FHFA Refinance Report - Third Quarter 2017

REFINANCE REPORT

Third Quarter 2017

FHFA Refinance Report

Third Quarter 2017

Third Quarter 2017 Highlights

Total refinance volume increased in September 2017 as mortgage rates in August remained below the levels observed at the beginning of the year. Mortgage rates decreased in September: the average interest rate on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell to 3.81 percent from 3.88 percent in August.

In the third quarter of 2017: Borrowers completed 6,913 refinances through HARP, bringing total refinances from the inception of the program to 3,477,717.

HARP volume represented 2 percent of total refinance volume.

Year to date through September 2017: Borrowers with loan-to-value ratios greater than 105 percent accounted for 19 percent of the volume of HARP loans.

Twenty-six percent of HARP refinances for underwater borrowers were for shorter-term 15- and 20-year mortgages, which build equity faster than traditional 30-year mortgages.

HARP refinances represented 5 or more percent of total refinances in Nevada, Georgia, Illinois, and Florida -- more than double the 2 percent of total refinances nationwide over the same period. In September 2017, 6 percent of the loans refinanced through HARP had a loan-to-value ratio greater than 125 percent.

Borrowers who refinanced through HARP had a lower delinquency rate compared to borrowers eligible for HARP who did not refinance through the program.

Nine states and one U.S. territory accounted for over 60 percent of the Nation's HARP eligible loans with a refinance incentive as of June 30, 2017.

Overview and Eligibility of the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP)

HARP Overview

HARP was established in 2009 to assist homeowners unable to access a refinance due to a decline in their home value. The inception date of the program was April 1, 2009.

The program is designed to provide these borrowers with an opportunity to refinance by permitting the transfer of existing mortgage insurance to their newly refinanced loan, or by allowing those without mortgage insurance on their previous loan to refinance without obtaining new coverage.

HARP enhancements took effect in 2012 to increase access to the program for responsible borrowers. The program was scheduled to expire on December 31, 2013, and was extended to expire on December 31, 2015. On May 8, 2015, HARP was extended again to expire on December 31, 2016. On August 25, 2016, HARP was extended once more to expire on September 30, 2017. On August 17, 2017, HARP was extended once more to expire on December 31, 2018.

HARP Eligibility

Below are the basic HARP eligibility criteria:

Loan must be owned or guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.

Loan must have been originated on or before May 31, 2009.

Current loan-to-value ratio -- LTV -- (outstanding mortgage balance/home value) must be greater than 80 percent. There is no LTV ceiling.

Borrower must be current on their mortgage payments at the time of the refinance.

Payment history ? borrower is allowed one late payment in the past 12 months, as long as it did not occur in the 6 months prior to the refinance.

Page 1

FHFA Refinance Report

Third Quarter 2017

Total refinance volume increased in September 2017 as mortgage rates in August remained below the levels observed at the beginning of the year. Mortgage rates decreased in September: the average interest rate on a 30- year fixed rate mortgage fell to 3.81 percent from 3.88 percent in August.

Mortgage Rates vs Refinance Volume

ABC D

EF

G HI

J KL MN

6.48

600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000

6.04 5.29

5.42 5.06 4.97

5.00

4.93

4.74

4.71 4.35

4.84 4.51

4.11 3.96

4.07 3.95 3.473.57

3.68 3.35

4.49 4.46

4.16 3.98 4.344.16 3.86

3.96

4.20 3.57

3.89 3.69 3.46

4.20 3.90

200,000

100,000

Average Interest Rate on a 30- Year Mortgage

3.81

Number of Mortgages Refinanced by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

0

* Mortgage rates are from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, monthly average, from the Freddie Mac website.

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Source: FHFA (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)

Sep 17

A - Highest rate in 2008 for a 30-year mortgage. B - GSEs placed into conservatorship on 09/06/08. C - Fed announces MBS purchase program on 11/25/08. D - Treasury rates sharply rose and reached a 2009 high

on a better than expected June unemployment report. E - 30-year mortgage rates reached 4.17 percent in early November, marking the lowest level observed since Freddie Mac began tracking rates in 1971. F - Treasury rates fell amid ongoing concerns of a growing debt crisis in Europe.

G - 30-year mortgage rates reached new historic lows in November 2012.

H - Mortgage rates rose after Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke stated in late May that the central bank was considering slowing its $85 billion per month bond buying program known as quantitative easing.

I - Highest rate for a 30-year mortgage since July 2011.

J - 30-year mortgage rates reached a monthly average of 3.67 percent in January, the lowest level seen since mid 2013.

K - 30-year mortgage rates reached a monthly average of 4.05 percent in July 2015, the highest level observed since September 2014, amid expectations of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve.

L - The Federal Reserve raised the target federal funds rate from a range of 0%-0.25% to a

range of 0.25%-0.5% on 12/16/15 in response

to a strengthening economy.

M - Treasury rates fell, amid a global flight to the safety of government debt, in response to uncertainty in

the financial markets driven by the U.K. Brexit vote

to leave the European Union.

N - The Federal Reserve raised the target federal funds rate from a range of 0.25%-0.5% to a range of 0.5%-0.75% on 12/14/16 in response

to a strengthening economy.

Page 2

FHFA Refinance Report

Third Quarter 2017

In the third quarter of 2017, 6,913 refinances were completed through HARP, bringing total refinances through HARP from the inception1 of the program to 3,477,717.

Refinances Through September 2017

Total Refinances Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total

2Q17

222,451 134,256 356,707

3Q17

229,167 133,767 362,934

2016

1,401,124 924,547

2,325,671

2015

1,187,887 897,049

2,084,936

Total HARP Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total

HARP LTV >80% -105% Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total

HARP LTV >105% -125% Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total

HARP LTV >125% Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total

All Other Streamlined Refis Fannie Mae Freddie Mac

Total

5,968 3,739 9,707

4,951 2,875 7,826

730 592 1,322

287 272 559

17,962 10,787 28,749

4,266 2,647 6,913

3,467 2,133 5,600

521 348 869

278 166 444

13,506 7,683

21,189

41,819 25,296 67,115

33,695 19,566 53,261

5,592 3,931 9,523

2,532 1,799 4,331

99,437 60,353 159,790

65,562 44,549 110,111

50,962 33,224 84,186

9,596 7,559 17,155

5,004 3,766 8,770

132,566 85,677

218,243

1 Inception - April 1, 2009 Source: FHFA (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)

Inception to Date

16,001,075 10,048,284 26,049,359

2,059,103 1,418,614 3,477,717

1,469,348 979,414

2,448,762

331,451 262,875 594,326

258,304 176,325 434,629

2,515,400 1,472,919 3,988,319

Page 3

FHFA Refinance Report

Third Quarter 2017

In the third quarter of 2017, 6,913 loans were refinanced through HARP, representing 2 percent of total refinance volume during the quarter.

300 250 200

HARP Refinance, Quarterly Volume

(Number of loans in thousands)

319

297294

280 264

122

195115

112113 111 204

150

150

74

139

85

100 50 0

88 1059410672

40

78 32

47

41

50

31

77

14 48 46 58 53 56

17

66 74

96101102

197 185

115

40 39 40 149 109

56 61 62

182169 43 77

130 72

30 47

54 21 33

44 16

28

37 15 22

32 13

19

32 26 13 10 19 15

21 8 13

20 8 12

18 7 11

16

6 10

13 85

13 85

10

7

2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q

Percent 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 17 17 17

of Total 2% 8% 11%14%15%12%11%14%17%16%10%17%27%26%22%21%22%23%23%21%16%11% 9% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% Refinances

2 2 2 Freddie Mac Fannie Mae

Jul Aug Sep 17 17 17

2% 2% 2%

S. ource: FHFA (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)

Page 4

FHFA Refinance Report

Third Quarter 2017

From inception1 through September 2017, 2,906,274 loans refinanced through HARP were for primary residences, 110,372 were for second homes and 461,071 were for investment properties.

1Inception - April 1, 2009

HARP Loans by Property Type Inception through September 2017

Total

Total HARP Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total

HARP LTV >80% -105% Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total

HARP LTV >105% -125% Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Total

HARP LTV >125% Fannie Mae Freddie Mac

Total

2,059,103 1,418,614 3,477,717

1,469,348 979,414

2,448,762

331,451 262,875 594,326

258,304 176,325 434,629

Source: FHFA (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)

Primary Residence

1,698,298 1,207,976 2,906,274

1,236,726 852,199

2,088,925

266,384 218,283 484,667

195,188 137,494 332,682

Second Investment Home Property

62,025 48,347

110,372

298,780 162,291

461,071

45,140 31,595 76,735

8,876 9,119 17,995

8,009 7,633 15,642

187,482 95,620

283,102

56,191 35,473 91,664

55,107 31,198 86,305

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FHFA Refinance Report

Third Quarter 2017

In September 2017, 6 percent of the loans refinanced through HARP had a loan-to-value ratio greater than 125 percent.

140,000 120,000 100,000

80,000

Monthly HARP Volume by Loan-to-Value Ratio

HARP LTV >80%-105% HARP LTV >105%-125% HARP LTV >125%

60,000

40,000

20,000

0

Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun S1ep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep

09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 17 17 17

1 The number of completed HARP refinances reported for deeply underwater borrowers increased sharply in June 2012 as further enhancements to HARP went into effect. Starting June 1, 2012, lenders became able to deliver loans with loan-to-value ratios greater than 125 percent refinanced through HARP to the Enterprises to be securitized.

Source: FHFA (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)

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FHFA Refinance Report

Third Quarter 2017

Year to date through September 2017, borrowers with loan-to-value ratios greater than 105 percent accounted for 19 percent of the volume of HARP loans. The proportion of HARP refinances for underwater borrowers (LTV greater than 105 percent) refinancing to shorter term mortgages accounted for 26 percent. Shorter term 15- and 20-year mortgages build equity faster than traditional 30-year mortgages.

100%

Percentage of HARP Refinances by Loan-to-Value Ratio

Mortgage Term of HARP Refinances of Underwater Borrowers (LTV Greater than 105%)

100%

80% 60%

56% 60%

LTV 80%-105%

73% 76% 79% 81%

91%

40%

80%

60%

82% 80% 75% 72% 73% 74% 30-year2

91%

40%

20%

44% 40%

0% 9%

27% 24% 21% 19% LTV >105%1

InceIpntcioenp Full Full Full Full Full Year to

to D-teiocn Year Year Year Year Year Dtoate

201t1o 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 D2a0te17

Dec

2017

1 I2n0cl1u1des HARP LTV >105%-125% and HARP LTV >125%.

Source: FHFA (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)

20%

0%

9%

18%

20%

25%

28%

27%

26%

15- and 20-year

InceInpctieopn Full Full Full Full Full Yeeaarr to

to -Dtieocn Year Year Year Year Year Dtoate

201to1 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 D2a0t1e7

Dec

2017

2 In2cl0ud1e1s 25-year and 40-year mortgages.

Source: FHFA (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)

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