Stock Market Indicators: Bull/Bear Ratios
Stock Market Indicators: Bull/Bear Ratios
Yardeni Research, Inc.
September 16, 2020
Dr. Edward Yardeni
516-972-7683 eyardeni@
Joe Abbott
732-497-5306 jabbott@
Debbie Johnson
480-664-1333 djohnson@
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Table Of Contents Table Of Contents
Bulls & Bears
1
Bull/Bear Ratio Over 3.0
2
Bull/Bear Ratio Under 1.0
3
Bull/Bear Ratio Under 1.0 & Over 3.0
4
AAII Sentiment
5
Bull & Bears
6-9
September 16, 2020 / Stock Market Indicators: Bull/Bear Ratios
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Bulls & Bears
Figure 1.
6
6
INVESTORS INTELLIGENCE BULLS & BEARS
5
Ratio
Ratio
5
Bull/Bear
Sep 1
3.75
4
Ratio*
Sep 8
3.64
Sep 15
2.99
4
3
9/15
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
80
Percentage
Bulls Bears
70
Bulls
Sep 1
61.5
16.4
Sep 8
59.0
16.2
Bears
Sep 15
54.8
18.3
60
50
80
70
60 9/15
50
40
40
30
30
20
20
10
10
87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
50
50
45
Percentage
Correction
45
Correction
Sep 1
22.1
40
Sep 8
24.8
40
Sep 15
26.9
35
35
30
30
9/15
25
25
20
20
15
15
10
10
5
5
87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Source: Investors Intelligence.
Page 1 / September 16, 2020 / Stock Market Indicators: Bull/Bear Ratios
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Bull/Bear Ratio Over 3.0
Figure 2.
3800
3400
3000
S&P 500 INDEX vs. BULL/BEAR RATIO OF
2600
3.0 OR MORE* (ratio scale)
2200
1800
1400
1000
600
3800
9/16
3400
3000
2600
2200
1800
1400
1000
600
200
200
87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
* Red shaded areas indicate Bull/Bear Ratio equal to or greater than 3.0. Source: Standard & Poor's and Investors Intelligence.
31600 26600 21600
16600
Figure 3.
DOW JONES INDEX vs. BULL/BEAR RATIO OF 3.0 OR MORE* (ratio scale)
11600
31600
9/16
26600
21600
16600
11600
6600
6600
1600
1600
87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
* Red shaded areas indicates Bull/Bear Ratio equal to or greater than 3.0. Source: Wall Street Journal and Investors Intelligence.
Page 2 / September 16, 2020 / Stock Market Indicators: Bull/Bear Ratios
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Bull/Bear Ratio Under 1.0
Figure 4.
3800
3400
3000
S&P 500 INDEX vs BULL/BEAR RATIO
2600
OF 1.0 OR LESS*
(ratio scale)
2200
1800
1400
1000
600
3800
9/16
3400
3000
2600
2200
1800
1400
1000
600
200
200
87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
* Green shaded areas indicate Bull/Bear Ratio equal to or less than 1.0. Source: Standard & Poor's and Investors Intelligence.
31600 26600 21600
16600
Figure 5.
DOW JONES INDEX vs. BULL/BEAR RATIO OF 1.0 OR LESS* (ratio scale)
11600
31600
9/16
26600
21600
16600
11600
6600
6600
1600
1600
87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
* Green shaded areas indicates Bull/Bear Ratio equal to or less than 1.0. Source: Wall Street Journal and Investors Intelligence.
Page 3 / September 16, 2020 / Stock Market Indicators: Bull/Bear Ratios
Yardeni Research, Inc.
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