FINDING #1 STOCKS - Verbundzentrale des GBV

[Pages:6]FINDING #1 STOCKS

Screening, Backtesting, and Time-Proven Strategies

Kevin Matras

WILEY John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Contents

Acknowledgments

xiii

Introduction

xv

Chapter t

The Importance of Screening and Backtesting

1

Why Should I Use a Stock Screener?

1

Backtesting!

2

Chapter 2

Identifying What Kind of Trader You Are

5

Question 1: What Kinds of Stocks

Do You Want to Invest In?

5

Question 2: What Characteristics Do You Want

Your Stocks to Have?

6

Question 3: What Do You Want Your Stocks to

Do for You?

7

Chapter 3

Defining the Basic Trading Styles

9

Momentum Style

9

Aggressive Growth Style

11

Value Style

12

Growth and Income Style

12

"All Style" Style

13

Technical Analysis

14

Winning in Style

.

14

vii

ViH

CONTENTS

Chapter 4

Trading the Zacks Rank

15

The Zacks Rank versus the Market

15

About Len Zacks

17

Calculating the Zacks Rank

18

What the Rankings Mean

20

Four Factors of the Zacks Rank

24

Chapter 5

Beyond the Zacks Rank

27

Filtering the Zacks Rank

27

How Many Stocks Are Right for You?

32

Chapter 8

How to Trade the Strategies

33

Once a Month

.

33

Once a Week

35

Combining Holding Periods

35

Chapter 7

Winning Momentum Strategies

37

Big Money

37

Earnings Acceleration

42

Increasing Earnings

44

New Highs

46

Using New Highs for Sector and

Industry Analysis

50

Summary

53

Chapter 8

Winning Aggressive Growth Strategies

55

Small-Cap Growth

55

All-Cap Growth

61

Sizing Up the Markets

64

Zacks Rank 5 or 4 to 1

66

CONTENTS

iX

First Profit

68

Summary

70

Chapter 8

Winning Value Strategies

71

Value and Spark

71

R-Squared Growth

78

ROE for Your KOI

82

Cash Is King

83

Price to Cash Flow

84

Statistical Analysis of P/CF, P/E, VIS, P/B, and PEG

85

Combined Valuation Screen

94

Summary

95

Chapter 10 :

Winning Growth and Income Strategies

97

Growth an'd Income Winners

97

Growth and Income Method 1

102

Modifying Your Strategies

103

Dividend Attraction

104

Summary

108

Chapter 11

Winning "All Style" Strategies

(and Other Stuff That Works)

109

Finding Growth and Value Stocks the Right Way

110

Sales and Margins

113

Relative Price Strength

115

Broker Rating Upgrades

118

New Analyst Coverage

121

Top Stocks, Top Industries

122

Combining Two Great Ways for Identifying

the Best Sectors and Industries

124

Earnings Yield

125

Calculating Price Targets

127

Summary

129

X

CONTENTS

Chapter 12

Applying Technical Analysis

131

Increasing Price and Volume

.132

TA and FA Winners

133

3 Days Up, Price and Volume

135

Moving Averages

139

Summary

148

Chapter 13

Identifying Chart Patterns

149

Symmetrical Triangles

150

Ascending Triangles

154

Descending Triangles

158

Flags and Pennants

162

Rectangles

171

Wedges

176

Head and Shoulders

182

Inverted Head and Shoulders

184

Screening for Chart Patterns and

Consolidation Areas

192

The Pattern That Called the Market Top

and Bottom in 2007 and 2009

195

Summary

198

Chapter 14

The Right Tools for the Job

199

A Good Ranking System

200

Screeners and Backtesters

201

Research Wizard: A Complete Research Tool

204

Chapter 15

Getting Started Screening and Backtesting

207

Screening for Stocks

207

Backtesting Your Screens

211

Advanced Screening and Backtesting

221

Summary

233

CONTENTS

xi

Chapter 16

Short Selling Strategies for Bear Markets

235

Toxic Stocks

236

Decreasing Earnings Two Years Out

239

Summary

241

Chapter 17

Managing Risk and Cutting Losses

243

Using Stop Losses

243

Diversification and Portfolio Weighting

245

Summary

247

Chapter 18

Know Your dptions

249

The Option Is Yours

249

Buying Calls and Puts

252

Straddles and Strangles

258

Spreads

260

Covered Call Writing

262

Uncovered Call Writing

267

Put Option Writing

268

Stock Screening for Options

273

Summary

277

Chapter 18

Investing in ETFs

279

ETFs for Any Market and Any Direction

279

Screening for the Right Sector and Industry ETFs

281

Chapter 28

Putting It All Together

283

Disclaimer

285

Free Trials and Other Resources

287

Index

289

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