HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION …

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Interviews: 1,000 Adults, including 350 respondents with a cell phone only and 33 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.

Study #15313 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Date: July 26-30, 2015

48 Male 52 Female

Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.

The margin of error for 1,000 interviews among Adults is ?3.10% The margin of error for 252 interviews among Republican Primary Voters is ?6.17% The margin of error for 253 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ?6.16%

Unless otherwise noted by a "+", all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.

Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF "REFUSED," ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST)

18-24 ...................................................... 9 25-29 ...................................................... 9 30-34 ...................................................... 13 35-39 ...................................................... 8 40-44 ...................................................... 8 45-49 ...................................................... 6 50-54 ...................................................... 10 55-59 ...................................................... 10 60-64 ...................................................... 10 65-69 ...................................................... 6 70-74 ...................................................... 5 75 and over ............................................ 5

Not sure/refused................................... 1

Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background?

Yes, Hispanic ........................................... 11 No, not Hispanic ....................................... 88

Not sure/refused ..................................... 1

Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else?

White .......................................................... 74 Black .......................................................... 12 Asian .......................................................... 3 Other .......................................................... 3

Hispanic (VOL) ......................................... 6 Not sure/refused....................................... 2

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q3

Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (state from Q1x)]?

Registered ................................... 85 Not registered.............................. 14

Not sure..................................... 1

Q4

All in all, do you think that things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel that

things are off on the wrong track? 1

7/15 6/15 4/15 3/15

Headed in the right direction ... 28

31

28

32

Off on the wrong track............. 65

61

62

60

Mixed (VOL) .......................... 4

4

6

5

Not sure ................................ 3

4

4

3

High Low

10/30- 10/8-

10/17-

1/15 12/14 11/14 11/1/14+ 12/14+ 9/01 20/08+

31

27

25

27

25

72

12

59

64

65

63

65

11

78

5

6

6

6

6

11

7

5

3

4

4

4

6

3

10/25- 10/7-

9/14+ 8/14 6/14 4/14

3/14

1/14 12/13 28/13

9/13 9/13 7/13

23

22

25

27

26

28

29

22

14

30

29

67

71

63

63

65

63

64

70

78

62

61

6

5

7

6

5

5

5

4

4

5

6

4

2

5

4

4

4

2

4

4

3

4

6/13 4/13 2/13

32

31

32

59

61

59

6

5

6

3

3

3

1/13 35 57 4 4

12/12 41 53 3 3

10/12+ 41 53 4 2

9/2630/12+

40 53 5 2

9/1216/12+

39 55 4 2

8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12

32

32

31

61

60

61

4

5

5

3

3

3

5/12 4/12 3/12 1/12 12/11 11/11 10/11

8/11

33

33

33

30

22

19

17

19

58

59

58

61

69

73

74

73

5

6

5

5

6

5

5

5

4

2

4

4

3

3

4

3

7/11 6/11 5/11

25

29

36

67

62

50

5

6

10

3

3

4

10/28- 10/14-

4/11 1/11 12/10 11/10 30/10+ 18/10+ 9/10

28

35

28

32

31

32

32

63

56

63

58

60

59

59

6

5

6

6

5

6

5

3

4

3

4

4

3

4

8/2630/10

30 61 6 3

8/5-

5/6-

9/10 6/10 11/10

32

29

34

58

62

56

6

5

6

4

4

4

1/23 - 1/10-

3/10 25/10 14/10 12/09 10/09 9/09 7/09

33

32

34

33

36

39

39

59

58

54

55

52

48

49

5

7

10

10

9

10

9

3

3

2

2

3

3

3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

6/09 42 46 9 3

4/09 2/09 1/09

43

41

26

43

44

59

10

9

9

4

6

6

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q5

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

7/15 6/15 4/15 3/15

Approve ....... 45

48

48

46

Disapprove .. 50

48

47

50

Not sure ..... 5

4

5

4

10/30- 10/8-

1/15 12/14 11/14 11/1/14+ 12/14+

46

45

44

42

42

48

50

50

52

52

6

5

6

6

6

9/14+ 8/14

6/14

4/14 3/14

40

40

41

44

41

54

54

53

50

54

6

6

6

6

5

9/13 8/13

7/13

6/13 4/13

45

44

45

48

47

50

48

50

47

48

5

8

5

5

5

9/26- 9/12-

30/12+ 16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12 5/12

49

50

48

49

47

48

48

48

49

48

48

46

3

2

3

3

5

6

11/11 10/11 8/11

7/11

6/11 5/11

44

44

44

47

49

52

51

51

51

48

46

41

5

5

5

5

5

7

10/28- 10/14-

11/10 30/10+ 18/10+ 9/10

47

45

47

46

47

50

49

49

6

5

4

5

8/26- 8/5-

30/10 9/10

45

47

49

48

6

5

1/23- 1/10-

25/10 14/10 12/09 10/09 9/09 8/09

50

48

47

51

51

51

44

43

46

42

41

40

6

9

7

7

8

9

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

1/14

12/13

43

43

51

54

6

3

2/13

1/13

50

52

45

44

5

4

4/12

3/12

49

50

46

45

5

5

4/11

2/11

49

48

45

46

6

6

5/20-

6/10

23/10

45

48

48

45

7

7

7/09

6/09

53

56

40

34

7

10

High

4/09 61 30 9

10/2528/13

42 51 7

12/12 53 43 4

1/12 48 46 6

1/11 53 41 6

5/611/10

50 44 6

4/09 61 30 9

Low

9/14+ 40 54 6

10/79/13 47 48

5

10/12+ 49 48 3

12/11 46 48 6

12/10 45 48 7

3/10 48 47 5

2/09 60 26 14

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q6

Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling the economy?

High Low

10/8-

7/15* 4/15 3/15 1/15 12/14 11/14 12/14+ 9/14+ 8/14 6/14 2/09 8/11

Approve............ 45

49

47

49

46

43

43

43

42

41

56

37

Disapprove ....... 49

47

48

47

49

53

53

53

53

54

31

59

Not sure.......... 6

4

5

4

5

4

4

4

5

5

13

4

4/14 3/14 12/13 9/13

7/13

42

41

39

45

45

54

56

58

52

51

4

3

3

3

4

9/26-

6/13

4/13

2/13

1/13 12/12 10/12+ 30/12+

46

47

44

49

49

46

46

49

50

51

48

47

52

51

5

3

5

3

4

2

3

9/12-

16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12

5/12

47

44

44

42

43

51

54

53

53

52

2

2

3

5

5

4/12

3/12

1/12 12/11 11/11 10/11 8/11

45

45

45

39

40

39

37

52

51

50

57

57

57

59

3

4

5

4

3

4

4

7/11 6/11 5/11 4/11

43

41

37

45

54

54

58

52

3

5

5

3

5/6-

1/23-

6/10 11/10 3/10 25/10

46

48

47

47

50

46

50

49

4

6

3

4

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

2/11 46 49 5

1/1014/10

43 49 8

10/14-

8/26- 8/5-

1/11 12/10 11/10 18/10+ 9/10 30/10 9/10

45

42

42

43

42

39

44

50

54

54

53

54

56

52

5

4

4

4

4

5

4

12/09 10/09 9/09 7/09 6/09 4/09 2/09

42

47

50

49

51

55

56

51

46

42

44

38

37

31

7

7

8

7

11

8

13

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q7

Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling foreign policy?

High

Low

10/8-

10/8-

7/15** 4/15

3/15

1/15 12/14 11/14 12/14+ 9/14+ 8/14

5/11 12/14+

Approve ............ 41

40

36

37

37

38

31

32

36

57

31

Disapprove ....... 52

53

58

56

55

56

61

62

60

35

61

Not sure.......... 7

7

6

7

8

6

8

6

4

8

6

6/14

4/14

3/14 12/13 8/13

7/13

4/13 12/12 10/12+

37

38

41

44

41

46

46

52

49

57

53

53

48

49

46

43

40

46

6

9

6

8

10

8

11

8

5

9/26- 9/12-

30/12+ 16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 5/12

1/12 11/11 8/11

6/11

49

49

54

53

51

51

52

50

50

46

46

40

41

42

41

41

45

44

5

5

6

6

7

8

7

5

6

5/11

4/11 11/10

57

49

48

35

46

44

8

5

8

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

1/10 50 37 13

12/09 49 42 9

10/09 51 39 10

9/09 50 36 14

7/09 57 33 10

6/09 54 36 10

4/09 56 31 13

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q8

Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to

rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very

negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (AFTER THE FIRST TEN ITEMS, READ:) And,

just a few more. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA)

Barack Obama1 July 2015...................................... June 2015 .................................... April 2015 ..................................... March 2015 .................................. January 2015 ............................... December 2014............................ November 2014............................ Oct. 30 ? Nov. 1, 2014+ ............... October 8-12, 2014+ .................... September 2014+ ........................ August 2014 ................................. June 2014 .................................... April 2014 ..................................... March 2014 .................................. January 2014 ............................... December 2013............................ October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ September 2013........................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... April 2013 ..................................... January 2013 ............................... December 2012............................ October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. August 2012+ ............................... July 2012+.................................... June 2012 .................................... January 2012 ............................... November 2011............................ August 2011 ................................. April 2011 ..................................... January 2011 ............................... December 2010............................ November 2010............................ October 28-30, 2010+ .................. June 2010 .................................... May 20-23, 2010 .......................... March 2010 .................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... December 2009............................ October 2009 ............................... February 2009.............................. January 2009 ...............................

Barack Obama High

February 2009..................................... Presidential Term Low

August 2014 ........................................ All-time Obama Low

October 28-30, 2006+ .........................

Very Positive

24 25 26 24 24 24 24 23 21 22 22 20 24 21 23 22 24 26 25 28 30 31 37 34 37 31 33 29 28 26 24 28 29 25 28 29 27 28 31 29 29 36 47 43

47

22

14

Somewhat Positive

20 20 21 20 21 21 21 20 22 20 18 21 20 20 19 20 17 21 20 19 17 21 16 15 15 17 16 19 22 19 20 22 23 23 21 18 20 19 19 23 21 20 21 23

21

18

17

Neutral

13 13 13 12 13 10 11 12 11 11 13 13 15 15 13 11 13 11 12 13 10 11 9 8 6 8 8 14 10 15 12 14 15 14 12 12 13 15 11 14 13 11 12 17

12

13

18

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

14

29

-

14

27

1

13

27

-

14

29

1

12

29

1

13

31

1

11

32

1

13

32

-

12

34

-

13

33

1

14

33

-

14

31

1

13

28

-

14

30

-

14

30

1

13

33

1

13

32

1

11

30

1

16

26

1

12

28

-

15

27

1

11

26

-

14

24

-

12

31

-

11

31

-

13

30

1

11

32

-

11

27

-

14

25

1

13

27

-

14

30

-

13

23

-

14

18

1

14

24

-

13

26

-

15

27

-

15

25

-

14

24

-

14

24

1

14

20

-

15

22

-

12

21

-

9

10

1

8

6

3

9

10

1

14

33

-

5

6

40

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q8 (cont'd)

The Republican Party1 July 2015...................................... April 2015..................................... January 2015 ............................... December 2014 ........................... November 2014 ........................... Oct. 30 ? Nov. 1, 2014+ ............... October 8-12, 2014+ .................... September 2014+ ........................ June 2014 .................................... April 2014..................................... March 2014 .................................. January 2014 ............................... December 2013 ........................... October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ September 2013 .......................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... February 2013.............................. January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. August 2012+............................... July 2012+ ................................... June 2012 .................................... May 2012 ..................................... April 2012..................................... March 2012 .................................. January 2012 ............................... December 2011 ........................... November 2011 ........................... October 2011 ............................... August 2011................................. June 2011 .................................... May 2011 ..................................... April 2011..................................... January 2011 ............................... December 2010 .......................... November 2010 .......................... October 28-30, 2010+ .................. October 14-18, 2010+ .................. September 2010 .......................... August 26-30, 2010...................... August 5-9, 2010.......................... June 2010 .................................... May 20-23, 2010 .......................... May 6-11, 2010 ............................ March 2010 .................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... January 10-14, 2010 .................... December 2009 ........................... June 2009 .................................... April 2009..................................... February 2009..............................

High December 2001 ...........................

Low October 25-28, 2013 ....................

Very Positive

7 8 6 7 9 7 6 9 6 6 7 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 6 9 15 14 12 11 10 9 11 8 8 6 9 11 8 8 8 7 7 11 11 12 8 8 7 6 6 10 8 6 7 7 5 6 7 7

21

6

Somewhat Positive

21 22 19 23 23 22 21 22 23 19 20 19 20 16 17 21 24 21 20 21 21 24 24 23 21 23 22 24 23 21 21 22 24 22 24 24 27 27 23 22 23 23 23 18 24 23 22 25 25 23 23 19 22 19

36

16

Neutral

26 26 27 24 23 23 21 26 24 29 27 28 22 24 21 27 26 24 24 23 20 18 18 22 23 23 23 23 24 23 23 21 21 24 22 24 24 23 24 24 25 25 25 28 26 26 26 24 27 27 27 29 25 24

18

24

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

22

22

2

20

23

1

23

23

2

22

23

1

18

25

2

23

24

1

25

25

2

20

21

2

22

23

2

22

22

2

21

24

1

22

25

1

26

25

1

23

30

1

24

29

2

23

21

1

18

23

1

20

26

1

24

25

1

18

27

2

18

25

1

18

25

1

16

29

1

18

25

1

18

26

2

19

24

2

19

24

1

19

24

2

19

25

1

23

25

2

18

26

3

18

26

2

23

23

1

23

21

2

21

23

2

22

22

1

21

19

2

17

20

2

20

19

3

18

23

1

19

23

2

21

22

1

22

21

2

24

22

2

23

19

2

21

19

1

22

20

2

20

23

2

18

20

3

24

18

1

24

19

2

23

21

2

22

22

2

25

22

3

13

9

3

23

30

1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES July 2015

Study #15313 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q8 (cont'd)

The Democratic Party1 July 2015 ..................................... April 2015 .................................... January 2015................................ December 2014 ............................ November 2014 ............................ Oct. 30 ? Nov. 1, 2014+................ October 8-12, 2014+..................... September 2014+ ......................... June 2014..................................... April 2014 ..................................... March 2014................................... January 2014................................ December 2013 ............................ October 25-28, 2013..................... October 7-9, 2013......................... September 2013 ........................... May 30-June 2, 2013 .................... February 2013 .............................. January 2013................................ December 2012 ............................ October 2012+.............................. September 26-30, 2012+.............. August 2012+ ............................... July 2012+ .................................... June 2012..................................... May 2012...................................... April 2012 ..................................... March 2012................................... January 2012................................ December 2011 ............................ November 2011 ............................ October 2011................................ August 2011 ................................. June 2011..................................... May 2011...................................... April 2011 ..................................... January 2011................................ December 2010 ............................ November 2010 ............................ October 28-30, 2010+................... October 14-18, 2010+................... September 2010 ........................... August 26-30, 2010 ...................... August 5-9, 2010 .......................... June 2010..................................... May 20-23, 2010........................... May 6-11, 2010............................. March 2010................................... January 23-25, 2010..................... January 10-14, 2010..................... December 2009 ............................

High January 2000................................

Low July 2006 ......................................

Very Positive

13 12 9 12 12 12 12 11 13 13 14 10 10 15 14 13 14 18 17 21 21 21 19 17 14 17 15 15 15 9 15 12 11 13 15 12 15 9 14 16 14 15 11 11 11 15 11 9 14 11 10

20

7

Somewhat Positive

25 26 26 25 26 24 25 25 25 23 21 27 26 22 25 27 25 23 27 23 21 21 23 23 23 22 24 23 23 23 25 25 22 25 26 26 24 28 26 23 24 22 25 22 24 26 26 28 25 27 25

30

25

Neutral

22 24 24 22 20 19 20 22 21 24 25 22 19 21 18 22 22 22 17 19 17 17 16 20 25 19 21 24 23 25 22 19 21 21 22 22 25 20 18 17 16 20 19 22 21 18 19 19 22 20 19

23

27

Somewhat

Very

Negative Negative

18

20

17

19

18

20

17

22

20

21

20

23

20

23

20

22

18

22

19

18

18

20

20

20

20

24

18

22

20

20

20

18

19

18

17

19

19

19

16

19

17

23

17

22

17

23

17

23

18

19

21

19

19

19

18

18

21

18

23

19

18

19

20

22

19

25

19

20

18

17

18

21

19

16

18

23

18

23

19

23

19

26

20

22

19

24

18

26

20

24

18

22

18

24

19

24

17

21

18

23

19

26

15

10

22

17

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

2 2 3 2 1 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 2 3 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1

2

2

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