Energy Technology Perspectives

Energy Technology Perspectives

2020

Special Report on Clean Energy Innovation

Accelerating technology progress for a sustainable future

Energy Technology Perspectives Special Report on Clean Energy Innovation

Foreword

Foreword

There is no doubt that the energy sector will only reach net-zero emissions if there is a significant and concerted global push to accelerate innovation. It is also clear that there is a disconnect between the climate goals that governments and companies have set for themselves and the efforts underway to develop better and cheaper technologies to realise those goals. While we have witnessed tremendous progress in technologies like solar PV, wind turbines and lithium-ion batteries, the technological advances that will be needed demand a step change in both the speed at which innovation occurs and the scale at which new technologies are deployed. And this progress must be achieved in a way that makes our energy systems more secure and resilient.

The energy innovation challenge facing the world extends to sectors that have not significantly changed for many decades and that do not yet have commercially available low-carbon options. It also requires a rapid evolution of the technology mix, particularly in some emerging economies that are just starting out on their decarbonisation journeys. The under-appreciation of these urgent challenges in today's energy debate is a real concern. However, this Energy Technology Perspectives Special Report on Clean Energy Innovation provides reason for hope. It pinpoints the areas where innovation is most urgently needed and, crucially, recommends that governments integrate clean energy innovation into the heart of their energy policy making.

This report represents a new chapter in the International Energy Agency's (IEA) work under the Energy Technology Perspectives (ETP) banner. It is three years since the IEA released its last ETP report, and we have used that time to reflect on the critical technology challenges that need to be addressed in such sectors as long-distance transport and heavy industry, which are all too often neglected. The time away has also allowed us to develop improved modelling tools that now provide us with unparalleled capacity to answer key technology questions in more detail.

The return of ETP, starting with this Special Report and continuing with the release of the flagship ETP 2020 publication later in 2020, could not come at a more pivotal moment as Covid-19 has further complicated efforts to accelerate clean energy transitions. Since the crisis erupted, the IEA has mobilised its resources to support governments and other energy stakeholders, notably with the publication of our Sustainable Recovery Plan as part of the World Energy Outlook (WEO) series. The plan shows how specific policies and targeted investments over the next three years could simultaneously boost economic growth, create millions of jobs and make 2019 the definitive peak in global greenhouse gas emissions. This ETP Special Report builds on that foundation by setting out the key priorities for innovation to continually drive emissions down from that peak, all the way to net-zero.

Together, the ETP and WEO reports will provide the foundation for the IEA Clean Energy Transitions Summit, which will bring together dozens of ministers and CEOs, as well as leaders from the investment community and civil society, with the aim of driving economic development by accelerating transitions towards clean, resilient and inclusive energy systems. It is my firm conviction that the efforts we are now making ? including the revamp of the ETP series ? are significant advances in the IEA's modernisation agenda that I launched in 2015, which is putting the Agency at the forefront of sustainable and secure clean energy transitions globally.

Dr. Fatih Birol Executive Director International Energy Agency

IEA. All rights reserved.

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Energy Technology Perspectives Special Report on Clean Energy Innovation

Acknowledgements

Acknowledgements

This report was prepared by the Energy Technology Policy Division within the Directorate on Sustainability, Technology and Outlooks (STO) in co-operation with other directorates and offices of the International Energy Agency. The study was designed and directed by Timur G?l (Head of the Energy Technology Policy Division). The analysis and production of the report was co-ordinated by Araceli Fernandez Pales. The main authors were Araceli Fernandez Pales and Simon Bennett.

The main contributors were Thibaut Abergel (co-lead on buildings modelling and heat pumps analysis), Praveen Bains (bioenergy), Jose Miguel Bermudez Menendez (hydrogen), Chiara Delmastro (co-lead on buildings modelling and cooling analysis), Alexandre Gouy (batteries recycling), Peter Levi (lead on industry modelling and analysis), Raimund Malischek (CCUS), Hana Mandova (industry), Leonardo Paoli (batteries, spillovers, patents), Francesco Pavan (industry), Uwe Remme (lead on energy transformation and supply modelling), Jacopo Tattini (transport), Jacob Teter (lead on transport modelling and analysis), Tiffany Vass (lightweighting, policy, industry) and Sadanand Wachche (batteries recycling). Other contributors were Marine Gorner, Pierre Leduc, Taku Hasegawa, Trevor Morgan and Per-Anders Widell. Caroline Abettan, Claire Hilton, Reka Koczka and Diana Louis provided essential support.

Edmund Hosker carried editorial responsibility. Jennifer Allain was the copy-editor.

The main contributors from across the agency were: Niels Berghout (CCUS), Sara Budinis (DAC), Jean-Baptiste Le Marois (policy, innovation metrics) and Luis Munuera (technology readiness, spillovers). Other contributors were Adam Baylin-Stern, Louis Blanluet and Pharoah Le Feuvre.

Mechthild W?rsd?rfer, Director of STO, provided encouragement and support throught the project. Valuable comments and feedback were provided by other senior management and other colleagues within the IEA, in particular Nick Johnstone, Keisuke Sadamori, Laura Cozzi, Laszlo Varro, Joel Couse, Paolo Frankl, Tim Gould, Brian Motherway and Samantha McCulloch.

Thanks also go to the Communications and Digital Office (CDO) for their help in producing the report, including Jad Mouawad, Head of CDO, and Jon Custer, Astrid Dumond, Tanya Dyhin, Christopher Gully, Maria Kyriacou, Jethro Mullen, Isabelle Nonain-Semelin, Julie Puech and Therese Walsh.

IEA. All rights reserved.

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Energy Technology Perspectives Special Report on Clean Energy Innovation

Acknowledgements

The work could not have been achieved without the support provided by the Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry and the Netherlands Ministry of Economic Affairs and Climate Policy.

The analysis and findings in this report draw on strategic guidance received during an ETP-2020 consultation meeting with high-level energy officials and experts from government, industry, international organisations, finance and academia on 3 July 2019. Additional guidance came from insights, feedback and data obtained at a highlevel workshop on accelerating energy innovation organised by the IEA organised in Paris on 18 December 2019. The work also benefited from information and views provided by participants within the Technology Collaboration Programme by the IEA, which brings together thousands of experts across government, academia and industry from 55 countries in order to accelerate energy technology innovation.

Many experts from outside the IEA provided input, commented on the underlying analytical work and reviewed the report. Their comments and suggestions were of great value. They include:

Florian Ausfelder Monica Axell Chris Bayliss Nuno Bento Michel Berthelemy Sama Bilbao y Leon Herib Blanco Jean-Paul Bouttes Nigel Brandon Keith Burnard Iain Campbell Roberto Cimino Christopher Cleaver James Craig Colin Cunliff Sujit Das Jonathan Davies Carl de Mar? Bo Diczfalusy Francesco Dolci John Dulac Jean-Michel Durand Alessandro Faldi Alexander Farsan Maria Ferrara

DECHEMA Research Institutes of Sweden International Aluminium Institute Instituto Universit?rio de Lisboa Nuclear Energy Agency Nuclear Energy Agency University of Groningen EDF Imperial College TCP on Greenhouse Gas R&D Rocky Mountain Institute ENI Cambridge University TCP on Greenhouse Gas R&D Information Technology & Innovation Foundation Oak Ridge National Laboratory Joint Research Centre, European Commission ArcelorMittal Group Nordic Energy Research European Commission European Commission The European Association for Storage of Energy ExxonMobil WWF International Politecnico di Torino

IEA. All rights reserved.

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Energy Technology Perspectives Special Report on Clean Energy Innovation

Fu Sha Kelly Sims Gallagher Marta Gandiglio M?nica Garc?a Bertrand Gatellier Kirsty Gogan Lukas Gutzwiller Caroline Haglund Stignor Jacob Handelsman Andreas Hauer St?phane Henriot Antoine Herzog Howard Herzog Takashi Hongo Edmund Hosker Kevin Jayne Henry Jeffrey Goksin Kavlak Noah Kittner Christian Kj?r Moon-Hyun Koh Christian K?nigstein Kazuma Koyama Amit Kumar Marie-H?l?ne Laurent Magnus Lindgren Claude Lor?a Volkmar Lottner Claude Mandil Yuko Masuda John McCann Yann M?ni?re Paul C. Miles Roberto Millini Philippe Montarnal

Simone Mori Daniel Mugnier Manabu Nabeshima Sumie Nakayama Lena Neij

Motohiko Nishimura

Acknowledgements

Energy Foundation China Tufts University Politecnico di Torino TCP on Greenhouse Gas R&D IFP Energies Nouvelles Energy for Humanity Swiss Federal Office of Energy TCP on Heat Pumping Technologies American Forest & Paper Association ZAE Bayern IFP Energies Nouvelles EDF Massachusetts Institute of Technology Mitsui & Co. Global Strategic Studies Institute Hosko Ltd US Department of Energy TCP on Ocean Energy Systems Massachusetts Institute of Technology University of North Carolina Nordic Energy Research Soongsil University European Patent Office Daikin Industries The Energy and Resources Institute, India EDF TCP on Advanced Motor Fuels Global Cement and Concrete Association Former Chair TCP on Energy Storage Former IEA Executive Director Daikin Industries Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland European Patent Office Sandia Lab ENI French Alternative Energies and Atomic Energy Commission Enel Group TCP on Solar Heating and Cooling Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, Japan J-POWER The International Institute for Industrial Environmental Economics, Lund University Kawasaki Heavy Industries

IEA. All rights reserved.

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