THE RUSSIAN INVASION OF THE CRIMEAN PENINSULA
THE RUSSIAN INVASION OF THE
CRIMEAN PENINSULA 2014?2015 A Post?Cold War Nuclear Crisis Case Study National Security Report
Jonathon Cosgrove
THE RUSSIAN INVASION OF THE CRIMEAN PENINSULA, 2014?2015
A Post?Cold War Nuclear Crisis Case Study
Jonathon Cosgrove
Copyright ? 2020 The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory LLC. All Rights Reserved.
NSAD-R-20-064
The Russian Invasion of the Crimean Peninsula, 2014?2015
iii
Contents
Figures.......................................................................................................................................................................................... v Foreword...................................................................................................................................................................................vii Summary.................................................................................................................................................................................... ix
Introduction........................................................................................................................................................ 1 Coding the Crisis...............................................................................................................................................................1
Historical Background....................................................................................................................................... 2 Pre-Crisis: Russian Compulsion and Euromaidan..................................................................................................6
The Crisis: Invasion and Annexation of Crimea.......................................................................................... 10 Resolution.......................................................................................................................................................... 16 Evaluation and Analysis.................................................................................................................................. 16
Nuclear Weapons in the Crisis................................................................................................................................... 17 Nuclear Weapon Characteristics............................................................................................................................... 21 US Deliberations and Responses.............................................................................................................................. 23 Conclusion......................................................................................................................................................... 24
Appendix Coding of Crimea Case Study Variables................................................................................................ 27 Bibliography............................................................................................................................................................................ 37 Acknowledgments................................................................................................................................................................ 51 About the Author.................................................................................................................................................................. 51
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