Part VII. Multiple Deposit Creation: Introducing the Money ...



Multiple Deposit Creation: Introducing the Money Supply Process

So far, the focus of the course has been on interest rate (the cost of borrowing and lending). However, we know from our discussion at the beginning of the semester and later with Keynes’ liquidity preference framework that there is a relationship between money supply and interest rate. We have assumed so far that the Federal Reserve System is solely responsible for changing the money supply in the economy. In this section, we will begin our discussion on how the money supply is affected in the economy (i.e. the money supply process). We will see that the Fed is a key player in the money supply process but not the only player.

There are 4 major players in the money supply process:

(1) The Federal Reserve System

(2) The banking system (i.e. depository institutions)

(3) Depositors

(4) Borrowers

We will discuss the roles and functions of the Fed in detail in a later section. However, since the Fed plays a key role in the money supply process, we will provide a brief overview of the Fed in this section.

Brief overview on the functions and structure of the Fed

The Fed has 3 key functions:

(1) It conducts monetary policies using one of its three major tools (open market operation, reserve requirement, and discount window lending).

(2) It clears checks for member banks.

(3) It serves as a regulatory body for overseeing banks.

We will look at the Fed’s balance sheet (in the form of a T-account) to see what are some of its components that can affect the economy’s money supply. In this simplified version of the Fed’s T-account, we will focus on only 4 items: government securities, discount loans, currency in circulation, and reserves.

|Federal Reserve System’s T-account |

|Assets |Liabilities |

|Government securities |Currency in circulation |

|Discount loans |Reserves |

I. Assets

1. Government securities: The Fed holds government (i.e. Treasury) securities for two reasons: (i) buying and selling of Treasury securities is one of the Fed’s major tool (known as OMO) in controlling the economy’s money supply, and (ii) holding Treasury securities provides a return.

2. Discount loans: The Fed makes loans to banks through its discount window operation. The Fed does not encourage banks from borrowing through its discount window on a regular basis since the Fed is acting as a lender of last resort for the banks.

II. Liabilities

1. Currency in circulation: The Federal Reserve notes circulating in the economy are liabilities for the Fed. They are basically IOUs from the government issued by the Fed. For example, if the government wants to buy $100,000 worth of machine, how would it pay for it? Simply pay for it with $100,000 in Federal Reserve notes.

2. Reserves: All member banks of the Fed have to keep a certain percentage of the deposits accepted in very liquid assets (i.e. the reserve requirement). The banks can do so in two ways:

(a) All member banks are required to open an account with the Fed and they can maintain their reserves by making a deposit into that account.

(b) The banks can keep cash in the vault (i.e. vault cash).

The amount of money a bank has in the account with the Fed and in the vault represents the bank’s reserve. We can further break that reserve into two components:

(i) Required reserve: This is the amount of money a bank needs to keep by law. This is determined by the reserve requirement ratio (expressed as a percentage of a bank’s total deposit) set by the Fed.

(ii) Excess reserve: This is the additional amount of money a bank chooses to hold for liquidity reason.

It is important to note that the Fed’s currency in circulation and the Treasury’s currency in circulation (i.e. the coins) and the reserves make up the monetary base.

A simple model of creating (and shrinking) the money supply

We will see in this simple model that an increase in the banks’ reserves will lead to an increase in the economy’s money supply. It is important to point out that this simple model works only if the banks hold no excess reserves. In other words, a bank will only keep the required amount of money as required reserves, and use the excess money to make loans. This assumption is plausible because a bank earns no interest on its reserve but does on a loan.

We will discuss shortly that there is a direct relationship between money supply in the economy and the reserves in the banking system, i.e. when the reserves go up, the money supply also goes up. There are two ways the Fed can alter the reserves of a bank or the banking system: (i) buying and selling securities to the banks, and (ii) making and recalling discount loans from banks.

(i) Buying and selling securities to banks

When we compare the balance sheets of the Fed and a typical bank, we know that Treasury securities represent an asset and the reserve represents a liability for the Fed. On the other hand, Treasury securities and reserve both represent assets for a depository institution.

In this simple model, we will assume that the Fed deals only with the banks, and the banks deal with the public. We will demonstrate in the following example how the purchase/sale of government securities to a bank will affect that bank’s reserve.

Suppose the Fed decides to buy $1,000 worth of government securities to the LaSalle Talman Bank (LTB) in Elmhurst. The following table shows the results of that particular transaction on the Fed’s and LTB’s T-accounts.

When the Fed buys the government securities from LTB, the value of the securities in its portfolio increases by $1,000. And it pays for it simply by crediting (or transferring money into) the bank’s account at the Fed. (Keep in mind that the reserve of a bank represents a liability of the Fed.) As a result, the reserve of the Fed (as a form of liability) and the bank (as a form of asset) increase due to the purchase of government securities by the Fed from LaSalle Talman Bank.

|Federal Reserve | |LTB |

|Assets |Liabilities | |Assets |Liabilities |

|Securities +$1000 |Reserve +$1,000 | |Securities -$1,000 | |

| | | |Reserve +$1,000 | |

In the above example, we can see that the purchase of government securities by the Fed will result in an increase in reserve equivalent to the value of the securities. Similarly, we can easily observe with a similar example how the sale of government securities by the Fed will result in a decrease in reserve equivalent to the value of the securities.

(ii) Making and recalling discount loans

In the above scenario, we have seen that when the Fed buys/sells government securities, the change in reserve is equivalent to the value of the securities. In this section, we will examine how the Fed’s discount window operation will affect the reserve. Keep in mind that discount loans are loans made by the Fed to commercial banks through its discount window operation. It is important to remember that discount loans represent assets for the Fed but represent liabilities for a depository institution.

We will demonstrate the impact of the Fed’s discount window operation on the reserve with the following example. Suppose the Fed made a $1,000 loan to LaSalle Talman Bank through its discount window. The following table shows the results of that particular action on the Fed’s and LTB’s T-accounts.

When the Fed makes the $1,000 discount loan (DL) to LaSalle Talman Bank (LTB), that represents an increase of $1,000 in its asset (since a discount loan represents an asset to the Fed). And the Fed simply “deposit” the money in LTB’s account with the Fed. In other words, the Fed simply credits LTB’s account (i.e. the reserve goes up $1,000).

|Federal Reserve | |LTB |

|Assets |Liabilities | |Assets |Liabilities |

|DL +$1000 |Reserve +$1,000 | |Reserve +$1,000 |DL +$1,000 |

In the above example, we see that when the Fed makes a discount loan to a bank, the reserve will increase by the amount of the loan. Similarly, we can easily verify that when the Fed recalls a discount loan from a bank, the reserve will go down by the amount of the loan.

Money creation process (or deposit creation process)

In the above two scenarios, we have seen that the Fed can change the reserve of a bank simply by buying/selling Treasury securities and making/recalling loans. With these two scenarios in mind, we will proceed to examine the impact of such changes in a bank’s reserve on the economy’s money supply.

To understand the impact of the changes in a bank’s reserve (due to the Fed’s actions) on the economy’s money supply, we will illustrate with the following example. Before we proceed, it is important to note that this example is based on a very simple model with the following two assumptions:

a) Banks hold no excess reserve because excess reserve earns no return (and they are not required by law).

b) Individuals prefer to hold checking deposits than hold cash (i.e. individuals conduct all transactions with checks and not cash).

We will begin this example with the scenario where the Fed bought $1,000 worth of government securities from Bank of America (BA). In this case, the Fed simply credits BA’s account.

|Federal Reserve | |BA |

|Assets |Liabilities | |Assets |Liabilities |

|Securities +$1000 |Reserve +$1,000 | |Securities -$1,000 | |

| | | |Reserve +$1,000 | |

Since the increase in Bank of America’s reserve is a result of a sale of government securities to the Fed and not an acceptance of deposit, it does not need to keep any of it as required reserve. Hence, the $1,000 increase in reserve represents a $1,000 increase in excess reserve. Since reserve earns no return for the bank, it is assumed that the bank will “get rid” of the excess reserves by using them to make loans.

To simply our scenario, we will assume that Bank of America makes a loan of $1,000 to Bob. Since Bob does not have an account with BA, the bank will write out a check of $1,000 to Bob. As a result, the $1,000 in excess reserve of BA will be drawn down and that money will be converted into the loan made to Bob.

|BA | |Bob |

|Assets |Liabilities | |Assets |Liabilities |

|Securities -$1,000 | | |Check +$1,000 |Loan +$1,000 |

|Reserve +$0 | | | | |

|Loan +$1,000 | | | | |

Although Bob does not have an account with BA, he does have an account with the National Bank of Chicago (NBC). So he takes the check of $1,000 and deposits it with NBC. As a result, the deposit at NBC has gone up by $1,000.

|NBC | |Bob |

|Assets |Liabilities | |Assets |Liabilities |

|Reserve +$1,000 |Deposits +$1,000 | |Check +$0 |Loan +$1,000 |

| | | |Deposits +$1,000 | |

Suppose the reserve requirement for the banks has been set at 10%. In this case, NBC is required to keep $100 from Bob’s deposit as required reserve (RR). The rest of the deposit (i.e. $900) represents the bank’s excess reserve (ER).

|NBC | |Bob |

|Assets |Liabilities | |Assets |Liabilities |

|RR +$100 |Deposits +$1,000 | |Check +$0 |Loan +$1,000 |

|ER +$900 | | |Deposits +$1,000 | |

Since NBC is earning return for holding excess reserve, it will make a $900 loan to Mary. In this example, Mary does not have an account with NBC so NBC will write out a check of $900 to her.

|NBC | |Mary |

|Assets |Liabilities | |Assets |Liabilities |

|RR +$100 |Deposits +$1,000 | |Check +$900 |Loan +$900 |

|ER +$0 | | | | |

|Loan +$900 | | | | |

Once again, Mary, a customer of the Second National Bank (SNB), will take the check of $900 and deposit it with SNB. We know SNB needs only keep $90 of Mary’s deposit as reserve and loan out the other $810.

|SNB | |Mary |

|Assets |Liabilities | |Assets |Liabilities |

|RR +$90 |Deposits +$900 | |Check +$0 |Loan +$900 |

|ER +$0 | | |Deposit +$900 | |

|Loan +$810 | | | | |

It is important to note at this point that a bank cannot make a loan that is greater than the amount of excess reserves it has.

In this particular example, the $810 loan made by Second National Bank will go to an individual who has an account with another bank. That individual will deposit the check from Second National Bank into his/her account. This action will allow the individual’s bank to make loan with part of the deposit. This process will continue from one bank to another bank. We realized that the amount of loan a bank can make decreases in size (or amount) as the process continues. It will get to a point where banks are making very small size loans. The following table summarizes what has happen when the Fed initially bought $1,000 worth of securities from the Bank of America.

|Bank |( in deposits |( in reserves |( in loans |

|1. Bank of America |0 |0 |+$1,000 |

|2. National Bank of Chicago |+$1,000 |+$100 |+$900 |

|2. Second National Bank |+$900 |+$90 |+$810 |

|3. First Chicago Bank |+$810 |+$81 |+$729 |

|. |. |. |. |

|. |. |. |. |

|Total |+$10,000 |+$1,000 |+$10,000 |

Based on the above scenario, we have seen that the purchase of Treasury securities of $1,000 by the Fed resulted in an increase of $10,000 of checkable deposits in the economy. This is due to the money creation process “conducted” by the banking system. It is important to note that the above scenario is possible only if (i) the banks do not keep excess reserves, and (ii) all the loans are deposited in checking accounts and not taken out as cash. In addition, since individuals conduct all their transactions with checks, all the deposits created exist only in digital (or electronic) form and not in physical form. This is crucial in the money creation process.

The money multiplier and the money creation process

We can determine the amount of money (or deposits) created by the Fed by changing the reserves of the banking system. We can do this by determining the simple deposit multiplier for this simple model. The simple deposit multiplier is defined as:

[pic]

Hence, we can determine the amount of deposits created by the banking system as follows:

[pic]

In our earlier example, we have seen that the Fed’s action resulted in an increase in reserve by $1,000. Since the reserve requirement is 10%, we know the total amount of deposits created is as follows using the above formula:

[pic]

Since individuals hold only checking accounts and no currency, the money supply in the economy (as defined by M1) consists solely of checking deposits. As a result, we know in this simple model, the Fed’s action of buying $1,000 government securities from Bank of America resulted in an increase of $10,000 in money supply in the economy.

So far, we have seen how the banking system is able to create deposits based on an initial increase in reserves (by selling securities to the Fed or taking a loan from the Fed). The same situation can easily be applied to the case when the Fed reduces the reserves by selling securities to the banks or recalling loans from the banks. It is important to note that the simple deposit multiplier developed above also applies to this situation.

Problems with the simple model

There are several problems with this simple model of determining the impacts of the Fed’s actions on the economy’s money supply. This model assumes that (i) banks do not like to keep excess reserves and like to loan out any money that they are not required to keep, and (ii) individuals have preference for checkable deposits over currency. However, this is not the case in the real world. There are many reasons why a bank would like to keep excess reserves and why an individual would like to have currency rather than checkable deposit. In the next section, we will develop a model that takes such behaviors of banks and individuals into consideration.

................
................

In order to avoid copyright disputes, this page is only a partial summary.

Google Online Preview   Download