The Future of Energy - Department of Energy
The Future of Energy:
Toward the 21st Century Energy System We Need (With an Eye on the Rear View Mirror)
Sue Tierney
Analysis Group, Boston, MA
Department of Energy "Energy All Stars" Day, Washington, D.C. ? January 19, 2013
My story: Redlands, CA, c.1955 ? at the foot of 11,500' mountains
Page 2
Los Angeles, 1967
Page 3
Getting more bang out of the energy we use
160
140
120
$ of U.S. GDP per MMBtu
(1951-2011, nominal $)
100
80
60
40
20
0 EIA, Annual Energy Outlook, 2012
Page 4
Wind
Solar
Shale Gas Coal
. Source: Coal Foundation
Page 5
Shale Gas Production
(2000-2010)
160
140
120
Wind Electricity Generation
100
(1990-2012)
80
60
40
20
0
1400
1200 Gas-fired Electricity Generation
1000
(1990-2012)
800
600
400
200
0
EIA U.S. data
4 3.5
Solar Electricity Generation
3
(1990-2012)
2.5 2
1.5 1
0.5 0 Page 6
Electricity and Gas as Percent of Disposable Personal Income
Bureau of Labor Statistics, cited by Dan Eggers, Credit Suisse
(1978-2011)
Page 7
Smog Advisories: 1977: 184 days Recently: 0-3/year
South Coast Air Quality Management District
; ;
Page 8
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