Intelligence Services, Part 2: Iran’s internal stability ...



Bolding within the text is just for me to note what came from soures, please ignore. Also, creative title ideas? This one is lame.

Intelligence Services, Part 2: Iranian strategies of internal stability, external destabilization and deception

Summary

In the ongoing intelligence war between Iran, the United States and Israel, the Iranian Minister of Intelligence Heidar Moslehi announced on Mar. 30 that his organization had carried out a ‘complicated operation’ in Pakistan [Link: ]. The Iranians claimed that a group coordinated by the U.S. CIA and Israeli Mossad captured one of their attachés in Peshawar, Heshmatollah Attarzadeh and he was rescued after a year (though in fact he was captured by jihadists or criminals). Moslehi claimed that the operation to rescue Attarzadeh proved the Ministry of Intelligence and Security’s (MOIS) “dominance over all other secret agencies active in the region.” These claims, however, were exaggerated [LINK: ], at least in this case. Iran indeed has a strong and capable intelligence apparatus, but the announcements of this operation, along with the capture of Abdolmalek Rigi [] may be a reflection of internal battles among Iran’s intelligence services.

Analysis

Iran has two major and competing services at the top of a larger intelligence community: the Ministry of Intelligence Security (MOIS) and the Intelligence Office of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). The bureaucratic battle between the two, as well as the many examples of working together, may serve as a road map for the future of Iranian intelligence operations, and possibly the regime itself. They have been purposefully designed so that no single organization could have a monopoly on intelligence. But in the last year STRATFOR has seen Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei take greater direct control of both.

The operations of Iran’s intelligence and paramilitary are directed first and foremost at maintaining internal stability, more so than other countries. Minimizing the threat posed by internal minorities [Link: ] and their potential to be co-opted by external powers is the first imperative for Iranian intelligence. While other countries such as North Korea need strong internal security services, Iran is a step above due to the challenge of its geography and wide array of ethnic groups. The second is awareness and distraction of foreign powers’ capabilities that threaten Iran. This involves traditional espionage but also disinformation operations and deployment of proxy groups to distract or destabilize foreign threats. Particularly in Lebanon, Iraq and Afghanistan, these groups give Iran a deniable but threatening, power projection capability. Third is acquiring better capabilities for Iran’s defense. Currently, the major focus is on Iran’s nuclear program, but this also includes missile and naval technology, along with repair parts for aging equipment- such as the F-14 fleet. They are also constantly recruiting and developing insurgent capabilities in case of war—both in and outside Iran.

Iran is most successful at operating behind a veil of secrecy. The leadership structure [LINK: ] is already confusing to outside observers (which is Iran’s intention). It is even more so for military and intelligence services, with multiple overlapping lines of authority at the top, and unclear connections to proxies at the bottom. The prime example of this is the IRGC, which is a complex combination of institutions: a military force, militia, internal police, intelligence service, covert action/special operations force, and business conglomerate, with proxies worldwide. More traditionally MOIS is the dual-functioning internal and external intelligence service. Both of these organizations overlap in responsibility, but one key point the President has more influence over MOIS, and the Supreme Leader over IRGC (but of course, this control overlaps as well). The Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) and the Supreme Leader’s Intelligence Unit are the parallel organizations where overall intelligence authority lies. The SNSC is the official state body for military and security decisions, based on intelligence, but still requires approval from the Supreme Leader. The Intelligence Unit is the secretive clerical organization that has the most power over intelligence activities and is designed to control MOIS and IRGC.

Iran’s secretive nature blends into operations as well. One of the first and most famous attacks instigated by a MOIS/IRGC proxy was the 1983 U.S. embassy bombing- for which the identity of the bomber is still unknown (a notable exception to the culture of martyrdom within terrorist organizations). Iran has connections with Islamist and militant groups worldwide, but especially extends its influence through those in the Middle East. The connections, however, have an extreme degree of plausible deniability that helps protect the Iranian state from blowback.

The most pressing issue for Iranian intelligence is a parallel structure where conventional intelligence, military and other civil institutions crossover in responsibility. This duplication of efforts, with different organizational and cultural backgrounds, can create major animosity and conflict. It can also be used to guarantee that no single entity has a monopoly on intelligence and the political power that stems from it, which is the likely intention of the regime. In the last year, the Supreme Leader of Iran, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has gone to great lengths to bring both organizations under his direct control. This gives him even more power over the President and insulates him from threats. The parallel structure allows better management of the intelligence process, but in the future, this could actually insulate the Leader with officials telling him what he wants to hear, rather than rigorous and honest intelligence reporting, as happened under the Shah. This issue is dangerous in many different countries but is particularly vital to Iran due to its similarity with the Shah’s downfall and as the intelligence war [link: ] continues across the Middle East.

A Brief History

Recent Iranian campaigns of assassinations and covert action could be traced back to the 11th century Nizari sect of Ismaili Muslims who set up their first mountain fortress in the Alborz Mountains of what is now northern Iran. While the Iranian leaders are not Nizaris and do not have direct historical links, their bases are both in Northern Iran and the Hashshashin campaign is remarkably similar to the activities of Iran’s intelligence apparatus today. Their enemies called them the Hashshashin, which is the root word for ‘assassin.’ Led by Hassan Sabah, they secretly infiltrated and converted local inhabitants near strategic fortresses under the Abbasid caliphate across the Middle East. The Nizaris trained sleeper agents who would be activated whenever Nizari minorities were under threat of persecution. They would use various tactics from leaving their signature daggers on the pillow of someone they were threatening to carrying out actual assassinations. For assassination they preferred using daggers and were careful only to hurt the target. They used disguises and often infiltrated the entourage of those they targeted. While many intelligence services attempt similar infiltration and assassination operations, most notably Russia’s KGB, the combination of covert success, infiltration of Islamic groups worldwide, and adherence to strict Islamic principle.

The modern history of Iranian intelligence begins with the infamous security services of the Shah. In 1953 Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlevi was restored to the throne in Tehran, at the behest of an infamous US-sponsored coup. The Shah’s power was based on the strength (or weakness) of the National Intelligence and Security Organization, better known as SAVAK, a Farsi acronym (Sazeman-e Ettela'at va Amniyat-e Keshvar). It was formed in 1957 under guidance of the Israeli Mossad and the U.S. FBI (or CIA F/Cing with Fred). Like its descendent (MOIS), it served under the Prime Minister, who was appointed by the Shah and was the nominal head of government. Also like MOIS, it had close links to the military and gradually was brought closer to the ruler as his power was threatened.

SAVAK was able to create a police state to enforce the rule of the Shah through extremely large informant networks, surveillance operations, and censorship activities. This was the ?first? time that an Iranian ruler attempted centralized control of the country, rather than by associations with local leaders. SAVAK was instrumental in controlling dissent, but at the same time exacerbated corruption and brutality, which disaffected the Iranian populace. One observer claimed that one in every 450 males was a SAVAK informer. The Komiteh and Evin prisons (later used by the IRGC) are infamous for torture and indefinite detention of anyone deemed threatening to the Shah’s regime.

The director of SAVAK was nominally under the authority of the prime minister, but he met with the Shah every morning. The Shah also created the Special Intelligence Bureau, which operated directly from his palace, to increase the ruler’s control over intelligence. SAVAK, while officially under a government minister, was brought more under control of the Shah by the end of his reign. The Shah also had his own Imperial Guard: a special security force and the only military stationed in Tehran. Even with, and perhaps because of, an extensive security apparatus, the Shah had alienated the Iranian population, and left Iran to the growing Revolution.

Prior to the Islamic Revolution, the security forces for a new regime were already taking shape. While Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini was exiled to the Shi’a holy city of Najaf, Iraq, Yasser Arafat visited multiple times to discuss Palestinian support for Iran’s own Islamic revolutionaries. Khomeini sent some of his loyalists the Bekaa Valley in Lebanon for military training where they received instruction at Amal Militia and Fatah training camps. By 1977 over 700 Khomeini loyalists had graduated from these camps. They were founding members of what was would later be called the IRGC (effectively the new Imperial Guards and intelligence service). The Shah’s forces were purged, and what was left was merged with the regular armed forces, or Artesh. Arafat flew to Iran on Feb. 5 1979 with Force 17, Fatah’s best trained commandos, to help the Khomeini loyalists enforce security. To replace the Palestinians and the informal revolutionary guard, the IRGC was formed on May 5, 1979 to protect the new regime from any possible counterrevolutionary activity and monitor what was left of the Shah’s military

In 1979 the revolutionaries overran SAVAK Headquarters, and its members were among the first targets of retribution. Internal security files were confiscated and high-ranking officers were apprehended. By 1981 61 senior intelligence officers had been executed in the Islamists’ purge. Even though SAVAK was dismantled, its legacy remained in the form of SAVAMA (Sazman-e Ettela'at va Amniat-e Melli-e Iran---National intelligence and Security ____?- checking with Yerevan). But in fact, the Revolutionary Guard was in control of intelligence activities.

SAVAMA was first headed by General Hossein Fardoust, who was actually a childhood friend of the Shah and former deputy director of SAVAK. He died in 1987, likely assassinated by the regime, but serves as one of many examples, including a claim that SAVAMA kept the same nine bureaus that the ‘new’ intelligence services was a SAVAK carbon copy. In 1984 it became the current service, the Ministry of Intelligence and Security, in a reorganization by the Army Military Revolutionary Tribunal. And this was when the parallel intelligence organization truly began.

From Exceptional Terrorists to Adept Agents of Influence

In 1982 an unnamed IRGC officer held a meeting with Imad Mughnyiah, at that time a young, disaffected Lebanese Shi’a in Lebanon to begin the first and most famous of Iran’s proxies.

It was approximately a month after Israeli forces invaded his homeland to quash the Palestinian resistance. Mughniyah was an experienced guerrilla fighter who had already been a member of the PLO’s elite Force 17 and a bodyguard to Yasser Arafat. There was no report or record of it, even amongst the world’s premier intelligence agencies, for years to come.

Mughniyah [Link: ] is now one of the most infamous and effective terrorists in history, and the IRGC officer is still unknown(?- still following up on this), but was likely Hussein Moslehi, IRGC’s liaison with the new organization in the years afterwards. The new group was one of a handful of cells that became Hezbollah. It would conduct many terrorist attacks, orchestrated by Mughniyah (many using different organizational names such as the Islamic Jihad Organization (IJO)) to promote ambiguity and confusion). Unbeknownst to many he had been given a secret officer commission within the IRGC in that first meeting. He was named the commander of a secret group, Amin Al-Haras, or Security of the Guards, and was told to recruit family and friends from his time in Fatah to wage a new jihad as the IJO.

Around this time, Mughniyah also officially became part of the bodyguard unit of Sheikh Hussein Nasrallah, a religious leader in the newly formed Hezbollah. In March 1983, he represented Nasrallah at a meeting in Damascus with the Iranian Ambassador to Syria, Ali Akhbar Mohtashemi. They decided to begin a terror campaign that became the first to repel a ‘foreign occupier.’ Mughniyah orchestrated the attacks: a truck bomb on American Embassy in Beirut on April 18; and a dual-truck bomb attack on the U.S. Marine barracks and French Paratroopers on October 23. By March 31, 1984 all the Multinational Forces in Lebanon had evacuated.

Mughniyah orchestrated many other bombings, kidnappings and plane hijackings that hid the hand of Iran, and even his own. When foreign governments wanted to negotiate the return of hostages held in Lebanon, however, they always went to Iran. The Iranians used their proxies’ captives as playing cards for political concessions and arms deals (like Iran-Contra). In 1988, however, Mughniyah orchestrated his last hijacking, Kuwait Airways flight 422, with the hope of freeing his brother-in-law from a Kuwaiti prison. It was executed perfectly, with eight hijackers using grenades to take control of the airplane mid-flight from Bangkok to Kuwait City. The hijackers managed the hostages with careful skill, spoke different Arabic dialects to disguise their Lebanese accents, and traded clothes to confuse the hostages. But the hijacking was not sanctioned by the Iranian government, and was not allowed to land in Beirut by Hezbollah and Syrian forces, which controlled the airport.

Iran had realized it no longer gained from provocative international terrorist activities. So Hezbollah turned into political group with an armed guerrilla wing to fight an unconventional war against Israel and other Lebanese forces. Guerrilla warfare replaced terrorism as the primary tactic for Iran’s proxies. Victories against Israel in 2000 and 2006 proved their effectiveness while Mugniyah became less active as a terrorist coordinator and was actually placed in a military command position. Iran never wanted to lose the deterrent threat of Hezbollah’s terrorist capabilities, however, and continued to develop plans and surveil targets [LINK ]. In 1994 Mughniyah was involved in planning the Buenos Aires attacks, and would ramp up surveillance to threaten its adversaries. But, for the most part, Iran had shifted its proxy tactics by his assassination in 2008 [LINK: ].

Paradoxically, Ahmed Chalabi personified a shift from international terrorism towards more careful agents of influence. Chalabi was one of three executives, and the de facto leader, of the Iraqi National Congress (INC)- a supposedly broad-based Iraqi opposition group to Saddam Hussein’s regime. It will never be clear who Chalabi really worked for, other than himself, as he has played all sides, but Iran clearly had major involvement in his activities. STRATFOR laid out the case for Chalabi’s relationship with Iran [] in 2004. We also noted that the false intelligence on Iraqi WMD provided by Iran through Chalabi did not make the decision to go to war in Iraq[], it only provided the right impetus to convince the public. Chalabi was more instrumental in convincing the armchair intelligence officers in the Defense Department’s Office of Special Plans that the threat of Shi’a groups in southern Iraq was minimal. His influence enabled the U.S.’ tactical failures in Iraq [] that allowed Iran’s unseen hand to gain power.

In May 2004 US officials revealed that Chalabi gave sensitive intelligence to an Iranian official. The information showed that the United States had broken the communications code used by MOIS. Chalabi demonstrated the skills of Iranian intelligence operations abroad- the ability to use proxy groups for direct action and intelligence collection while keeping its involvement covert, or at least plausibly deniable, for years. While there is much circumstantial evidence that Chalabi or Mughniyah were Iranian agents, the lack of direct evidence clouds the issue and allows Iran to continue to operate secretly.

The capability of Iran’s intelligence organizations to clandestinely attack and assassinate its opponents for Iranian security have transitioned to carefully developing agents of influence much like the Hashshashin took over strategic forts across the Middle East.

Organizations and Operations

Ministry of Intelligence and Security (MOIS)

MOIS, also known by it’s Farsi acronym, VEVAK (Vezarat-e Ettela'at va Amniat-e Keshvar) is Iran’s premier civilian external intelligence service by traditional standards with around 15,000 employees as of 2006. But the Constitution is one of many veils that covers Iranian internal politics and MOIS is constantly vying with the IRGC for control of intelligence operations and influence with the Supreme leader.

MOIS’ internal organization is unclear, but its’ authority and operations are identifiable. MOIS is a ministry in the Iranian government, which means its director is a minister within the Iranian cabinet under the President []. This gives the popularly elected President (though nominated by the clerics), some authority in MOIS intelligence activities. The Minister of Intelligence also serves within the Supreme National Security Council, where many intelligence-based decisions are made.

Training for MOIS officers begins with recruitment in Iran. Like any job in the Iranian government, officers must be strict twelver Shias (those that believe Ali was the first of twelve correct descendants of the prophet, Muhammad and expect the reappearance of the twelfth imam) and also velayat-e-faqih. Their loyalties to the Islamic Republic are tested often as they are trained at sites in Northern Tehran and Qom, according to STRATFOR sources. Before training they also go through a careful clearance process, which STRATFOR assumes involves a lengthy background check by counterintelligence officers.

Intelligence officers are placed in many cover jobs, a standard practice amongst the world’s intelligence services. Official cover involves embassy positions within the Foreign Ministry, such as two officers caught surveilling targets in New York City and the embassy officers who carried out bombings in Argentina in 1994. Like most countries, Iranian embassies and missions, such as the one to the UN, have large intelligence stations for intelligence officers. MOIS also uses many non-official cover officers including those posing as students, professors, journalists, and employees of state-owned or –connected companies. These include Iran Air and Iranian banks. According to STRATFOR sources, expatriate academics that often travel back to Iran from overseas positions due to family ties or emergencies may be MOIS employees (a practice not confined to the Iranians).

Recruitment of foreign agents, some of whom are given an official position within MOIS or IRGC, occurs mostly in overseas Muslim communities. Many are also recruited while studying in Iran. The first major recruitment target was Lebanon, and then spread to other Shi’a communities in the Middle East as well as those around the world. MOIS has individual departments for recruiting agents in the Persian Gulf, Yemen and Sudan, Lebanon and Palestine, Europe, South and East Asia, North America and South America. Their particular target in the latter is the tri-state border region of Paraguay, Argentina and Brazil where a large Lebanese Shia population exists [LINK: ]. Foreign agents are also non-Shia, whether sunni Muslims or of other backgrounds. Shi’a, however, tend to be the only agents that are fully trusted. MOIS agents are responsible for a wide range of tasks that fit into the intelligence collection and covert operations explained below.

MOIS’ domestic responsibility is prioritized over its foreign one. In reality this has shifted over time, especially as IRGC has taken over domestic security, but MOIS still has important domestic priorities. First, MOIS is actively thwarting reformists, from demonstrations to organizing to secret meetings. Second, its officers surveil and infiltrate Iran’s ethnic minorities, especially the Baluchs Kurds and Arabs among others. Third, they control economic markets, both to guarantee that economic elite cannot threaten the regime as well as control black markets for their own profits. Fourth they monitor the narcotics market. Though less involved in such activities than the IRGC, MOIS officers likely receive a percentage of the large quantities of Afghan heroin [LINK: ] that transit through Iran on their way to Europe each year.

MOIS foreign intelligence collection operations follow traditional methodology its predecessor learned from the CIA and Mossad, but also disinformation campaigns learned since the Revolution from the KGB.

Foreign intelligence priorities focus on the region but MOIS has worldwide operations. Their first foreign priority is based on the domestic one- to monitor, infiltrate and control dissident groups operation overseas. Second, MOIS develops proxy and liaison networks for foreign influence and terrorist and military operations- usually through pan-Islamism, Shia sectarianism, and Farsi-language connections. Currently they are most involved in networks amongst Iraqi-Shiite groups as well as groups in Afghanistan that speak Farsi dialects. The networks in Iraq seemed to be managed by IRGC, however, and are explained below. MOIS prioritizes developing and preparing proxies to use in response to an attack on Iran’s nuclear program. Third, MOIS is constantly identifying any major foreign threats to the Islamic republic, currently focusing on Israel and the US. Fourth, is its disinformation campaign to protect Iran and further its interests. In recent years, the focus has been convincing the rest of the world that an attack on Iran would fail in stopping its nuclear program as well as have disastrous consequences. And its final major priority is acquiring technology for defensive capabilities, currently focusing on its nuclear program, but also including finding repair parts for aging military equipment, such as the F-14.

MOIS calls its disinformation operations nefaq, which is an Arabic-Islamic word for discord. It learned these methods from the KGB where 80-90% of information released to foreign media or intelligence agencies are fact, while a small percentage is disinformation. This has most commonly been used to discredit reformist and opposition groups in foreign countries. It has also been used to distract foreign powers from its intelligence program as well as confuse them. Examples include Ahmed Chalabi’s deception of the United States, MOIS-operated websites claiming to be dissident or terrorist groups such as Tondar, and various information on Iran’s nuclear program.

Throughout the 1980s and 90s, Iranian intelligence operatives carried out assassination of dissidents abroad. Within the first year of Islamic Revolution, a monarchist was already assassinated in Paris. In a Washington, DC suburb a former Iranian diplomat and then critic of the Islamic regime, Ali Akbar Tabatabai, was shot in his home. One of most high profile of these operations was the killing of the last Prime Minister under the Shah, Shapour Bakhtiar, in Paris in 1991 (after earlier failed attempts). It is believed at least 80 people were assassinated by Iranian intelligence during this time period across Europe, Turkey, Pakistan, and as far away as the Philippines. This was on top of a series of murders within Iran of internal dissidents and scholars between 1990 and 1998 (allegedly 15 orchestrated by MOIS).

Assassination campaigns have decreased as Iranian intelligence evolved and as they killed of many of their monarchist targets. Iranians have shifted their tactics to include careful harassment, intimidation, and de-legitimization of dissidents worldwide. The fact that politically active Iranians abroad are not united, and involved in many different groups, leads them to report on each other to the local embassy or consulate. Such infighting allows Iranian intelligence to use emigrants to harass others or to provide intelligence for the intelligence officers’ own use. Representatives of Iranian missions have been known to monitor dissidents by infiltrating and observing their meetings or speeches. Often, MOIS officers want the dissident to know they are being watched in order to intimidate them. MOIS focuses many of its nefaq operations on disgracing dissidents for foreign audiences. MOIS operates websites, coopts dissidents and plants stories in foreign media to attack opposition organizations. Some of these groups are in fact terrorist groups such as the Marxist-Islamist group the Mujahideen-e-Khalq, others royalist and others in support of democracy, but often their reputations are heavily influenced by MOIS operations. MOIS officers and agents work carefully to get them officially named as ‘terrorist organizations’ or otherwise discourage foreign governments from working with them.

MOIS has its own department, reportedly number 15, responsible for subversive activities abroad, or what it calls ‘exporting revolution.’ MOIS has liaisons with many types of resistance and terrorist groups throughout the world, not just Islamist ones such as shipping weapons to the Irish Republican Army. MOIS concentrates, however, on groups within and near its borders. Iran has long had a liaison relationship with al-Qaeda, though that is just as much an infiltration for intelligence purposes as an alliance. MOIS will never fully trust a Sunni group, but as long as they have similar goals, will work in concert with them. The primary importance of such relationships is to collect intelligence on competitors for leadership of Islamic revolution and possible threats to it. The secondary reason for this liaison is attacks against Iran’s adversaries. The ebb and flow of its relationship with al-Qaeda reflects this. Reports differ on how close MOIS or other Iranian operatives are with al-Qaeda but cooperation seems limited. In the early 1990s Mughniyah and Hezbollah reportedly helped teach al-Qaeda how to make Vehicle-Borne Improvised Explosives Devices in Sudan. After 2001 Iran distanced itself from al-Qaeda- it even handed over al-Qaeda suspects to their home countries. But in some cases liaison, not an alliance, may have increased to get a handle on the insurgency there and in Afghanistan.

MOIS has numerous relationships with other non-Shia groups across the world. Remember that the Iranian Revolution began with the support of Fatah, a secular Palestinian group. In Palestine, its most long-term and close relationship has been with Palestine Islamic Jihad (PIJ) [Link: ]. But more notably Iran’s relationship with Hamas [LINK: ] has become closer as its leaders debate whom to choose as an ally. Iranian support was influential in the most recent conflict in Gaza, when Israel attempted to eliminate Hamas [LINK: ]. The relationship began in December 1992 when Israel expelled Hamas and PIJ operatives to Lebanon, where MOIS developed contact through Hizbollah. After this period, these Sunni groups developed suicide terror tactics that had not been used before. As Iranian largesse has increased Hamas transitioned from using homemade Qassam rockets [LINK: ] in their attacks against Israel to using manufactured rockets supplied by Iran [LINK: Nate’s rocket piece ] that provide them with a much greater range.

Iran has expanded its links to groups as far as Algeria and in the other direction to the Taliban in Afghanistan. These groups are ideologically separated from Iran, but have similar tactics and broad goals in fighting non-Islamic influence in their countries. MOIS is very successful at covering up or obfuscating information on these links, so little is known but much is suspected.

MOIS develops and organizes these contacts, from liaison to proxy operations, in various ways. One common method is the use of embassy cover to meet and plan operations with its unofficial associates. For example many of the Lebanon operations by Hezbollah and associated groups were planned from the Iranian embassy in Damascus, Syria. MOIS also works with IRGC to operate training camps, often on Iran’s borders, for visiting jihadists and proxy groups [LINK: ] in foreign but secure areas such as Lebanon’s Bekaa Valley. Department 15 also operates under non-official cover, especially with funding through Iranian banks and charitable foundations.

Currently the Minister of Intelligence is Heidar Moslehi [], a former Revolutionary Guard officer appointed by President Ahmedinejad after the June, 2009 election and protests [LINK: ]. Moslehi’s background working with the Basij and IRGC, and being a close ally of Ahmedinejad, furthers the IRGC’s current advantage over the intelligence bureaucracy. The IRGC, with the support of Khamenei, was able to accuse MOIS of not fulfilling its domestic responsibilities and letting the protests get out of hand.

Islamic Revolutionary Guards Council (IRGC)- Intelligence unit, Quds Force and the Basij Militia

The IRGC, and its intelligence unit, is the parallel to MOIS controlled by the clerical regime since the beginning of the Revolution. Its full name is Sepah-e Pasdaran-e Enghelab-e Islami, literally the Army of the Guardians of the Islamic Revolution. According to Stratfor sources, its intelligence units are on equal footing with MOIS, if they don’t already have the upper hand.

The IRGC founded by decree of Ayatollah Khomeini as the ideological guard for the new regime and is the main enforcer of the velayat-e-faqih, state rule by Islamic jurists [LINK: ] Article 150 of Iran’s Constitution gives it both the vague and expansive “role of guarding the Revolution and its achievements.” To enforce its commitment, the Supreme Leader has appointed political guides at every level of IRGC bureaucracy. It is as much a military force as an intelligence and security service, with an air force, navy and ground forces. With a large number of businesses and many former IRGC members becoming political leaders, the IRGC has grown into a social-political-military-economic phenomenon that permeates through Iran, and may even become the state itself. Its intelligence unit seems more active internally and the IRGC's key operational group abroad is the Quds force-- possibly the most effective direct action group[wc?] since what the KGB's First Chief Directorate and its predecessor organizations conducted what they referred to as “active measures.”

The IRGC is unique globally as an elite paramilitary organization with major intelligence capabilities that has essentially become the backbone of a state. Other countries, especially in the Middle East, have multiple military and security forces, but none with the expansion and control that the Guard have developed.

At first, the IRGC was one of many internal security forces for the revolution, including neighborhood komitehs (committees) that were freelance militias enforcing Islamic rule and revolutionary ideals. The IRGC became the primary security force for three reasons. First, it was successful in suppressing ethnic separatist groups, such as the Kurds and Balochis, as well as the Mujahideen-e-Khalq (MeK). But that did not make it unique, so the IRGC lays much of its legitimacy on its success in the “sacred defense” against Iraq. In fact, many of the Guard were killed on the battlefield during the Iran-Iraq war, an effective purge of amateur members that meant those who were both ideological and professional soldiers remained to lead. Finally, and most notably, it established itself through successful covert action campaigns in Lebanon.

From the beginning of the revolution until MOIS was completely established in 1984, IRGC actually maintained the most active part of the domestic and foreign intelligence apparatus. After dismantling SAVAK, the Revolutionary Guard worked with the leftover intelligence officers to disrupt and destroy many domestic groups including Forghan, the Mujahideen-e-Khalq and the Communist Tudeh Party. The internal intelligence role was transferred to MOIS in 1984, but the IRGC still existed as a “shadow” or “parallel” intelligence organization. The IRGC’s security division, Sazman-e Harassat, functions more like a domestic intelligence apparatus. It monitors dissidents, arrests separatist and imprisons them in prisons controlled by the Guards.

As a major political-military-security-economic conglomerate, IRGC has many organizations and operations. Its primary intelligence operations are run through its own intelligence department, the Quds force, and the Basij militia.

IRGC Intelligence

The Guard have their own intelligence office, the Ettelaat-e-Pasdaran, with a staff of 2,000 in 2006 (this has likely increased). It is difficult to separate its activities from the rest of the IRGC. It is under the command of Hassan Taeb, who was previously the Basij commander (see below). The July 2009 reshuffling that brought Taeb to power also gave it more power among Iran’s intelligence agencies.

The regime’s critics claims that IRGC intelligence is a “parallel intelligence and security organization” that includes the most conservative and violent elements of MOIS. When ‘reformist’ President Mohammad Khatami appointed Hojatislam Ali Younessi as Minister of Intelligence in 1997, conservative clerics were unhappy with the increased tolerance of political openness. The Supreme Leader pushed the IRGC to restart an informal intelligence network that served conservative interests. When Ahmedinejad became president, this is believed to have reversed when the new Minister of Intelligence, Hojatolislam Gholamhussein Mohseni-Ejehi, began to establish his bona fides by cracking down on internal dissent (but was also later fired). While the intelligence units are known to oppose each other bureaucratically, in the end they have the same goal of regime preservation. They are known to work together in many cases- especially through proxy forces- and thus reports of officers shifting between the two are not unlikely.

This unit is also responsible for security of the nuclear program. That means monitoring all scientists, securing installations, preventing sabotage, and counterintelligence against attempts to recruit Iran’s scientists.

Other activities of the IRGC’s intelligence office are unclear, but likely involve coordination of Basij intelligence for domestic security and work with the Quds force overseas.

Quds force

The foreign covert action and intelligence group was known originally as “birun marzi”-outside the borders- or Department 9000. When it was officially established in 1990, IRGC leaders settled on the name Quds Force, of which al-Quds is the Arabic name for Jerusalem and implies that they will one day liberate the holy city. It is enabled by Article 154 in the Constitution which should be quoted verbatim, “Accordingly, while scrupulously refraining from all forms of interference in the internal affairs of other nations, it supports the just struggles of the freedom fighters against the oppressors in every corner of the globe.”

While the Quds force officially began in 1990, the IRGC began establishing proxy groups years before. Since those groups are now under the command of Quds, we will address them here. The first operation began in Lebanon, where an unstable government, large Shi’a population, and partial occupation by Israel created the perfect opportunity for ‘exporting the revolution.’ In a reversal of the support Khomenei loyalists received a few years earlier, the IRGC sent two dozen trainers to southern Lebanon through Damascus in 1982. Probably among these were the clandestine founders of Hezbollah, the most infamous terrorist group of that decade.

The IRGC set up training camps in the Bekaa valley to train Islamic militia/terrorist groups. In September 1983, with the aid of the Amal militia, the IRGC took over the Sheikh Abdullah base from the Lebanese Army. It was renamed the Imam Ali training camp and became the IRGC base in Southern Lebanon. This base is now a training camp for the IRGC to teach local groups guerrilla and terrorist tactics.

The major Quds Force training centers are at Imam Ali University in the holy city of Qom, and the Shahid, Kazemi, Beheshti and Vali-e-Asr garrisons. Foreign Muslim students, who volunteer for such work, receive their training at secret camps in western Iran as well as the already mentioned centers. The Revolutionary Guard has also established overseas training camps, such as in Lebanon and the Sudan.

One main operational responsibility for the IRGC involves training the Hezbollah Special Security Apparatus which is the most elite force within Hezbollah and its associated groups. The Iranian military attaches in Damascus coordinates with the IRGC in the Bekaa valley for its work with Hezbollah and other groups in the area. There is also an IRGC headquarters in the Syrian border village of Zebdani to coordinate operations there to coordinate transfer of weapons and funds.

The Quds General Staff for the Export of the Revolution direct operations. This political staff has a series of directorates for overseas operations: Iraq; Palestine, Lebanon and Jordan; Turkey; the Indian subcontinent including Afghanistan; Western countries; North Africa; the Arabian Peninsula; and the Former Soviet Union. The Quds force also has operations in Bosnia, Chechnya, North and South America, Europe, Northern Africa, including the Horn, the Palestinian Territories, Afghanistan, Iraq, Kuwait, Yemen and Saudi Arabia.

Quds operations have been most prevalent of late in Iraq and Afghanistan. Quds worked with multiple, often opposing, proxies throughout Iraq to destabilize the regime until a Farsi-friendly government was established. They operate out of a command center, the Fajr Base, in the city of Ahwaz on the Iraqi border with an operational base in the Iraqi city of Najaf. Quds operatives have worked with Abu Musab Al-Zarqawi, the former leader of Al-Qaeda in Iraq [Link?: ]; Moqtada al-Sadr and his Mahdi Army [Link: ]; the Badr Brigades, the military wing of the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq [link: ].

IRGC operations in Iraq were highlighted in Jan. 2007 when US forces raided an Iranian consulate in Arbil [Link: ]. One of those detained was the local Qods commander, Hassan Abasi, who was also a major strategic adviser to President Ahmedinejad.

Basij Militia

Domestically the IRGC enforces security through the Basij militia who also aid intelligence collection. The Basij were founded in 1980 as the Niruyeh Moghavemat Basij which literally means Mobilization Resistance Force. At the beginning of the Iran-Iraq war Ayatollah Khomeini issued a fatwa (religious decree) that boys older than 12 could serve on the front line. Many of these youth were brought into the Basij to use for suicidal human wave attacks and as human mine detectors. As many as 3 million Basij members in total served during the Iran-Iraq in which around 1000,000 died. Many of them survived to become officers in the Revolutionary Guard. In fact, Iran’s current President, Mahmoud Ahmedinejad was a Basij member stationed in Kermanshah during the Iran-Iraq war and later became an IRGC officer.

The Basij only formally came under the IRGC command structure in 2007. But the Basij has long been affiliated with the IRGC and membership in the former often lead to a commission in the latter. The Basij were founded with similar principles as the IRGC- the need for a security forces to quickly replace those of the Shah and protect the Ayatollahs’ regime from any threats. While the IRGC is a paramilitary force, the Basij are a militia designed to include and train any and all volunteers. While the Basij were used in the Iran-Iraq war, they have become more of an internal vigilante police force. In a speech by the Basij commander in 2006, Hussein Hamadani spoke proudly of their informant network which they call “the 36 million information network.” That number was picked because it’s exactly half the population of Iran. While such an overwhelming number of informants is unlikely, they are definitely pervasive.

Basij units are organized almost like a Communist Party in some authoritarian states, existing throughout civil society. Each city is divided into ‘areas’ and ‘zones’ and villages have ‘cells.’ Units are organized at social, religious or government instutions, such as mosques and city offices. There are Basij units for students, workers, different tribes, etcetera. They have developed the Ashura Birgades for males and al-Zahra Brigades for females. Basij members are also arranged by their level of involvement with Regular, Active and Special rankings. Special Basij members have actually been on the IRGC’s payroll since 1991, before the Basij was put under IRGC authority. The Basij are recruited through local mosques with informal selection committees of local leaders, though mosque leaders are the most influential. With their large numbers the Basij claim to have been instrumental in preventing coups and other threats to the Islamic regime.

The Basij have been instrumental in stemming internal dissent and revolution. They claim to have stopped a Kurdish uprising in Paveh in July, 1979. In 1980, they claimed to have infiltrated what is known as the Nojeh coup, organized by different military and intelligence officers under the leadership of former prime minister Shahpour Bakhtiar. Allegedly the Basij had an informant who had infiltrated the conspirators and kept the regime informed of the plan. As fighter pilots were driving to an airbase in order to bomb the Shah’s residence and Tehran’s Mehrabad airport, they were intercepted and many of the coup plotters were arrested (and many eventually executed). In 1982, the Union of Iranian Communists, a Maoist political and militant group, instigated a failed uprising from the forest around Amol for which the Basij claim credit in stopping. All three of these were considered substantial threats to a young regime without institutionalized and entrenched security forces. They were also involved in policing the most recent election-related protests around Iran.

The Basij may in fact be the major link in security for the Iranian regime in times of instability. The official police (explained below, LEF) have had a mixed record in the past and for that reason the Basij have been used. Most recently during the Ashura protests [Link: ] and post-election protests the Basij were seen as most effective, while the civilian intelligence and security service were seen as failures by Khamenei. Because they are ideologically hardcore revolutionaries and don’t mind killing people to preserve the revolution. The most conservative political forces, with their Guard and Basij forces, have monopolized on this to take power from MOIS and LEF. The military itself is garrisoned away from population centers (which is not uncommon in the Middle East which want a second force to offset the military). Vigilante groups, which are more extreme and less organized than the Basij, are too undisciplined to enforce security. And while the IRGC officer corps is being used more for internal security, it is still a smaller force. Thus, Basij has become the nexus on which internal security relies, but the Iranian government is also responding to the risk of this reliance.

When the Basij was merged into the command structure of the IRGC in 2007, it was actually to turn the Guard inwards. As the new commander of the IRGC, Major Gen. Ali Jafari [Link: ], said at the time “The main strategy of the IRGC has differed now. Confrontation with internal threats is the main mission of the IRGC at present.” This shift came about as Tehran saw a growing internal threat that it claimed was fueled by foreign governments.

The shift, and the results in crushing and preventing protests more recently, exemplifies the intential vagueness and flexibility of the IRGC’s mission. As Jafari said further, “"We should adapt our structure to the surrounding conditions or existing threats in a bid to enter the scene promptly and with sufficient flexibility.”

The Revolutionary Guard can serve all purposes at any time as is required to keep the Islamic regime in power. Since combating internal and external threats requires quality intelligence it serves a major, if unclear to outsiders, intelligence function directly for the Supreme Leader.

J2 Intelligence and Security- Military intelligence

The J2 unit handles traditional tactical intelligence for the Artesh {LINK: ], Iran’s conventional army. J2 membership is composed of officers from all of the armed forces, including the IRGC and some law enforcement. This organization is involved in combat planning and coordination of all the regular services, combat units of the IRGC and police units that are assigned to military duties. They are responsible for all intelligence operations, planning, counterintelligence and security within the armed forces as well as liaison with other services and

Ministry of Interior and Law Enforcement Forces

The Ministry of Interior oversees Iran’s police, but has been pushed out of the security environment even more so than MOIS. Specifically, the Law Enforcement Forces (LEF), established in 1991 are legally responsible for internal security, and to that end, domestic intelligence. That year, the urban police, rural gendarmerie, revolutionary committees (komitehs) merged to form the LEF, which initially assisted the IRGC in domestic security. The police force is reported to number 40,000 and is responsible for internal and border security.

Overtime, the LEF became the day-to-day police and first line of defense, while the Basij provided backup and had ultimate responsibility for major protests and related dissent.

Oversight and Control

Understanding the internal networks of intelligence dissemination, as well as its command and control, is the most difficult subject of examination within Iranian intelligence and most interesting for Iran’s future. The government of Iran already has a convoluted political system [LINK: ], and its intelligence is even more so.

In the end, the Supreme Leader, currently Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is the customer and commander of Iran’s intelligence operations. Since the 2009 elections he expanded a special unit within his office to handle intelligence matters, as part of his effort to control Iran’s bureaucracy. Mohammad (Gholam Hossein) Mohammdi Golpayegani (sp?), essentially the chief-of-staff, runs Khamenei’s general office, which was established as the House of the Leader under Khomeini. Golpayegani was one of the founders of MOIS and previously served as a deputy minister of intelligence.

The Leader’s Intelligence and Security office is known as Section 101, according to Stratfor sources. Its purpose is to bring MOIS and IRGC under his central command. It reportedly includes about 10,000 people. This Section has the goal of controlling the ongoing bureaucratic conflict between IRGC and MOIS. It also is being used to clarify their responsibilities, such as directing more foreign intelligence gathering through MOIS, and covert action through IRGC. These assignments fit more properly with the original responsibilities of each organization, as well as their cultures and specialties, though duplication still exists and serves an important purpose.

Section 101, if that is it’s true name, is reportedly headed by Asghar Mir Hejazi (sp?), another Khamenei loyalist who previously served in MOIS. It is notable that both senior staffers in the House of the Leader have a MOIS, rather than IRGC background. In general, the IRGC is believed to gaining superiority over MOIS, but this shows the ability of individuals to transition between the civilian and clerical establishments as well as their aligned goals.

As Khamenei appoints loyalists within his own office to control intelligence flow, it reduces the prevalence of ‘speaking truth to power.’ Since intelligence organizations are not responsible for policy, they should have less interest and influence in it. Their primary interest is accurate and actionable intelligence. However, this division is never black and white, and since the IRGC is primarily a clandestine action organization it thus has incentives to evaluate those operations positively (this problem exists with other countries as well- such as the CIA). Stratfor has not seen any direct evidence of this, however the organizational changes of the current regime are similar to those that occurred under the Shah. This is explained by the need for a centralized and robust intelligence apparatus in Iran, but it could also risk intelligence failure like under the Shah. That is not to say the Islamic Republic is at risk, in fact its intelligence has been extremely successful at controlling dissent, only that this will be an issue to watch in the future.

The balance between IRGC, MOIS and LEF depends on how the clerics feel about internal threats, and external powers supporting them. Iranian leaders and state-controlled press often proclaim the United States is waging a ‘soft war’ on Iran and encouraging domestic revolution.

The recent shifts (and those from the past) are explained by the ongoing tension within Iran’s intelligence and security apparatus. No one organization is allowed a monopoly over intelligence, likely at the behest of the Supreme Leader. The balance of power between MOIS and IRGC intelligence is constantly shifting, though its currently in the direction of the latter. With the IRGC in control of military, business, intelligence and security organizations it is gradually becoming the state itself.

STRATFOR foresees two developments to watch: First, the centralization of intelligence under the Supreme Leader that could in fact undermine intelligence reporting. Second, the growing power of the Revolutionary Guard that could effectively take over the state itself. Both of these are responses to domestic instability, but could actually endanger the regimes power.

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