N EW BLUE BOOK II C A
[Pages:5]NEW
BLUE BOOK
CAR
EDITION
Market Report
JUNE
2013
Automotive Insights from Kelley Blue Book
Kelley Blue Book Public Relations Contacts:
Chintan Talati | Senior Director, Public Relations Joanna Pinkham | Senior Public Relations Manager Brenna Robinson | Public Relations Manager Natalie Kumaratne | Public Relations Coordinator
949.267.4855 | ctalati@
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949.267.4770 | nkumaratne@
NEW-CAR MARKET ANALYSIS:
Sales Bounce Back, Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate (SAAR) Jumps to 15.3 Million in May
Daily Sales Rate, Units per Day
Daily Sales Rate Highest Since May 2007
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
2007
2011
2012
2013
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Source: Kelley Blue Book Automotive Insights
In This Issue:
NEW-CAR MARKET ANALYSIS Sales Bounce Back, Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate (SAAR) Jumps to 15.3 Million in May
Compact Crossovers Post Biggest Ever Month of Sales
Full-Size Pickup Truck Sales Making Year-Over-Year Gains, Thanks to Improved Construction Numbers
Subaru Has Best Month Ever
More Model-Year 2014 Units Appearing on Dealer Lots
Toyota Camry Sales Down, Honda Accord and Ford Fusion Post Big Gains
New MAZDA6 Tries to Turn Around Slow Sales Start in 2013
Prius Sales Continue to Climb
Daily Sales Rate, Year-Over-Year
Sales Growth Rebounds in May
12%
10%
9.6%
8%
8.0%
7.3%
8.1%
6%
4.2% 4%
2%
0% Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Source: Kelley Blue Book Automotive Insights
? After sales growth slowed last month, in May 2013, SAAR returned above 15 million with 8.1 percent year-over-year growth
? With consumer confidence on the upswing, Kelley Blue Book expects sales to remain strong through the summer months.
Industry growth once again was driven by strong pickup and compact crossover sales, which were both more than 20 percent above May 2012," said Alec Gutierrez, senior market analyst for Kelley Blue Book. "Trucks have benefitted from a rebound in new home construction, while small crossovers have grown in demand as fuel-thirsty SUVs have fallen out of favor.
-Alec Gutierrez
NEW-CAR MARKET ANALYSIS:
continued
Compact Crossovers Post Biggest Ever Month of Sales
Market Share
Compact Crossovers Gain Market Share in 2013
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
2011
2012
2013
0%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Source: Kelley Blue Book Automotive Insights
Make Ford Honda Chevrolet Toyota Nissan Subaru GMC Mazda Jeep Subaru
Model Escape CR-V Equinox RAV4 Rogue Forester Terrain CX-5 Patriot XV Crosstrek
YTD YOY % May-13 YTD 2013 YOY % Chg Chg
29,123 127,932 26.2%
29.7%
27,298 119,191
8.4%
-3.4%
22,918 102,752 13.2%
14.0%
20,780 80,734
8.0%
8.6%
17,333
63,533
44.7%
4.4%
10,068 40,578
37.5%
35.9%
7,847
42,617 -10.5%
9.8%
7,128
31,201
79.4%
171.8%
6,636
31,425
12.6%
15.9%
5,295
20,438
New
New
Source: Kelley Blue Book Automotive Insights
? At 183,319 units, more compact crossovers were sold in May 2013 than in any month before. Sales increased 21.2 percent from last year, and are up 18.9 percent for the year.
? Market share fell slightly from last month to 12.7 percent; however, the year-to-date total of 12.4 percent share is more than a full percentage point higher than last year.
"Transaction prices for the compact crossover segment remain high, climbing 3.1 percent to $26,709," said Gutierrez. "The recently redesigned Ford Escape and Toyota RAV4 led the way, with prices increasing 5.9 percent and 3.5 percent, respectively."
Full-Size Pickup Truck Sales Making Year-Over-Year Gains, Thanks to Improved Construction Numbers
Market Share
Trucks Gain Market Share in 2013
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
2010
2011
2012
2013
0%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Source: Kelley Blue Book Automotive Insights
Truck Sales Up 24 Percent in May
200,000
180,000
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000 0
2010
2011
2012
2013
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Source: Kelley Blue Book Automotive Insights
? To-date in 2013, sales of new full-size pickup trucks are outpacing the last several years. ? Total full-size pickup truck sales in May 2013 were 34,344 units, or 24 percent higher, than May 2012. ? Full-size pickup trucks made up 12.2 percent of total new-vehicle sales in May 2013, compared to 10.6 percent in May 2012.
"Sales of full-size pickup trucks are up from previous years due to the improved housing and construction sectors," said Gutierrez. "The recently redesigned Ram pickup and upcoming GM truck redesigns will help to keep sales strong."
Number of Units, Ths.
Total Housing Units Started and Under
Construction
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
2013 Starts
2013 Under Const
2012 Starts
2012 Under Const
January
February
March
April
Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, May 16, 2013
2 BLUE BOOK New-Car Market Report JUNE 2013
? The total number of new, privately owned housing units that began construction was up 13.1 percent at the end of April 2013 compared to April 2012.
? The total number of new privately owned housing units under construction at the end of April 2013 was 30.4 percent higher than at the end of April 2012.
NEW-CAR MARKET ANALYSIS:
continued
Subaru Has Best Month Ever
Monthly Sales
45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000
5,000 0 2007
Subaru Sets Sales Record in May
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Source: OEM Press Releases
? Subaru set its best monthly sales record in May 2013, with total sales coming in at 39,892 units. ? Subaru bested its May 2012 sales figures by 34.2 percent, while increasing 21.1 percent month-over-month, putting the brand's total sales for the year
(to date) at 165,362 units. ? This ranks Subaru No. 11 among brands for May 2013 new-car sales, and No. 12 in total sales year-to-date.
"Subaru sales have been bolstered by increased interest in the redesigned Impreza, as well as the all-new Subaru Forester," said Gutierrez. "With so much available in the way of new product, Kelley Blue Book expects Subaru's strength to continue."
More Model-Year 2014 Units Appearing on Dealer Lots
Percent of New-Car Listings
MY2014 Inventory on the Rise
100%
90%
80%
70%
60% 50% 40%
MY2012 MY2013 MY2014
30%
20%
10%
0%
Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: Listings
? In May 2013, model-year 2014 vehicles surpassed model-year 2012 for total number of vehicles in inventory.
"Inventory levels suggest consumers shopping for a new 2012 vehicle are going to have a difficult time finding one as inventory depletes," said Gutierrez. "However, great deals may be found as dealers are looking to make room on their lots for the incoming 2014 model year."
? For example, consumers looking for a full-size sedan may want to consider the 2013 Chevrolet Impala, since a new 2014 is just around the corner. ? The 2013 model is currently available with up to $4,000 in cash offers and/or 0.9 percent financing for up to 72 months. Model-year 2013 vehicle inventory levels appear to have reached their peak in May, and Kelley Blue Book expects levels to begin declining in June as manufacturers ramp-up production of 2014 model-year vehicles.
3 BLUE BOOK New-Car Market Report JUNE 2013
NEW-CAR MARKET ANALYSIS:
continued
Toyota Camry Sales Down, Honda Accord and Ford Fusion Post Big Gains
YTD Sales Through May
200,000 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000
80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000
-
Camry Losing Sales to Competition
2012 2013
Camry
Accord
Altima
Fusion
Malibu
Sonata
Source: OEM Press Releases
? Although the Toyota Camry remains the sales leader of the mid-size car segment, total sales for the year are down 5.5 percent. ? The two vehicles that have significantly improved their sales in 2013 are the Honda Accord and the Ford Fusion. Accord and Fusion sales have
increased 22.9 and 21.7 percent (respectively) this year as a result of 2013 redesigns.
"Not all redesigns are performing up to par," said Gutierrez. "The new Chevrolet Malibu received a lukewarm reception last year and sales are down 18.4 percent in 2013. In response, GM is launching a refresh for the 2014 model year, hoping to regain some of its lost market share."
New MAZDA6 Tries to Turn Around Slow Sales Start in 2013
Units Sold
MAZDA6 Posts First Sales Increase in
9,000
2013
8,000
7,000 6,000 5,000
2012 2013
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Source: OEM Press Releases
? The MAZDA6 has posted slow sales in most of 2013, down 25.6 percent. However, sales in May were 34.5 percent above the April numbers. The slow first quarter likely was due to consumers waiting for the 2014 redesign, which became available in April.
With the new 2014 MAZDA6 model now available, sales should vastly outpace last year's numbers in June and through the second half of the year. However, stiff competition within the mid-size car segment will make any large volume gains difficult for Mazda.
-Alec Gutierrez
4 BLUE BOOK New-Car Market Report JUNE 2013
NEW-CAR MARKET ANALYSIS:
continued
Prius Sales Continue to Climb
Units Sold
Prius Sales Continue to Climb in 2013
25,000 20,000 15,000
15,772
17,812
22,140
19,889
23,522
10,000
5,000
0 Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Source: OEM Press Releases
? Despite a decline in the month of April, Toyota Prius new-car sales rebounded in May 2013 to reach its highest monthly sales figure in more than a year at 23,522 units sold. This amounted to a 9.5 percent increase from last May.
? In total, 99,135 units in the Prius family have been sold in 2013. However, this figure is still down 7.8 percent from last year. This can be strongly attributed to lower fuel costs, which are 10 cents cheaper on average in 2013.
"The Prius also has faced competition from electric vehicles, which have relied upon aggressive lease offers in recent months," said Gutierrez. "For example, the Nissan LEAF can be had for $199 a month for 36 months with only $1,999 down, making it a truly compelling offering for those seeking to reduce fuel expenses."
The statements set forth in this publication are the opinions of the authors and are subject to change without notice. This publication has been prepared for informational purposes only. Kelley Blue Book assumes no responsibility for errors or omissions.
About Kelley Blue Book ()
Founded in 1926, Kelley Blue Book, The Trusted Resource?, is the only vehicle valuation and information source trusted and relied upon by both consumers and the industry. Each week the company provides the most market-reflective values in the industry on its top-rated website , including its famous Blue Book? Trade-In and Suggested Retail Values and Fair Purchase Price, which reports what others are paying for new cars this week. The company also provides vehicle pricing and values through various products and services available to car dealers, auto manufacturers, finance and insurance companies as well as governmental agencies. provides consumer pricing and information on cars for sale, minivans, pickup trucks, sedan, hybrids, electric cars, and SUVs. Kelley Blue Book Co., Inc. is a wholly owned subsidiary of AutoTrader Group.
5 BLUE BOOK New-Car Market Report JUNE 2013
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