Treasury Debt Management - U.S. Department of the Treasury
[Pages:14]Treasury Debt Management
Timothy Bitsberger
Deputy Assistant Secretary U.S. Treasury Department
4N0o0minal Volume ($billions)
350
DAILY PRIMARY DEALER TRADING VOLUMES 3-MONTH MOVING AVERAGES
TIIS Volu3m.5e ($billions)
3.0
300
2.5
250 NOMINAL NOTES/BONDS
200
2.0
TIIS NOTES/BONDS 1.5
150
1.0
100
0.5
Apr-98 Sep-98 Feb-99 Jul-99 Dec-99 May-00 Oct-00 Mar-01 Aug-01 Jan-02 Jun-02 Nov-02
TURNOVER RATIOS FOR NOMINAL AND INFLATION-INDEXED TREASURIES1
3-MONTH MOVING AVERAGES
20% Nominal Volume/Outstanding
TIIS 3.0% Volume/Outstanding
18%
16%
2.5%
14% 12%
TIIS NOTES/BONDS
NOMINAL NOTES/BONDS
2.0%
10%
1.5%
8% 1.0%
6%
4% Apr-98 Sep-98 Feb-99 Jul-99 Dec-99 May-00 Oct-00
1/ Average daily primary dealer trading volume divided by outstanding amount.
Mar-01
Aug-01
Jan-02
Jun-02
Nov-02
0.5%
4.5%
PRIMARY DEALER TIIS POSITIONS AS A PERCENTAGE OF OUTSTANDING TIIS
3-MONTH MOVING AVERAGE
4.5%
4.0%
4.0%
3.5%
3.5%
3.0%
3.0%
2.5%
2.5%
2.0%
2.0%
1.5%
1.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.5% Apr-98 Sep-98 Feb-99 Jul-99 Dec-99 May-00 Oct-00 Mar-01 Aug-01 Jan-02 Jun-02 Nov-02
0.5%
10-year TIIS Issuance Represents More Than a Quarter of Treasury's Total 10-year Note Issuance
$billions 70
60 50 40 30 20 10
0 1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
10-yr TIIS Issuance 10-yr Nominal Issuance
2002
Outstanding Treasury Inflation-Indexed Securities
$billions
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0 1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002 Feb 2003
Source: US Treasury
SIZE OF GLOBAL INFLATION-INDEXED BOND MARKET VS. OTHER ASSET CLASSES
500
400
300
Billions
200
100
0 Global Inflation Indexed
Source: Bridgewater
Global High Yield
Emerging M arket Bonds Asset Class
Emerging M arket Equities
European Corporates
Distribution of Competitive Auction Awards of 10-Year Treasury Notes
10-Year Inflation-Indexed Notes
July 2002, October 2002 & January 2003
Financial Insts., 1%
Other, 4%
10-Year Fixed-Rate Notes
August 2002, November 2002 & February 2003
Financial Insts., Other, 2% 3%
Inves tment Funds, 25%
Foreign & International,
5%
Primary Dealers, 66%
Inves tment Funds, 15%
Foreign & International,
12%
Primary Dealers, 67%
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