9%
27% 24% 21% 19% LTV >105%1
InceIpntcioenp Full Full Full Full Full Year to
to D-teiocn Year Year Year Year Year Date
201t1o 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Dec
1 I2n0cl1u1des HARP LTV >105%-125% and HARP LTV >125%.
Source: FHFA (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)
20%
0%
9%
18% 20% 25%
28% 27%
25%
15- and 20-year
InceInpctieopn Full Full Full Full Full Year to
to D-tieocn Year Year Year Year Year Date
201to1 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Dec
2 Inc2l0ud1e1s 25-year and 40-year mortgages.
Source: FHFA (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)
Page 7
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