United Nations Development Programme
Reporting Agency: UNDPCountry:ArmeniaSTANDARD PROGRESS REPORTNo. and title:“Mainstreaming Sustainable Land and Forest Management in Mountain Landscapes of North-eastern Armenia”, UNDP-GEF 00091048Reporting period: January-December 2018I. PURPOSEThe theory of change of this specific project is designed to ensure sustainable land and forest management to secure continued flow of multiple ecosystem services in North-eastern Armenia, namely Tavush and Lori regions, where 65% of the country’s forest resources and essential ecosystem services, such as water provision, landslide prevention and carbon sequestration are located. The project is directed jointly by the Ministry of Nature Protection and Hayantar SNCO of the Ministry of Agriculture. The expected major results are: updated forest management plans for 11 forest enterprises; delineation of 85,000 ha High conservation value forests, including improved management of 54,000 ha area in 7 protected areas; conservation and increasing of carbon stock in forest and non-forest lands through avoided 55,901 t carbon dioxide emission and sequestration of 21,493 t additional carbon; improved land and forest use on around 200,000 ha; 20% auxiliary income generation for the forest-dependent communities; rehabilitation of around 5000 ha degraded forests and 1000 ha of pasture lands; 3,000 ha forest land allocation for non-timber forest production and development of agro-forestry systems; livestock decrease by 30% in target communities nearby forests practicing unsustainable forest management; processed new package of national policy and normative documents.UNDAF Outcome(s): Environmental Sustainability UNDAF Outcome 4: Environment and Sustainable Development UNDP Strategic Plan Outcome 1: Growth and development are inclusive and sustainable, incorporating productive capacities that create employment and livelihoods for the poor and excluded. UNDP Strategic Plan Outputs: 1.3. Solutions developed at national and sub-national levels for sustainable management of natural resources, ecosystem services, chemicals and waste. Relevant CP/CPAP Outcome(s) and Indicator (s)Outcome: 4.1. Armenia is better able to address key environmental challenges including climate change and natural resource management.Output: 4.1.1. National policies and tools for implementation of and compliance with international environmental agreements are developed and adoptedThe Project contributes to:SDG 15 - Life on land (Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of terrestrial ecosystems, sustainably manage forests, combat desertification, and halt and reserve land degradation and halt biodiversity loss) and SDG 13 - Climate action (Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts).Partners: The Implementing Partner is the RA Ministry of Nature Protection (MoNP). The Responsible Party of the Project is the United Nations Development Programme. The senior beneficiary of the project is “Hayantar” SNCO.Funds: The Project is funded by GEF and co-funded by UNDPII. RESOURCES AND FINANCIAL PERFORMANCESimple matrix showing project’s total, annual and delivered resources, percentage, donors, funds. Attach CDR.The resources of the Project come from GEF and UNDP TRAC allocations totaling USD 3,157,169 for the period of 2016-2019 (Y2016: USD 161,016.98 - GEF: USD 117,866.98 and UNDP: USD 43,150.00; Y2017: USD 914,028 - GEF: USD 869,278 and UNDP: USD 44,750; Y2018: USD 1,173,984 - GEF: USD 1,123,634 and UNDP: USD 50,350).III. RESULTS, PROGRESS Annex 1: STRATEGIC RESULTS FRAMEWORKComponent 1: Enabling environment for the marzes in NE Armenia to plan, monitor and adapt sustainable forest and land managementOutput 1.1 Forest management plan guidelines/protocols updated for mainstreaming ecosystem, climate risks and biodiversity considerations into forest management planning in North-east ArmeniaCompleted in 2016Output 1.2 Geo-spatial information systems support forest inventory and mapping for forest management planning, development, implementation and monitoringThe draft Forest Management Plans of Gugarq and Yeghegnut Forest Enterprises (including separate management plans for “Margahovit” and “Caucasian Snow-Rose” state sanctuaries) were completed by August 2018. FMPs were revised for 28, 258.4 ha area of Gugarq and Yeghegnut forest enterprises. The drafted FMPs are circulated for official feedbacks. The accurate boundaries between Gugarq and Yeghegnut FEs and local communities were verified on the basis of purchased high-resolution satellite images. Monitoring was carried out on demarcation schemes and field demarcation activities in the field. Inventory of Artsvaberd FE, revision of FMP, and integration of new protocols into the FMP; correction of boundaries between the neighboring protected areas and the communities, delineation, and coordination with interested parties started on 30 June 2017, but contract was terminated by Aril, 2018 per request of contractor due to essential changes in the staff. Output 1.3 Revised forest management plans integrate considerations of biodiversity, ecosystem services, climate mitigation, and community resource use.Biodiversity, carbon, and ecosystem services protocols were included in the finalized draft Forest Management Plans of Gugarq and Yeghegnut Forest Enterprises. The completed FMPs were submitted to the Ministry of Nature Protection for feedback.Output 1.4 System for effective monitoring and enforcement of forest management plans, including clear delineation of roles and responsibilities of key partners and management of participatory processes in forest development.High-resolution satellite images were procured to assist in the verification of accurate boundaries between Forest Enterprises, local communities and protected areas.The project procured field mapping and monitoring equipment (GPS 750 Oregon and TDC 100 field computer) were transferred to national stakeholders after corresponding training and developed manual in Armenian.Output 1.5 Recommendations for national policy and regulations for facilitating adoption of sustainable forest management practicesA tested guideline for the forest carbon inventory and monitoring is prepared by project international expert.For February-March 2018 the project expert prepared, discussed with relevant stakeholders and delivered an amended draft law on “State forest service” according to the official request from the MoNP.National expert on Environmental Impact Assessment (Forest Ecosystems) was contracted by project to support MoNP in EIA cases.Output 1.6 Enhanced capacity for sustainable land and forest management within key agencies and communitiesThe collaboration with Armenian National Agrarian University (ANAU), and newly formed Department of Forestry and Agro-ecology was set up by September 2018. ANAU is supported by technical means and teaching facilities. There is an agreement to involve ANAU students in SLM/SFM project activities as interns, as well as there will be methodological support.The two international interns of project conducted workshops for the national stakeholders correspondingly on the following topics: GIS concepts and RS in forestry (conducted by Mr. Ken Glemarec- 9.08.2018) and National forest inventory and FMP systems (conducted by Mr. Levon Slagmulder-17.08.2018).Project team organized nationwide workshop for the forest sector stakeholders (6.07.2018) to clarify the on-going forest sector reforms and vision of newly appointed forest authorities, as well as potential roles of international organizations to support those reforms. For the project component II (output 2.2) the hired national expert conducted teaching and training for 80 livestock breeders in Tavush and Lori marzes for November 9-10, 2018.Together with UNDP DRR the project supported establishment of Youth Innovation Center in Stepanavan library for the application of drone technologies in summer 2018.Forest carbon international expert conducted 2 trainings in 2018 for national stakeholders on 5-6 July and 4-6 December 2018 covering Remote sensing and forest carbon calculations ponent 2: Investment in demonstrating improved sustainable forest and land management practices to reduce pressure on high conservation forests and maintain flow of ecosystem servicesOutput 2.1 Designation of High Conservation Value Forests covering 85,000 ha of current production and protection forests for species conservation and climate mitigationThe accurate boundaries between Gugarq and Yeghegnut FEs and protected areas were verified on the basis of purchased high-resolution satellite images. 12,922 ha High conservation value forests were delineated in Gugarq and Yeghegnut forest enterprises. In summer 2018 the following field trainings were conducted by project national expert on zoology for the staff of Tavush and Lori regions FEs to identify and monitor indicator bird and butterfly species to monitor forest ecosystem alterations. Output 2.2 Restoration of forests and pasture lands, and rehabilitation of multiple use forestlands through community forest resource managementIn October 2018 the UNDP signed contract with “Hayantar” SNCO on restoration of 2,000 ha degraded forest areas in 6 forest enterprises in Tavush and Lori regions. Ca 1,600 ha degraded forest landscapes are restored so far through mineralization, sowing and coppicing.For the project component II (output 2.2) the hired national expert conducted study, delineation, preparation of rehabilitation measures, consultation for local community members on degraded forest and forest adjacent community pastures in Armenia's Lori and Tavush marzes (totally for 1000 ha area). Output 2.3 Alternative livelihood programs for local communities as incentive to conserve forests and biological resourcesIn the beginning of 2018 the project procured anti-hail nets for Tavush and Lori regions farmers. The installation of the anti-hail nets assists the development of agriculture in the region, thus relieving the pressure on the forestsIn 2018 the project through UNDP-GEF Small Grants Programme supported two local NGOs in Tavush region to: (a) Testing and manufacturing of energy-saving heating and cooking stoves in Noyemberyan, (so far were produced and delivered 278 energy efficient ovens) and (b) Photovoltaic systems and solar water heaters in kindergartens in Ijevan, Koghb, Koti and Bagratashen communities.The project through UNDP SGP modality contracted “Lore Rescue Team” LLC in Stepanavan (Lori region) to prepare “Rope park” attraction area in pine forest to develop recreational ecosystem forest service as an alternative to logging. The park is functioning since November 208. The project through UNDP SGP modality contracted COAF foundation in Debet community to develop backyard berry farming as a source of alternative income and leverage of pressure on surrounding forest ecosystems. In August-November, 2018 the project along with WWF-Armenia has realized microgrant program in Teghut and Haghartsin villages (Dilijan consolidated community) to provide social entrepreneurship and alternative sources of income for local households and release the pressure from the surrounding forest ecosystems of Dilijan national park.Output 2.4 Integrated strategy for management of firewood collection and distribution from forests.In January-March 2018 the project procured and delivered agricultural machinery (two tractors) and mechanisms (the plow 5 case hinged, cultivator, baler, mower and forklift) to Mets Parni community of Lory marz, to support the set-up of model briquetting production unit. The briquetting facility was procured and installed in June-July 2018. The briquetting facility is functioning since August 2018 as an alternative to fuel-wood consumption. The production provides new jobs in the village, and create alternative fuels, thus reducing the dependence of the community on fuelwood.Output 2.5 Carbon stock assessments and coefficients for key forest types in NE ArmeniaThe forest inventory, soil sampling and laboratory processing of forest carbon for 300 sample plots, (including ca.270 forest inventory and 30 soil, litter and herbaceous sample plots) was completed by December 2018. The national coefficients for major forest types of northern and north-eastern major forest types will be announced by early 2019Annex 1. STRATEGIC RESULTS FRAMEWORKIV. GENDER MAINSTREAMING RESULTS The project has developed a draft gender analysis in early 2018. Traditionally Armenian women were not considered as important players in forest management, protection and other related activities though they were always well-accepted as active users of many forest products (NTFP, pasture, hay lands, grazing, etc.). The project has been using this specific behavior pattern to enlarge the involvement of women in various activities of the project. In particular: From the start of project 100 pasture stakeholders (of which 50 were women) (in 2018 70 pasture stakeholders of which 40 were women) have undergone technical and skills training and development in sustainable pasture management in Ijevan, Noyemberyan, Gugarq an Yeghegnut FEs. The particular topics of trainings, which were conducted initially by inventory team and later by project pasture and grassland management expert are: the forms, dates and methods of wild plants collection; recognition of useful and poisonous plants; the possible reasons of low milking, weight loss, strange colored milk and/or meat; rotational grazing for sustainable management of pasture lands; types and prevention means of pastures degradation. From the start of project 260 (of which 100 were women) (200 persons in 2018, of which 85 were women) forest dependents trained in technical skills for sustainable forest resource use in Ijevan, Noyemberyan, Gugarq and Yeghegnut FEs. Forest enterprise staff and local community members were informed and trained in sustainable use of different type of forest ecosystems meaning and use: including water regulation, soil protection, climate regulation in-direct ecosystem values; NTFP sustainable for current and future generations; opportunities for eco-tourism development and alternatives to fuel wood consumption. In 2018 the project organized two (2) trainings on indicator bird and butterfly species in project area in Vanadzor (Lori region) and in Zikatar (Tavush region). In both cases women are registered as participants in these trainings. The project organized a two-day seminar on remote sensing for forest monitoring for 5-6 July 2018 where 30% of participants were women representing Ministry of Nature Protection, “ArmForest” state service, American University of Armenia and State forest monitoring center. Also, the team for scaling up forest carbon inventory and lab analyses in 2018 was women. In the workshop on forest carbon calculations, that took place for 4-7 December 2018 40% of participants were women. Forty percent of the Project Advisory Board constitute women, an important achievement on part of the project for a more balanced discussion and decision-making. Many active public organizations and NGOs in Tavush and Lori region are headed by women and play important role for the project, e.g. Bridge of Hope; an NGO headed by a woman was awarded a grant for the installation of solar panels and solar heaters in 4 kindergartens. In order to do gender mainstreaming more effective and targeted the project will have an international gender advisor for December 15, 2018-January 31, 2019 to develop recommendations/gender action plan and disaggregated SMART indicators on how to mainstream gender per project activities and expected results. V. RISKS LOG The risk logs are updated and elaborated in the:Annex II UPDATED RISK LOG FROM PRODOC AND SESP RISKSVVI. LESSONS LEARNEDThe important lessons learned for the reporting period raised from the project activities for the drafting of forest management plans-FMP (output 1.2), large-scale forest restoration activities (output 2.2) and establishment of briquetting facility in Mets Parni community (output 2.4). The “GeoInfo” LLC was contracted to draft FMP for Artsvaberd FE for July 2017-February 2018 period, but did not complete the task due to major changes in staff. The PMU could be prepared for such kind of development if would count the fact that in the country there is evident lack of skilled professional foresters and that involvement of international expert would be expensive and non-effective (due to language issues). Anyhow this circumstance and lesson will be considered for coming similar activities.Large-scale forest restoration activities that are performing for October 2018-April 30 were not well prepared due to un-expected changes in responsible party (State Forest Committee and “Hayantar” SNCO) administration changes in September and October. New administration of “Hayantar” SNCO took some time to go into “business” and thus important, seasonal -linked activities were delayed a little bit. This might impact on project outcomes quality, despite two monitoring schemes (State Forest Monitoring Center and Independent expert) were applied urgently to mitigate the possible risks. This mean that large-scale interventions should be well prepared and cleared well in advance of planned intervention.The established briquetting facility in Mets Parni community of Lori region was planned to function since May 2018, but in reality, it started to produce the first briquettes only in August 2018. The reason for such delay was postponed delivery of briquetting facility. The same type of delivery delay is for crusher that again will be used in Mets Parni briquetting facility. There are of course certain reasons behind these delays (strikes in the country of origin, transportation issues related to weather, etc.), but anyhow these circumstances essentially impact on project effectiveness. The lesson learned from this activity for PMU is increased quality of supplier selection and may be more rigorous technical evaluation. VVII. EVALUATIONSIn 2018 the project has undergone of mid-term evaluation. The mid-term expert was hired for April-August 2018 period who conducted his activities according to the elaborated ToR. The final MTR was provided with almost 3 months delay. The MTR contains concise and complex analyses of project status and set of recommendations (19), which are rathe useful for the justification of project management and actions for the rest of project implementation period. The final recommendations of expert and management response are presented in the Annex III.Annex I: STRATEGIC RESULTS FRAMEWORK (SRF) This project will contribute to achieving the following Country Programme Outcome as defined in CPAP or CPD: Country Programme Outcome Indicators:Primary applicable Key Environment and Sustainable Development Key Result Area (same as that on the cover page, circle one): 1. Mainstreaming environment and energy OR2. Catalyzing environmental finance OR 3. Promote climate change adaptation OR 4. Expanding access to environmental and energy services for the poor.Applicable GEF Strategic Objective and Program: BD 2, LD 2 & 3, CCM 5, SFM/REDD 1Applicable GEF Expected Outcomes: SFM-REDD-1: - Outcome 1.2 Good management practices applied in existing forests. LD 2-Outcome 2.3: Sustained flow of services in forest ecosystems in drylandsLD-3 - Outcome 3.1: Enhanced, cross-sectoral enabling environment for integrated landscape scale management CCM-5 - Outcome 5.2: Promote conservation and enhancement of carbon stocks through sustainable management of land use, land use change and forestry BD -2-Outcome 2.1 Increase in sustainably managed landscapes and seascapes that integrate biodiversity conservation.Applicable GEF Outcome Indicators:SFM-REDD-1: Outcome 1.2 Indicator: Integrated management plans developed and implementedLD-2. Outcome 2.3 Indicator: Sustainable SFM interventions to increase/maintain natural forest cover in dryland production landscapesLD-3 - Outcome 3.1 Indicator: Integrated land management plans developed and implemented CCM-5Outcome 5.2 Indicator: Number of tons of CO2 equivalent (tCO2e) avoided and/or sequestratedBD-2Outcome 2.1 Indicator: National and sub-national land use plans (11) that incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services valuation.IndicatorBaselineTargets End of ProjectData sourceResults by end 2017Results by end 2018Risks and AssumptionsProject Objective Sustainable land and forest management in the Northeastern Armenia secures continued flow of ecosystem services(equivalent to output in ATLAS)Number of forest management plans integrating considerations of biodiversity, ecosystem services, climate mitigation and community resource use (integrating sustainable forest management principles)0115 Community development plans updated Drafted FMPs of Ijevan, Noyemberyan, Gugarq and Yeghegnut FEs Updated community development plans2 FMPs completed, 3 more in progress0 (Not applicable for Y2017. Will be completed in Y2018)2 FMPs completed, drafting of 1 FMP was terminated by request of tenderer3 Community Development plans (Mets Parni, Noyemberyan consolidated, Ardvi) are updated, 2 more (Berd consolidated community and Stepanavan) are in progress Assumptions: -The GoA and MNP/MOA actively promoting and supporting sustainable forest management principles -The GoA maintains suitable policies and legal frameworks to ensure land use changes do not undermine forest conservationRisks: -Failure to generate adequate revenues from SFM might change government priorities-Failure to effectively engage local stakeholders (herders, land owners, forest dependents and other stakeholders leads to conflictTotal avoided and/or sequestrated carbon benefits over ten-year period due to improved sustainable management of forests.N/A681,990 metric tCO2Updates on forest cover, carbon monitoring reports 0 (Work is in process)0 (Work in process)Assumptions:-The GOA remains committed to sustainable management of forests and land, as well as set-aside of areas conservation from currently logged areas-GOA institutions develop capacity and skills for monitoring and assessing C benefits-The effects of climate change on forests is unlikely to be significant to undermine forest rehabilitationRisks:-Reduced revenues from timber exploitation and demands from communities for timber and fuelwood might shift government priorities away from sustainable use and conservation.Extent in hectares of forest area managed for multiple sustainable forest management and ecosystem benefits 0250,000Drafted FMPs of Ijevan, Noyemberyan, Gugarq and Yeghegnut FEs52,202.6 ha28,258.4 haTotal for 2017-201880,461 ha Assumption: -The GoA is committed to management of the forest for multiple benefits and not just timber productionRisks:-Management of forests for multiple benefits might impinge on user rights and misunderstandings that needs to be managedOutcome 1Integration of sustainable forest and land management objectives into planning and management of forest ecosystems in NE Armenia to reduce degradation and enhance ecosystem services in two marzes covering 0.65 million hectares(equivalent to activity in ATLAS)Number of forest management plan protocols/guidelines for mainstreaming ecosystem, climate risk mitigation and biodiversity considerations into forest management in NE Armenia 0One set approved by Ministry of AgricultureRevised forest management guidelines/protocols0 (Not applicable for Y2017)0 (Not applicable for Y2018, will be completed in Y2018Assumptions:-Government and MOA commitment to sustainable forest management and shift from timber production to ecosystem benefits and biodiversity conservationRisks:Inability to assess economic benefits of ecosystem services and derive direct measurable benefits to local economy may result in reluctance to move away from forestry related economic activitiesNumber of sets of forest inventory and maps in support of sustainable forest management for forest enterprise branches011Forest inventory and maps2 completed, 3 more in progress2 completed, the drafting of 1 was terminatedAssumptions:-District governments and Hayantar remain committed to integrated forest planning and management-Hayantar and other implementing entities have adequate staffing, capacity and counterpart funding for forest inventory and mapping Risks:Rapid turnover of staff can undermine capacity improvements for inventory and mapping skillsNumber of forest enterprise branches effectively applying consideration of the needs for biodiversity, climate mitigation, forest ecosystem services and community sustainable use 0 (partial application in FMPs) 11 Forest management plans2 completed, 3 more in progress2 completed, the drafting of 1 was terminatedAssumptions:-District governments and Hayantar remain committed to integrated forest planning and management-Hayantar and other implementing entities have adequate staffing, capacity and counterpart funding for forest management-Stakeholders are willing to participate in conservation and protection-Incentives are adequate and targeted to correct recipients, and benefits are equitable and fairRisks:Longer gestation period to see visible benefits may hamper efforts at selling SFM principles to policy makersNumber of forest monitoring protocols to assess effectiveness of adoption for SFM in forestlands0 (Existing practice, monitoring protocols used for recording forest violations and fires, not for consideration of ecosystem values and functions)One set of protocols approved and adopted by Ministry of AgricultureForest management plan monitoring reports 0 (Not applicable for Y2017)0 (Not applicable for Y2018, will be completed in Y2019)Assumptions:-Monitoring protocols would be easy to measure, be low cost and do not need highly developed skills.-Implementing entities have established monitoring system and capacity to monitor threats and impacts of conservation actionsNumber of marz and enterprise branch forest staff trained in the use of ecosystem-based planning tools060Training records and training evaluation reports25 persons total (5 persons at the end of 2016 and 20 persons in 2017) in Ijevan and Noyemberyan FEs, Ijevan State sanctuary and Zikatar Environmental Education Center15 persons in Gugarq and Yeghegnut FEsAssumptions:-Staff are provided adequate incentives for training and capacity development for SFM-Training designed for practical and on-the-job applicationRisks:-staff turnover may constraint improvement in capacity development and retentionNumber of pasture stakeholders undergone technical and skills training and development in sustainable pasture management0100 (of which at least 30 are women)Training records and training evaluation reports30 pasture stakeholders (of which 10 were women)70 pasture stakeholders (of which 40 were women)Assumptions:-Pasture stakeholders willingness to engage in management of forest pasturesRisks:- Failure of Hayantar to effectively engage local pasture stakeholders in forest management decision-makingNumber of forest dependents trained in technical skills for sustainable forest resource use0500 (of which at least 150 are women)Training records and training evaluation reports60 (of which 15 were women)200 (of which 85 were women)Assumptions:-Hayantar committed to community forest management and resource use-Training design simple and easy to apply in the fieldRisks:-Failure of Hayantar to recognize potential opportunities for engagement of households in training Number of recommendations on accounting for ecosystem services valuation and community resource use0One set of recommendations Policy notesPartially completed for Ijevan and Noyemberyan FEs; the rest is planned for YY2018-2019Partially completed for Gugarq and Yeghegnut FEs, the rest is planned for Y2019Assumption:-GoA willing and committed to sustainable forest managementRisk:-GoA and Hayantar would be less conducive to make changes from existing narrowly focused forest production prioritiesOutcome 2Sustainable Forest Management practices effectively demonstrating reduced pressure on high conservation forests and maintaining flow of ecosystem services(equivalent to activity in ATLAS)Hectares of high biodiversity conservation value forests designated identified and effectively managed for biodiversity and climate mitigation0At least 85,000 Protected Area management plansForest management plans include conservation management prescriptions25,078 ha12,922 ha (38,000 ha total in Ijevan, Noyemberyan, Gugarq and Yeghegnut FEs)Assumption:-Hayantar willingness to staff and resource mobilization for meeting biodiversity conservation outcomes in areas already assigned for this purpose - Additional areas set-aside for conservation are based on clearly defined criteria for biodiversity conservationRisk: -GoA priorities may change from forest protection to industrial use. Change in population trends for five indicator bird species The coefficient of x value in the ten-year linear trend equation (which refers to y=ax+b) is --0.0965; -0.0455; --0.0338; -0.1156 and -0.0346 for Coal Tit, Eurasian Nuthatch, Semi-collared flycatcher, Green Warbler and Song Thrush respectively.Population of indicator bird species stable or increase over baseline valuesAnnual Forest surveys and inventory at 25 selected sitesPopulation of indicator bird species stable during 2016-2017Population of indicator bird species stable during 2017-2018Assumptions:-Adequate resources and training provided to staff and researchers to conduct inventory and monitoringChange in population trends for five indicator butterfly species Average number of individuals per 1km transect for the 4 species are 10.3-16.5; 8.6-12.9; 15.3-21.7 and 18.9-27.2 for Argynnis paphia, Brintesia circe, Coenonympha arcania and Leptidea sinapis respectively.Population changes of indicator butterfly species stable and/or do not decreaseBi-annual count at 25 selected transects in forestPopulation of indicator butterfly species stable during 2016-2017Population of indicator butterfly species stable during 2017-2018Assumptions: -Adequate resources and training provided to staff and researchers to conduct inventory and monitoringNumber of hectares of degraded forests regenerated through assisted natural regeneration 04,932 Hayantar records of forest cover and regeneration93 ha (According to the current AWP, in 2018 this number will increase by 2400 ha)1600 ha (in 6 FEs of “Hayantar” SNCO)Assumptions: -Areas selected for natural regeneration are based on potential for natural regeneration, including availability of seeding stocks, land fertility and other climatic considerationsRisks:-Climate change impacts may increase to the extent that even if the project implements activities to improve condition in forest lands it may not be enough to make a difference Number of hectares degraded pasture and hay fields rehabilitated under sustainable management practices to reduce pressure on forest lands01,000Hayantar records of pasture development and grazing incidents0 (Not applicable for Y2017)0 (Will be completed in spring-summer, Y2019)Assumption: -Local herdsman are willing and cooperate in implementation of rotational grazing and other grazing management approachesRisks:Climate change impacts may increase to the extent that even if the project implements activities to improve pasture lands may not be enough to make a difference Number of hectares of forest land under multiple use regimes (sustainable NTFP production and agro-forestry) with participation of forest dependent communities 03,000Community surveys and records of forest improvement and increased incomes and production of NTFPIndependent evaluations1591.4 ha408,6 ha(2000 ha total in Ijevan, Noyemberyan, Gugarq and Yeghegnut FEs) Assumptions: -Local forest dependent communities derive sufficient incentives and financial benefits from multi-purpose forestryRisks:-Low buy-in from communities might undermine the impact of this activityPercentage decrease in number of livestock using natural forests for unsustainable grazing practices in targeted forest branchesBaseline to be developed after forest inventory and mapping completed and locations identified for grazing management15%Marz and Forest enterprise records of livestock numbers and grazing patterns0 (FMPs have not been approved by the Government yet)0 (FMPs have not been approved by the Government yet)Assumptions: - Alternative grazing lands and grazing management provide adequate replacement fodderRisks:-Herders may be reluctant to associate themselves and participate in grazing lands management and controls. -Increased negative attitude of local people due to restrictions of access may restrict opportunities for collaborationPercentage reduction in forest firewood collection areas in targeted forest branches Reduced areas of felling in target state forests Baseline to be developed after forest inventory and mapping completed 15%Hayantar records of firewood extraction volumes and areas of harvest0 (FMPs have not been approved by the Government yet)0 (FMPs have not been approved by the Government yet)Risks:-Climate change impacts may increase to the extent that even if the project implements activities to improve land condition in pasture and forest lands it may not be enough to make a difference Number of recommendations for management of dependencies in firewood use from forestsNo integrated strategy exists to deal with the complex nature of firewood dependenciesOne set of recommendation developed by Ministry of AgricultureReport and recommendationsNumber of consultations meetings regarding topicTwo studies completed towards developing the set of recommendations.The overall concept will be developed in 2019Assumptions:- Political willingness to engage in the highly complex and contentious issue of firewood use and entitlementsPercentage of households reporting increased incomes from forest and non-forest resources in target communities, including percentage of beneficiaries among womenBaseline incomes would be assessed once forest inventory and mapping completed and locations for community forest use identified20%, of which at least 30% of beneficiaries are womenSocial surveys and reports at village levelCalculations not available; study planned for 2018Several studies have been done which will be continued and extended in 2018.Studies were continued in 2018 and will be rolled-out in 2019Risks:-Engaging local stakeholders more robustly contains some risk in Armenia, where centralized approaches are still the norm. -Elite capture at local level would prevent marginalized groups and forest dependents from generating benefits of projectNumber of carbon stock assessment completed for key forest types in NE Armenia 0One set of baseline assessment completed and monitoring Forest (biomass) carbon inventory/baseline (emission data) and deforestation rate (activity data)(0) Study still ongoing towards developing one set of baseline assessment(0) Study still ongoing towards developing one set of baseline assessmentAssumptions:-GoA commitment to carbon inventory and monitoring and available financing and staffingRisks:-Lack of capacity and skills for assessmentsEmissions of metric tCO2 avoided from conservation set-asides over a10-year period0559,110 metric tCO2Forest (biomass) carbon inventory/baseline (emission data) and deforestation rate (activity data)0 (Study still ongoing)(0) Study still ongoing towards developing one set of baseline assessmentAssumptions:-MoA willingness to set-aside areas for conservation from current production-GoA commitment and resources available for carbon monitoringRisks:-Lack of capacity and skills for assessmentsImprovement in carbon sequestration capacity in metric tCO2 of restored forests over a 10-year period0122,880 metric tCO2Forest (biomass) carbon inventory/baseline (emission data) and deforestation rate (activity data)0 (Study still ongoing)0 (Study still ongoing)Assumption:-Criteria for selection of degrade lands assisted natural regeneration has adequate soil and biological conditions conducive for forest regenerationRisks:-Lack of capacity and skills for assessments of carbonAnnex II UPDATED RISK LOG FROM PRODOC AND SESP RISKS#Risk OriginDescriptionRisk CategoryImpact &ProbabilityRisk Treatment / Management MeasuresRisk Owner1Prodoc Risk AnalysisProposed enabling legal and institutional framework is not modified/adopted or adoption is not timely. The forestry sector institutional reforms have been and have caused the project implementation to be slower than anizationalText: Proposed legal amendments to support SFM would not happenP =4I = 4The GoA has initiated the reform of its environmental policies. The fundamental changes to the roles of the state under a reformed land and forest management system will be difficult unless there is clear political understanding of the need for these changes, and a full commitment to making this. To some extent this understanding and commitment have already been built. This will be further strengthened in making the economic case for SFM/SLM and biodiversity conservation and showcasing its value in NE Armenia. In order to further mitigate this risk, UNDP will maintain a watching brief over commitment and work with national and regional authorities to expedite legal and policy reforms.PMUUNDP SGR portfolioProject Steering committee 2Prodoc Risk AnalysisConflicts and misunderstandings among public institutions, private sector partners, NGOs and resource users undermine partnership approaches and implementation of cooperative governance anizationalText: The conflicts and misunderstandings might hinder in-time and effective implementation of project planned activitiesP =3I = 3The project is designed with the view to mitigate this risk through a participatory approach to SFM and SLM, a strong focus on local capacity building and awareness raising. The project help developing incentives for land users exercising sustainable and climate resilient forest and land management. Where possible, formal agreements/MoUs are used to define roles and responsibilities. Training will be provided to stakeholders on governance and conflict resolution. Activities will be designed and implemented in a win-win manner, beneficial to all, as far as possible. The sustainable development of the landscape will be emphasized with arguments that are supported with long-term economic forecasts.PMUUNDP SGR portfolio3Prodoc Risk AnalysisLand owners/users float planning regulations leading to multiplication of illegal logging and anizational/ OperationalText: The floating of regulations by land users might lead to illegal logging and overgrazingP =3I = 3Establishment of landscape level forest management planning through mapping and inventory, supported by participatory processes, as well as robust implementation of monitoring mechanisms for biodiversity and ecosystem resilience works towards minimizing the risk. A dialogue with the forest industry and farmers are undertaken as part of the process of regional integrated sustainable forest and land management planning – to address concerns, so as to improve compliance.PMUUNDP SGR portfolio4Prodoc Risk AnalysisLow buy-in from communities to the Livelihood Support Scheme.OperationalText: The low buy-in from local communities will continuous unsustainable use of forest product and degradation of forest ecosystems.P =3I = 3The experience of UNDP-GEF projects in the region pointed that the way to mitigate this risk lies in professional reach out and marketing of the incentives (products), as well as with careful selection of the host institution, and negotiations on scheme management and communication with residents. The feasibility of different livelihood support schemes is tested during the project implementation.PMUUNDP SGR portfolio5Prodoc Risk AnalysisIncreased negative attitude of the local community towards forest management due to enforcement of restrictions of access to and subsistence collection of firewood.OperationalText: Non-regulated collection of firewood is serious threat to forest ecosystems, particularly to biodiversity.P =3I = 3This risk is mitigated by the following a participatory planning process in the development/revision of the Integrated Forest Management Plans. The local communities will be very much involved in the actual management of the forest enterprise branches and self-enforced. The project enters into legal agreements, providing strong financial incentives to the community through agreed wood harvesting. Also, alternative livelihoods/compensation scheme is promoted through the field-testing of a subsidy/grant scheme. The increasing of the incomes of local communities from forest-friendly small-business support has been confirmed by national stakeholders.PMUUNDP SGR portfolio6Prodoc Risk AnalysisElite capture power at local levels so that the marginalized groups will have lesser authority to wield planning and generating anizationalText: The gap between elites and marginalized groups might increase and negatively impact on nature resources utilization. P =3I = 3Develop transparent and inclusive arrangements for power sharing with local bodies responsible for SFM/SLM in village. This facilitates the participation of traditionally marginalized groups (landless, women, youth). CBOs are strengthened, and forest governance mechanisms will be improved, creating incentives for heads of CBOs to be more responsive to the concerns of their members and local government authorities.PMUUNDP SGR portfolio7Prodoc Risk AnalysisCC passes the point when the consequences cannot be dealt with through adaptation measures.OtherText: CC tendency along with human factor might be harmful for the forest ecosystems.P =3I = 3During the lifetime of the project, the effects of climate change on the NE Armenia pastures and forests are highly unlikely to be particularly serious. Over the longer-term climate change is expected to take its toll on the forests, and the project will be addressing this risk by considering climate change aspects in the integrated land and forest use plans.To the extent feasible (as part of the monitoring system), the project will monitor the potential impacts of climate change on outcomes and revise / adjust expectations or take remedial action as necessaryPMUUNDP SGR portfolio8Risk identified by Mid-term reporterTechnical capacity available in the country is not sufficient for the project to produce revised sustainable forest management plans in the time necessary to support implementation of the plans before project completion.OperationalN/AProject tries to consolidate existing human and technical capacities in the country to complete revision of FMPs. PMUUNDP SGR portfolio9Risk identified in Prodoc SESP Project activities proposed within or adjacent to critical habitats, including legally protected areas (e.g. nature reserve, national park), may pose risk to biodiversity anizationalText: Loss of some biodiversity hotspots or endangered species.I = 1P = 1The project is conducting degraded forest restoration on ca 5000 ha area and rehabilitate of around 1000 ha of forest pastures. No large-scale investments are envisaged for the protected areas that would have an impact on its ecology and biodiversity. The project supported activities are aimed at improved the management of protected areas by boundary demarcation, improved management planning, research and monitoring, staff training and capacity building and enforcement of protection.PMUUNDP SGR portfolio10Risk identified in Prodoc SESP There is a risk that duty-bearers do not have the capacity to meet their obligations in the anizationalText: The risk of non-responsible and professional treatment of obligations will clearly impact on project outcomes.I = 3P = 2The project will build capacity within the various organizations by focusing on core principles and practical skill development and the use of strategic measures and tools to enable effective sustainable forest and land management. The trainings focus upon enabling stakeholders to apply practical steps in their daily work to strengthen the SLM and SFM capacity. It focuses on key government agencies such as Hayantar, MoNP and marz administration on how to implement the new forest management guidelines.PMUUNDP SGR portfolio11Risk identified in Prodoc SESP The Project may involve utilization of genetic resources (e.g. collection and/or harvesting, commercial development, etc.). OrganizationalText: The improper management approaches could damage genetic resourcesI = 3P = 2The intent of the project is not to enhance genetic resource utilization but ensure that existing harvest of wood and non-wood products are undertaken in an ecologically friendly and sustainable manner.PMUUNDP SGR portfolioPIMS #54416: UNDP-GEF Project “Mainstreaming Sustainable Land and Forest Management in Mountain Landscapes of North-Eastern Armenia”UNDP Management Response Template: Mid-term Evaluation Report Date:December 2018Prepared by: Hovik SayadyanPosition: Project technical task leaderUnit/Bureau: UNDP ArmeniaCleared by: Armen MartirosyanPosition: SGR Portfolio AnalystUnit/Bureau: UNDP Armenialeft-2064385Annex III. MID-TERM REPORT FINAL RECOMMENDATIONS AND MANAGEMENT RESPONSE020000Annex III. MID-TERM REPORT FINAL RECOMMENDATIONS AND MANAGEMENT RESPONSEEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 1.Considering the private sector bottleneck for completing the forest management plans, the project should provide direct funding to the forest enterprises and Hayantar, to pilot a more self-driven approach to completion of the forest management plans. This should include direct collaboration with the State Forest Monitoring Center, which has strong technical capacity related to remote-sensing data analysis. This could begin with a pilot management plan for a forest enterprise sub-unit, to be completed as a collaboration between the forest enterprise staff, the State Forest Monitoring Center, and any other key relevant national stakeholders (i.e. Bioresources center, etc.). Completing this process and carefully tracking the financial inputs required would be a highly useful exercise to inform future planning for completion of forest management plans. This would also help build government forest management capacity, and support sustainability of project activities.Management Response: The recommendation is partially relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusBoth “Hayantar” SNCO and State Forest Monitoring Center (SFMC) SNCO had certain technical capacities: mapping (including RS application and thematic mapping in GIS environment), field monitoring of illegal logging, authorized cuttings, forest restoration activities, etc. , but they don’t have the necessary capacities to prepare complete forest management plans (FMPs) according to the acting Order of Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) from 2005, with integrated biodiversity, ecosystems services and carbon components. The existing capacities of both SNCOs are extensively used through the preparation process of drafted FMPs. For the new FMPs (for the following forest enterprises) the participation of “Hayantar” SNCO and SFMC will be intensified.By the end of 2019Project management unitUNDP SGR portfolioIn processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 2.This evaluation recommends that the forest management plans should be developed through a comprehensive national stakeholder consultation process, including institutions such as the national forest monitoring center.Management Response: The recommendation is partially relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe drafted FMPs were presented to “Hayantar” SNCO, Ministry of Nature Protection (MoNP), SFMC still during their preparation phase. Later, when FMPs were circulated for the official feedbacks both “Hayantar” SNCO and SFMC responded with their comments on the base of which drafted FMPs were amended.By the end of 2019Project management unitProject Steering Committee,“Hayantar” SNCOIn processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 3.Even if formal approval of forest management plans depends on government approval of the forest enterprise boundaries, the project should promote draft “provisional” forest management plans that can be implemented prior to official government approval defining the exact forest boundaries. Within the forest management plans there should be an initial clause stating that the management plan is provisional until boundaries are officially approved by the government, but that the forest management plan will be implemented in the meantime based on current common understanding of the area under the responsibility of the forest enterprise.Management Response: The recommendation is relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatus“Provisional” FMPs were used in autumn 2019 to decide the potential forest restoration sites of 2000 ha degraded forest areas, as a base for UNDP- “Hayantar” SNCO signed “Responsible party agreement” by the mid-October 2018. The extent of usage of “Provisional” FMPs are much greater and could be specified by particularities of “Hayantar” planned activities for 2019 and the following years. By the end of project (2019)Project management unitProject Steering Committee,“Hayantar” SNCOThis action has continuous natureIn processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 4.The project team and UNDP should work with other partners and stakeholders to ensure that the work done and the inventory data collected for the FMPs is fully integrated into the FMIS, and the work done under the project is integrated into the development of the NFI.Management Response: The recommendation is relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe PMU has been working with GIZ-Armenia (developer of FMIS) and “Hayantar” SNCO to integrate all data developed within project into FMIS: updated GIS layers, HR satellite images, forest inventory and all other relevant data. The agreement is on the ground and will happen once drafted FMPs are approved. PMU is keen to develop NFI and contribute with all primary and processed data. By end 2016Project management unitUNDP SGR,“Hayantar” SNCOThis action has continuous nature In processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 5.If the forest enterprises are merged, the project should support this process by supporting the merging of the forest management plans as well. This should not be a major effort to completely re-do the forest management plans, but basically the existing forest management plans should be aggregated, without major additional revisions for the current 5-10-year management period.Management Response: The recommendation is relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe forest sector reforms that started in late 2017 unfortunately does not have any clear framework and action plan. PMU has initiated a workshop on 6th of July 2018 and invited MoNP and all relevant national and international forest sector stakeholders to get clear picture of developments. Unfortunately, until now there are not any clearances and hints on future organizational and management structures of national forest authorities. Despite this un-clear situation PMU has all relevant electronic data on drafted FMPs to merge and/or aggregate them. 2019Project management unit“Hayantar” SNCOIn processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 6.Considering the delays so far, under Output 1.5 the project should tighten the scope of the development of regulations, focusing on the development of only the most critical 2-3 regulations or guidelines planned. At the same time, during the remaining implementation period, the project could lead work on the development of a National Forest Policy; however, this may need to wait until the forest management institutional framework is fully clear following the restructuring process.Management Response: The recommendation is relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusUnder the output 1.5 the project so far has developed “Forest carbon stock measurements” guideline, which was tested for northern and north-eastern Armenia forest ecosystems and is ready to be formalized. The second guideline on “Effective monitoring of FMPS” already is discussed with MoNP, SFMC and “Hayantar” SNCO to be conducted in 2019. Still in the beginning of 2018 PMU initiated amendment to National Forest Code (2005), i.e. prepared and processed through the required procedures “State Forest Service” legal act to support establishment of “State Forest Service” as a second major organizational unit of “State Forest Committee”, a part of “Hayantar” SNCO. Unfortunately, this was not further developed due to political changes in the country and an-known future of “forest reforms”. By end 2019Project management unitUNDP SGRIn processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 7.The project should propose to the Government of Armenia that the State Forest Monitoring Center be shifted to the Ministry of Nature Protection, with an expanded mandate to provide support to all forest management functions. This should include support for the development of forest management plans through detailed analysis of remote sensing data. The State Forest Monitoring Center could also provide a focal point within Hayantar to develop and implement a National Forest Inventory based on new and modern technologies that can be more cost effective.Management Response: The recommendation is relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe status of “SFMC” still is un-clear. It is previewed large organizational restructurings after extraordinary parliamentary elections of 9th Dec. Independently to these developments PMU convinced UNDP SGR to support the transfer of SFMC to the MoNP. Meanwhile PMU contracted SFMC (for October-December 2018) to monitor and support on-going degraded forest restoration activities conducted by “Hayantar” SNCO on 2000 ha forest areas in 6 FEs. PMU involved SFMC staff in all its capacity building activities for the project life duration.2019Project management unitUNDP SGRMinistry of Nature ProtectionIn processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 8.To ensure the capacity development work is as effective as possible the project should conduct a training needs assessment for each forest enterprise as part of the completion of the forest management plan. Then the training for each forest enterprise could be better targeted to ensure that the forest enterprise staff have the necessary capacity to implement the new forest management plans.Management Response: The recommendation is partially relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe capacity building for the forest enterprise staff was and is obligatory part of ToR designed for the activities to daft FMP. The contractor is obligated to train staff of local forest enterprise and involve this staff in forest inventory, mapping and FMP drafting activities. Beside this, PMU organized separate training on field computers and GPS applications in forestry, where were invited local forest staff from 4 forest enterprises. After trainings and testing of knowledge all 4 FEs were equipped by field computers and GPS receivers. The capacity upgrade for local FE staff is continuous task for PMU. Regularly by the project endProject management unitUNDP SGRIn processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 9.The work on forest restoration and regeneration is another area (like the completion of the forest management plans) where the project has the opportunity to directly support the forest enterprises, in order to build capacity and long-term sustainability. The project’s approach (apparently due to UNDP requirements) has been to conduct tenders and contract project activities out directly to third parties – NGOs, or private companies. It would be preferable if the project could work directly with the forest enterprises and Hayantar to carry out forest and pasture restoration activities - an approach recommended by this mid-term review. This has been done in other UNDP and GEF projects in other countries (e.g. Kyrgyzstan) and should be feasible in Armenia as well.Management Response: The recommendation is relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe PMU succeeded to have “Responsible party agreement” between UNDP and “Hayantar” SNCO to conduct forest restoration of 2000 ha degraded forest ecosystems in 6 forest enterprises. The forest staff of 6 FEs and locally hired 500 people were involved in the scale activities. The PMU is working closely with all 6 FEs and “Hayantar” SNCO to make activities effective and also valuable for local community members. It is planned to continuous this collaboration in 2019 and extend such agreement for the specially protected areas, e.g. Dilijan NP.October 2018-April 30, 2019Project management unitUNDP SGRIn processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 10.In the second half of the project, to develop measures for sustainable management of forest pastures, this evaluation recommends that the project integrate new and advanced concepts in sustainable pasture management. In particular, recent research shows that pasture carrying capacity (the number of livestock units a pasture is able to support per unit time) is dynamic and variable from one year to the next, depending on annual climatic conditions. Other recent developments for sustainable pasture management includes the use of remote sensing data, such as satellite imagery, to assess pasture conditions and suitability for grazing. The project should also assess the relevance and utility of the Trends. Earth tool () to support sustainable land management outcomes in the context of the project. The Armenia Mountain SLM project should provide information on these tools and methods to Hayantar and assess the cost-effectiveness and feasibility of conducting a pilot activity on sustainable pasture management using remote sensing technology. In addition, the project should build on direct recent experience in Armenia, such as the work and lessons from the Clima East pilot project in Armenia.Management Response: The recommendation is partially relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe project forest and communities degraded pasturelands expert has been using the degraded pasturelands identification “Guideline on summer pasturelands monitoring in Armenia” tool developed within GIZ IBIS project and “Technical Reference 1737-7 of Ecological Site Inventory, Colorado, 2001, NSTC, BLM?‘’. In both documents for the identification of degraded pasturelands extensively were used RS technologies. Beside these guidelines and RS PMU with project expert has had more than 10 field visits to preliminary identified pasturelands and conducted rather detailed field investigations on the status and potential treatment means. By mid-2016Project management unitUNDP SGRIn processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 11.This mid-term review recommends that during the second half of implementation the project produce a short knowledge product (such as a 2-4-page brochure) analyzing and indicating exactly how the project has contributed to achievement of the national LDN target.Management Response: The recommendation is relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe PMU will develop a short knowledge brochure analyzing and indicating the project contribution to the national LDN target. By the end of 2019Project management unitIn processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 12.The project should leverage the livelihood support activities as community-education and awareness raising opportunities as well. The project should install sign boards at fruit, nut, and berry collection facilities in all communities near the targeted forests, such as Noyemberyan and Voskepar. The sign boards should clearly outline the linkage between the project’s objective of sustainable forest management, and the project’s support for local livelihoods. The signboards should also be designed to emphasize the importance of sustainable use of forest resources and indicate regulations for forest use.Management Response: The recommendation is relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe PMU installed sign board on “Ardvi” passive solar green house with the clarification of this unit for the reduction of greenhouse gases, decrease of fuel-wood extraction from the surrounding forests due to provided alternative source of income. It is in the designing phase the signboards for Met Parni briquetting facility; Indicator bird and butterfly sites, Voskepar solar drying facility. The PMU will put more efforts also to design and install the relevant signboards in Koghb, Ijevan, Koti and Bagratashen communities with clearances on usage of solar panels/water heaters as substitution to firewood consumption in kindergarten, improvement of healthy environment and promotion of carbon sinks. The education and public awareness component is obligatory for all local level activities: forest inventory, pasturelands management, degraded forest restoration and livelihood programs. By the Q1-Q2 of 2019Project management unitIn processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 13.To better document, communicate and promote the potential replicability of the project’s small-scale activities to reduce fuelwood dependency, this mid-term review recommends that the project conduct a small study to carefully and closely assess the actual likely avoided deforestation resulting from the project’s activities. In addition, the project should revise the indicator relating to “percentage reduction in forest firewood collection…” to focus on the amount of fuelwood use avoided (in cubic meters of wood), or the hectares of forest degradation or deforestation avoided.Management Response: The recommendation is partially relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe PMU already completed one joint study on potential effects of introduced hail-nets for Tavush region. In November two different studies were initiated to study the effectiveness of introduced energy-efficient ovens and solar panels/heaters, as well as the outcomes for the introduced microgrant program for Teghut and Haghartsin villages. The amount of substituted firewood and saved forest as a result of functioning of briquetting facility in Mets Parni also will be assessed by mid-2019 after having production data.By mid-2019Project management unitUNDP SGRMinistry of Nature ProtectionIn processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 14.The PMU should closely and carefully track actual co-financing, including any in-kind or cash co-financing that is contributed by local stakeholders or local partners that may not have been part of the originally planned co-financing.Management Response: The recommendation is partially relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe PMU will take necessary steps to track actual co-financing (both in-kind and cash) for all stakeholders in involved in project activities (MoNP, MoA, “Hayantar” SNCO, WWF-Armenia and CNF). Continuously in 2019Project management unitUNDP SGRIn processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 15.Now that a gender analysis has been completed, the PMU should develop a brief gender action plan to accompany project work planning, to concretely and specifically indicate the key actions that the project will proactively take to engage women and support gender mainstreaming, as relevant to the project activities and expected results.Management Response: The recommendation is partially relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe corresponding ToR is submitted as a part of UNDP-Armenia LTA contracted “International gender advisor” to work out gender action plan with the SMART indicators to increase the PMU efforts towards gender mainstreaming.By Q1 2019Project management unitUNDP SGRIn processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 16.In approximately the 1st quarter of 2019 the Project Steering Committee should be prepared to consider a possible 6-12-month extension from the currently planned completion of December 2019. Ideally the project would finish in the 4th quarter of 2020, in order to take advantage of the 2020 summer field season for forest and biodiversity monitoring, as well as other activities that are dependent on the summer field season.Management Response: The recommendation is partially relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe Project Steering Committee will be prepared and supported by all necessary documents and justifications to consider a possible 12 month no-cost extension from the currently planned completion of December 2019. Project no-cost extension will be applied upon confirmation from the GEF along with project work-plan and budget revision to plan activities and allocate funds for the period till end of Q4 2020.By Q1 2019Project management unitUNDP SGRProject Steering CommitteeQ1 2019Evaluation Recommendation or Issue 17.The Project Steering Committee should consider approving revisions to the project results framework to ensure indicators and targets are fully in-line with SMART criteria and reflect the baseline context at the time the project started implementation. Some results framework targets are not well-developed or may need to be revised based on changed circumstances compared to what was expected during the project development phase. For example, the Project Steering Committee should consider reducing the target for forest management plans from 11 to 7-8 plans. The target for the indicator related to the percentage decrease in livestock using forests for unsustainable grazing practices should also be revised to fully meet SMART criteria. This mid-term review also recommends that the indicator related to the percentage of livestock using natural forests should be updated and clarified as necessary in the Armenian translation of all project-related documents, to ensure that all stakeholders and partners have a full understanding of the purpose and goal of the indicator.Management Response: The recommendation is partially relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe draft of revision of project results framework with clarifications on certain indicators will be prepared by PMU and presented to Project Steering Committee meeting. The revision will touch the following indicators: number of revised FMPs, the percentage decrease in livestock using forests for unsustainable grazing practices, percentage of livestock using natural forests. By the 2019Project management unitUNDP SGRProject Steering Committee Q1-Q2-2019Evaluation Recommendation or Issue 18.In order for the carbon co-efficient to be as well established and validated as possible, this evaluation recommends that the process and results for establishing the carbon co-efficient be published in a peer-reviewed scientific journal.Management Response: The recommendation is relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe article titled “Piloting a national forest carbon inventory in north-east Armenia” is already drafted. It’s planned to submit by Q1-Q2, 2019. By the 2019Project management unitIn processEvaluation Recommendation or Issue 19.To keep the project moving forward UNDP may need to provide support through high level engagement with the Ministry of Nature Protection, in order to find a mutually agreeable path for rapid implementation during the second half of the project. This evaluation recommends that UNDP provide intensive supervision and support for the project to address any further delays of three months or longer.Management Response: The recommendation is partially relevant and acceptable. Key Action(s)Time FrameResponsible Unit(s)TrackingCommentsStatusThe UNDP SGR and PMU are working tightly with MoNP to rapid the implementation of project activities for the second half of 2019. The revised work plan and budget will be presented to Project Steering Committee meeting by the end of December 2018 to seek the executive body support to rapid the project activities.By 2019Project management unitUNDP SGRProject Steering Committee In processAnnex IV. EXPECTED OUTPUTS AND AWP FOR 2019UNDP-GEF Project Annual Work-Plan (2016-2019)Project ID: 00081940Output ID: 00091048Component 1. Enabling environment for the marzes in Northeastern Armenia to plan, monitor and adapt sustainable forest and land management. 2019Y2019 Budget, USDQ IQIIQIIIQIVIIIIIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXXXIXIIOutput 1.1 Forest management plan guidelines/protocols updated for mainstreaming ecosystem, climate risks and biodiversity considerations into forest management planning in North-east Armenia1Review of international and regional best practice in integration of ecosystem perspectives into forest planning decision-making processes????????????20,0002Review of current practices of forest management planning and the extent to which these integrate ecosystem, biodiversity and community resource use????????????3Collation and review of key environmental information required to support the updating of protocols, including information on requirements for: (i)maintaining species and habitat, ensuring ecosystem services; (ii) managing threats to biodiversity and ecosystem services; (iii)environmental risks of climate change and environmental hazards to state of forest and land degradation????????????4Extensive consultation with key stakeholders, including local communities on their expected needs and services from the forests????????????5Revision of protocols to ensure provision of guidance on conservation assessment tools and technologies to identify and prioritize areas for biodiversity and species conservation, restoration and maintenance of ecosystems and habitats and assessing trade-offs between different forest uses. The outcome of this activity would be a set of protocols and guidelines that would forest managers and land-use planners on the use of ecosystem-based planning approaches in the preparation of forest management plans.????????????6Development of a package of revised protocols and guidelines for forest managers and land-use planners on the use of ecosystem-based planning approaches in the preparation of forest management plans????????????Output 1.2 Geo-spatial information systems support forest inventory and mapping for forest management planning, development, implementation and monitoring7Review existing inventory and mapping, including mapping tools, of the forest resources integrated into National Forest Management Information System (NFMIS) to evaluate the extent to which biodiversity and ecosystem values have been considered o define major information gaps ????????????92,0008Update of inventory and mapping to define: (i) accurate boundaries of forest and surrounding community’s lands; (ii) critical habitats and endangered and threatened species; (iii) areas with the most ecosystem values and carbon sink potential; (iv) forests are best suited for multiple benefit sharing and use by local communities; (v) area of commonly use of pastures managed by Forest Enterprises (FEs), firewood collection and NTFPs by communities, etc. ????????????9Verification of areas that are degraded and need for rehabilitation and preparation of rehabilitation design????????????10Elaboration of technical guidance for integration of environmental information into the existing mapping and planning processes????????????11Organization of on-the-ground training and capacity development for forest and other staff on forest inventory and mapping techniques and in the interpretation of information arising from these exercises????????????12Provision of updated maps and technical materials for guiding the allocation of forest land for different purposes, including: delineation of HCVF; delineation of fire wood collection areas to mitigate the haphazard harvest and collection of fire wood, in particular from sensitive habitats and species in protection forest????????????13In-country stakeholder consultations and provision of final maps to relevant entities for further approvals ????????????Output 1.3 Revised forest management plans integrate considerations of biodiversity, ecosystem services, climate mitigation, and community resource use.14Defining a process for strengthening the management of the delineated high conservation areas, that will include procedures for preparation of stand-alone conservation management plans, or the integration of conservation management prescriptions into forest enterprise forest management plans ????????????110,00015Elaboration of procedures for selection and restoration of degraded grazing lands and their sustainable management by local graziers.????????????16Define criteria for identifying degraded forests for assisted natural regeneration and development procedures for their regeneration????????????17Provision of technical support and on-the-ground training in sustainable forest management planning to forest staff and community residents????????????18Preparation of outline for updated forest management plans and organization of stakeholder consultation processes ????????????19Finalization of updated forest management plans for the 11 enterprises ????????????Output 1.4 System for effective monitoring and enforcement of forest management plans, including clear delineation of roles and responsibilities of key partners and management of participatory processes in forest development.20Conduct stakeholder mapping and gap analysis of roles and responsibilities of main institutions involved in supervision and enforcement of FMPs. ????????????45,00021Revision of existing and introduction of new monitoring protocols (based on integrated forest management approach)????????????22Training of relevant staff and forest monitoring entities on application of new approach????????????Output 1.5 Recommendations for national policy and regulations for facilitating adoption of sustainable forest management practices23Develop recommendations for adoption of approaches that stipulates the process for identification and setting aside of High Conservation Value Forests (HCVF) in Forest Management Planning; ????????????20,00024Develop institutional mechanism and methodologies for integrating community participatory forestry and sustainable NTFP and agro-forestry systems into the Forest Management Planning????????????25Develop recommendation on regulatory framework for regulation special management in ecological sensitive areas, provision of ecosystem services. wildlife movement as mandatory to be addressed in the land use planning????????????Output 1.6 Enhanced capacity for sustainable land and forest management within key agencies and communities26Conduct a capacity needs assessment for main sector responsible state institutions to develop comprehensive and targeted training program with individual training modules designed and implemented????????????5,00027Organization of training for community groups in resource mobilization, alternative income generation (including product development, small business development, processing, value addition and marketing), alternative energy approaches, livestock productivity improvements, as well as monitoring impacts of their action on the state and health of the ecosystem????????????Component 2. Investment in demonstrating improved sustainable forest and land management practices to reduce pressure on high conservation forests and maintain flow of ecosystem services. 2019Y2019 Budget, USDQIQIIQIIIQIVIIIIIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXXXIXIIOutput 2.1 Designation of High Conservation Value Forests covering 85,000 ha of current production and protection forests for species conservation and climate mitigation 1Multi-functional zoning approach tested by GIZ will be applied to define HCVF areas, to the extent it is relevant????????????2,0002To conduct demarcation of boundaries of protected areas, define principles for PA management including monitoring setup????????????3Set-aside around 35,000 ha intact forests within the forest enterprise branches for environmental and biodiversity conservation in the result of forest inventory ????????????4Delineation of forest complexes as HCVF as well as the identification of areas for rehabilitation will be undertaken with a view towards creating linear ecological corridors and stepping stone corridors in order to further increase the functional connectivity of the forest????????????5Initiate capacity building activities on fuel-wood management forest fire management, including early warning systems and fire combating techniques, grazing management in the forest areas????????????6Preparation of management plans/integration of PA management prescriptions into forest management plans of the forest enterprise branches ????????????7Annual and bi-annual monitoring of bird and butterfly species respectively that would help to assess impact of conservation measures in the existing protected areas and set-asides ????????????Output 2.2 Restoration of forests and pasture lands, and rehabilitation of multiple use forestlands through community forest resource management8Restore 4,932 ha of degraded forests through assisted natural regeneration: (i) review of national and regional best practices in forest restoration; (ii) preparation of a rehabilitation plan for the identified sites; (iii) implementation and monitoring of the forest rehabilitation plans; (iv) document and dissemination success and failures at each of the rehabilitation sites; and (vi) prepare a manual that describes rehabilitation approaches for different forest types????????????335,0009Sustainable management of around 1,000 ha of degraded pastures and hay areas in the forest lands: (i) review of national and regional lessons and best practices in pasture and hay fields restoration; (ii) identification and prioritization of areas, based on the inventory and consultative process with graziers; (iii) develop rehabilitation plans for each of the sites, in consultation with local graziers; (iv) agree on maintenance measures; (v) identification of alternative grazing areas and grazing management; (vi) support the implementation and monitoring of the pasture restoration process; (vii) develop a sustainable grazing management strategy for each of the rehabilitated sites; (viii) based on experiences document and disseminate success and failures in pasture rehabilitation????????????10Introduction of sustainable NTFP concept in around 3,000 hectares: (i) review of national and regional lessons and best practices in multi-purpose forest initiatives; (ii) assessing the interest and support for such initiatives among forest dependent communities; (iii) assess potential NTFP varieties and sustainable harvest regimes, financial profitability and incomes; (iv) development multi-purpose development and business plans for each site; (v) support for processing, value addition, marketing and small business planning and development; (vi) promoting agro-forestry and similar tree-crop initiatives in forest and non-forest lands; (vi) documentation and dissemination of best practices????????????11Development of the existing school forest district program in an area of around 332 ha in the Noyemberyan Forest Enterprise Branch in the Koghb community area????????????Output 2.3 Alternative livelihood programs for local communities as incentive to conserve forests and biological resources12Define institutional and regulatory framework for introduction of alternative livelihood programme and activities????????????32,00013Elaboration of Menu of options for eligible activities supporting livelihood, such introduction of fruit and timber species including processing and marketing of fruits, berries, mushrooms, medicinal plants; introduction of alternative energy systems heating and cooking (biogas installations, solar heaters, etc.; income generating activities through bee-keeping, fish-breeding; tourism development, including eco-tourism and agro-tourism supporting infrastructure; fruit and timber species nurseries, and orchards, etc...????????????Output 2.4 Integrated strategy for management of firewood collection and distribution from forests.14Support technical assistance and study to develop a strategy/approach to address the management of firewood collection and distribution????????????5,000Output 2.5 Carbon stock assessments and coefficients for key forest types in NE Armenia15Assessment of Carbon stock and development of national coefficients for key forest types in NE Armenia as part of a longer-term strategy to establish a carbon stock monitoring system in the RA????????????10,00016Set up a series of representative sample sites that will be subject to a series of above-ground and below-ground biomass measurements and monitoring in different biotypes and land uses????????????17Extrapolate the sample data into the broader forest landscape using remote sensing and building on the inventory and mapping????????????18Develop a methodology to transfer field data on carbon to the current Armenia forest inventory system together with extrapolation techniques, data protocols and other remote sensing parameters????????????19Use the existing experience in localizing carbon benefit methodology in Armenia applicable for mountain forest and pasture areas tested within the framework of EU funded Clima-east Pilot project ????????????20Conduct capacity needs assessment to clarify and define the specific training needs of the ministries and related agencies for carbon monitoring????????????21Organize training that will focus on introduction of modern forest inventory methods together with carbon measurement protocols to be used during the upcoming national forest inventory????????????Component 3. Monitoring, learning, adaptive feedback, outreach, and evaluation2019Y2019 Budget, USDQIQIIQIIIQIVIIIIIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXXXIXII1Organization of the project inception workshop, associated arrangements????????????10,0002Organization of on-site visit/monitoring visits ????????????3Development of the inception report????????????4Organization of the Project Advisory Board meeting and meetings proceedings (minutes)????????????5Organization of the stakeholder consultation events????????????6Meetings of Project Board and relevant meeting proceedings (minutes)????????????7Compilation of lessons learned????????????8Development of the GEF Project Implementation Report (PIR)????????????9Financial audit ????????????10Project Final Workshop????????????Component 3. Project management 2018Y2019 Budget, USDQIQIIQIIIQIVIIIIIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXXXIXII1Establishment of the project office, procurement of equipment Development of TORs, organization of recruitment and procurement????????????80,0002Selection of the project staff (TTL, assistant and driver) - Elaboration of TORs, announcement and the selection????????????3Development of the project annual work plan and co-signature by the government, elaboration of a detailed work plan and approval by the Board ????????????4Development of the quarterly, semi-annual and annual project progress reports????????????5Development of the project Communication Strategy including the stakeholder analysis ????????????6Technical monitoring, evaluation, and reporting within project components????????????7Mid-term Evaluation (external)????????????8Final Evaluation (external)????????????9Final report????????????Total766,000 ................
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