Alaska Fire Season 2019

The 2021 Seasonal Fire Weather Outlook

for Alaska

...or... "We'll Tell You What We Can" Eric Stevens and Heidi Strader, Alaska Interagency Coordination

Center

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Trust Me, I'm Your Friend

? The Skill of Seasonal Forecasts of Fire Weather in Alaska is...poor

? Did not see the extremes of 2019 and 2020 coming

? Still, there are a few pieces of information worth considering

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2021

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This Info Suggests...

? 75% chance that the Fairbanks winter snowpack will melt out after the "normal" date of April 22

? 50% chance that melt out is Apr 22-May 02 ? Snow depth always varies greatly across Alaska, as per the following

slides...

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