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Tupperware Stock Prediction: How did it happen that Annual Change is 323.43%?Summary: Tupperware shares are up more than 323,43% since the beginning of 2020. 50.46% of profit comes from the Asia-Pacific region – some of the world's most dynamic economies.The DCF analysis results show that TUP's stock target price should be around 43,56$. OverviewTupperware Brands Corporation is a global direct-to-consumer marketer of premium, innovative products across multiple brands and categories through an independent sales force of 3.1 million. It offers design-centric preparation, storage, and serving solutions for the kitchen and home, beauty, and personal care products.Impact of Loan Debt on Tupperware Stock in 2021Tupperware shares are up more than 323,43% since the beginning of 2020. The share price has risen from 8.70% to 35.14% on 19th November 2020, attracting more interest from investors. If we look at Figure 1, we can see that the short-term moving average crosses above the long-term moving average, indicating a buy signal (golden cross).(Figure 1 - Source: finance.)We should pay attention to Debt to Equity History and Analysis. From Figure 3, we can conclude that TUP's debt is well covered by operating cash flow by industry average(19,46%).(Figure 2 - Debt to Equity History and Analysis: Source: simplywall.st)Consider Tupperware with its competitors on average in the market. Chart 1 shows that the company's net profit in Q3 2020 grew 341.03% year on year and exceeded the average growth of competitors by 85.48%. The company achieved revenue growth of 14.14%, which is 8.87% on average more than its competitors. The company's market share is 4.52% of the market.(Chart 1 - Financial Results of TUP and Competitors 2020 Q3: Source: )An increase in the Receivable Turnover Ratio in 2020 Q3 by 2,34 indicates a decrease in the number of insolvent customers and other sales problems. The growth of inventory turnover by 0.11 in 2020 Q3 indicates that the company sells goods quickly, and there is considerable demand for their products. A low ROA in 2020 Q3 indicates that the company is not making enough income from the use of its assets.(Chart 2 - Management Effectiveness of TUP 2019 Q3- 2020 Q3: Source: )From the information above, we can conclude that despite the difficult conditions of the pandemic, the company is showing satisfactory financial results:Net income and revenues exceed the average growth of competitors. Management Effectiveness indicates that the company sells goods quickly, and there is considerable demand for its products. As Executive Vice Chairman Rich Goodies said in a second-quarter profit and loss statement at the end of July, "Our US and Canadian businesses grew more than 30% in the quarter over the same quarter last year, and we shipped in June more than in any other year. month for almost 20 years ", which makes it possible to make a positive forecast for the company in the future.New market opportunities for the Asia-Pacific region for TUP The firm organizes itself into four segments based on geography: Europe, Asia-Pacific, North America, and South America. More revenue comes from the Asia-Pacific region than any other geographic region. The Asia and the Pacific region is home to 60 percent of the world's population and accounts for more than 40% of world GDP in purchasing power parity and includes some of the world's most dynamic economies. If we consider Figure 5, then the forecast for GDP growth for 2024 will be $ 30,289.2 billion. When GDP rises, corporate earnings increase, making it optimistic for stocks. Therefore, investing in a company is advisable.(Figure 3 – GDP of the Asia-Pacific region from 2014 to 2024 (in billion U.S. dollars): Source: .)Based on the above information, we can conclude that the company sells its products in the most densely populated and developing regions of the world, which is a decisive factor in increasing its profit and the growth of share prices.Increasing influence on eco-friendly products on TUP's sharesMuch research shows that plastic leaches chemicals into our food and drinks, which can harm our health. According to , by 2020, biodegradable plastics will represent 18% of bioplastics production, and bio-based, non-biodegradable plastics will rise to 82%.(Source: )Tupperware materials are carefully selected to the highest global food safety standards in plastics and 100% are BPA-free and recyclable and in my opinion a good investment in a company. Thus, an important factor in the growth of the company's share price will be the increasing demand for eco-friendly goods and the company's directed policy to satisfy this demand.What Does DCF Analysis Tell about TUP’s growth?Using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, I estimated my target share price. The forecast is based on average data from previous years, the direction of the company's policy, and the specifics of the development of this sector of the economy for the coming years.Future cash flows are projected based on historical data combined with a forecast for the next 4 years. The DCF analysis results show that TUP's stock target price should be around 43,56$. My target price is close to the upper scale of analysts' average price prediction. This projected share price makes a 7,72% difference from the current share price.(Figure 4 - Calculation of the DCF model)At the same time, according to wallstreetzen and n , the analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Tupperware Brands Corp have a median target of 30.50$, with a high estimated 46.00$ and a low estimate of 17.50.$.Conclusion:I take the buy-side on TUP stock because stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a positive forecast. Tupperware shares are up more than 323,43% since the beginning of 2020. 50.46% of profit comes from the most densely populated and developing world regions. Company has the highest global food safety standards in plastics. Tupperware Brands Corporation holds several positive signals and is within a strongly rising trend. Therefore, I consider it a good choice at these current levels and according to the DCF analysis results , TUP's stock target price should be on 7,72% higher and will be around 43,56$.It is worth paying attention that the stock-picking AI of I Know First has a high signal on the one-year market trend forecasts, supporting my position for the TUP stock forecast. The light green for the short-term forecasts is mildly bullish, while the darker green is a strong bullish signal for the one-year forecast. ................
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