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Northern Poll Topline ReportContact: Robert Alexander, Ph.D. Professor of Political Science (419.772.2093; r-alexander@onu.edu)Sample size: 1505 adultsMargin of Error: ±2.7% -- Percentages may not equal 100% due to rounding. Online panels were fielded through Dynata from April 5th to April 10th. All respondents were Ohio residents, were aged 18 or above, and registered to vote. Thinking about politics in Ohio, how satisfied are you with the results of the November 2018 midterm elections? AllRepublicanDemocratIndependentSatisfied27451418Neutral48444561Dissatisfied 24124121Thinking about politics at the national level, how satisfied are you with the results of the November 2018 midterm elections?AllRepublicanDemocratIndependentSatisfied26293116Neutral43393956Dissatisfied 31333128Please indicate how you feel President Trump is handling his job as president. AllRepublicanDemocratIndependentSatisfied3571523Neutral1517724Dissatisfied 50138853Thinking about the way things are going in the country, do you feel things are going in the right direction or that things are going in the wrong direction?AllRepublicanDemocratIndependentRight Direction3160721Wrong Direction52228353Unsure 17181026How excited are you about voting in the 2020 presidential election?AllRepublicanDemocratIndependentVery Excited32314020Excited28302923Neutral30292440Unexcited77410Very unexcited4338If you had to decide today, who do you think you would support for president in 2020?AllRepublicanDemocratIndependentDonald Trump3471321A Democrat4168926Neither 87317Unsure1817636Regardless of who you support, which political party do you think will win the presidency in 2020?AllRepublicanDemocratIndependentThe Republicans36681221The Democrats3195924An Independent Candidate3109A Third Party Candidate1002Unsure30222945Regarding the 2020 election, would you prefer that Donald Trump run unopposed for the Republican nomination or would you prefer to see him face a primary challenger?RepublicanIndependentI would prefer that Trump run unopposed for the Republican nomination6424I would like to see a Republican challenge Trump for the nomination*3675*We asked respondents to indicate who they would like to see challenge Trump. The most common names given (John Kasich-9, Ted Cruz-3, Mitt Romney-2, Lindsey Graham-2)Other names given: Sean Hannity, Rob Portman, Paul Ryan, Howard Schultz, Rudy Guiliani, Marco RubioNotable comments: “Bozo the clown,” “Anyone with half a brain, literally anyone…a hobo…a 12-year-old…anyone…please,” “Would like a Republican in office, but will not vote for Trump.”What do you believe is the most important issue facing the country today? You may select more than one issue.AllRepublicansDemocratsIndependentsAbortion12141110Budget Deficit22232124Climate change2494221Economy31313131Education1913221Foreign Relations18122418Gender Equality71146Gun Control20103020Health Care48396044Immigration36532524Income Disparity1242012Integrity of Elections1261812National Security21281618Race Relations1662615Taxation14111715Terrorism16201412We would like to ask you how you feel about a number of individuals who are active in politics. Please indicate how you feel about each of the following individuals ranging from strongly approve to strongly disapprove. Strongly ApproveApproveNeutralDisapproveStrongly DisapproveDon’t Know/No opinionDonald Trump* -All18181012411-Republicans383412971-Democrats13412780-Independents11151518393Barack Obama-All25231513231-Republicans491625470-Democrats54338220-Independents16302412153Mike Pence-All13192215256-Republicans263423854-Democrats271720504-Independents91228202111Strongly ApproveApproveNeutralDisapproveStrongly DisapproveDon’t Know/No opinionNancy Pelosi-All8172114356-Republicans121017655-Democrats193626964-Independents41130153010Hillary Clinton-All10171817382-Republicans13518721-Democrats2334271061-Independents3122325334John Kasich-All8272917127-Republicans9232620175-Democrats832311495-Independents72432151012Mike DeWine-All5243817107-Republicans936331345-Democrats2153923156-Independents11844141013Sherrod Brown-All12252815138-Republicans2142725247-Democrats283823435-Independents42337131013Rob Portman-All41938151113-Republicans8293710611-Democrats21138201713-Independents2154114919Strongly ApproveApproveNeutralDisapproveStrongly DisapproveDon’t Know/No opinionAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez-All81122113117-Republicans1212115916-Democrats1724298716-Independents3828152521Howard Shultz-All153410941-Republicans1533101238-Democrats143411742-Independents16367743Robert Mueller-All81933131115-Republicans21337161715-Democrats17282910612-Independents6173514920*Republicans = strongly approve or approve of Trump = 72%. *Democrats = strongly disapprove or disapprove of Donald Trump = 90%.Net approval scores (all respondents): Strongly Approve/Approve Disapprove/Strongly Disapprove NetDonald Trump3653-17Mike Pence3241-9Hillary Clinton2655-29Nancy Pelosi2546-21Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez1942-23Barack Obama4836+12Robert Mueller2824+4Howard Shultz619-13Sherrod Brown3727+10John Kasich3529+6Mike DeWine2926+3Rob Portman2325-2A large number of Democrats have announced that they are seeking their party’s nomination and several others are considering it. Please indicate how you feel about each of the following individuals ranging from strongly approve to strongly disapprove. Strongly ApproveApproveNeutralDisapproveStrongly DisapproveDon’t Know/No opinionJoe Biden -All15222416185-Republicans3112326335-Democrats313519843-Independents9223315148Bernie Sanders-All10212117265-Republicans361521514-Democrats2135231264-Independents7232519188Elizabeth Warren-All61520142817-Republicans1312155216-Democrats13302510616-Independents31126192120Beto O’Rourke-All41324101831-Republicans2317133333-Democrats926286428-Independents21030111433Kamala Harris-All6132292030-Republicans2214123832-Democrats1427264325-Independents2927111536Amy Klobuchar-All3923101244-Republicans2215132146-Democrats516286342-Independents2926101043Strongly ApproveApproveNeutralDisapproveStrongly DisapproveDon’t Know/No opinionCory Booker-All41324101732-Republicans1216133334-Democrats826306228-Independents2112891337Pete Buttigieg-All59227949-Republicans2315111554-Democrats918243243-Independents26306749Julian Castro-All282581345-Republicans1216112546-Democrats316325242-Independents172971046Kirsten Gillibrand-All31024101439-Republicans1316142641-Democrats518316437-Independents1927111141Tim Ryan-All3132911737-Republicans2725171338-Democrats620306335-Independents1123111539Jay Inslee-All14236759-Republicans1215101360-Democrats17283259-Independents13286657Strongly ApproveApproveNeutralDisapproveStrongly DisapproveDon’t Know/No opinionJohn Hickenlooper-All26258853-Republicans2216121453-Democrats210303253-Independents06309551Andrew Yang-All25247855-Republicans1215111655-Democrats27294256-Independents16297652Tulsi Gabbard-All24248854-Republicans1215101556-Democrats26297253-Independents15298651John Delaney-All15255856-Republicans131791456-Democrats27312257-Independents16305752Approval ratings among self-identified Democrats only*Strongly Approve/ApproveStrongly Disapprove/Disapprove No opinion/DKJoe Biden66123Bernie Sanders55184Elizabeth Warren431616Kamala Harris41825Beto O’Rourke351028Cory Booker34828Pete Buttigieg27543Tim Ryan26935Kirsten Gillibrand231037Amy Klobuchar21942Julian Castro19742Strongly Approve/ApproveStrongly Disapprove/Disapprove No opinion/DKJohn Hickenlooper12553Andrew Yang10656Tulsi Gabbard9953John Delaney8457Jay Inslee8559*Rows will not total 100% as those answering “neutral” are not included in this table. Which Democrat do you think has the best chance to beat Donald Trump?%AllDemocratsRepublicansIndependentsJoe Biden52584848Bernie Sanders25302126Beto O’Rourke101768Kamala Harris81347Elizabeth Warren91267Cory Booker7857Pete Buttigieg5734Tim Ryan951211Julian Castro2221Kirsten Gillibrand2125John Hickenlooper2223Amy Klobuchar2114Andrew Yang2114John Delaney2122Jay Inslee1112Tulsi Gabbard1112Multiple women have announced their candidacy for the Democratic nomination. How important is it to you that there are female candidates running? AllRepublicansDemocratsIndependentsMenWomenImportant432366404343Not important355516333535Neutral222218272222Multiple non-white candidates have announced their candidacy for the Democratic nomination. How important is it to you that there are non-white candidates running? AllRepublicansDemocratsIndependentsWhitesPersons of ColorImportant392060373755Not important232220292318Neutral385820344027How likely is it that you would be willing to vote for a third party or independent candidate in 2020? AllRepublicansDemocratsIndependentsVery likely96618Likely18131924Unsure21181730Unlikely24252818Very Unlikely29383111Which of the following statements comes closer to your opinion about Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation into possible wrongdoing and Russian interference in the 2016 election?AllRepublicansDemocratsIndependentsIt was an unbiased investigation dealing with serious issues47237542It was a biased investigation designed to hurt President Trump3059522Unsure23182037As you may know, there is a proposal to substantially expand the wall along the U.S. border with Mexico. In general, do you favor or oppose this proposal?AllRepublicansDemocratsIndependentsStrongly favor2754419Somewhat favor1625716Neutral1391121Somewhat oppose1472116Strongly oppose3055729Do you think a wall along the entire border with Mexico willAllRepublicansDemocratsIndependentsLead to a major reduction in illegal immigration into the United States2854621Lead to a minor reduction in illegal immigration into the United States23271724Not have much of an impact42137143Unsure77612Do you think most immigrants are now living in the United States are here legally, most are here illegally, or it is about half and half?*AllRepublicansDemocratsIndependentsMost are here legally1892720Most are here illegally25381421About half and half37393733Unsure19132227*Data suggests 72% of all immigrants are here legally (naturalized citizens, legal non-citizens, temporary visas)What is your overall opinion of the news media in the United States today?AllRepublicansDemocratsIndependentsVery favorable73124Somewhat favorable2183818Neutral22152430Somewhat unfavorable25321921Very unfavorable2541728The MeToo movement is an international movement working to raise awareness about sexual harassment and sexual assault. Are you more likely or less likely to support a candidate who is an outspoken supporter of the MeToo movement, or does it not make a difference?AllRepublicansDemocratsIndependentsMenWomenMore likely251238232326Less likely18297162115Does not make a difference485048474948Unsure99715811Please indicate whether you favor or oppose the following ideas about election policyAllRepublicansDemocratsIndependentsAutomatically registering all people to vote Strongly favor24114116 Somewhat favor24202529 Neutral19201523 Somewhat oppose1318911 Strongly oppose1526514 Unsure5546Making Election Day a national holiday Strongly favor25143920 Somewhat favor22202420 Neutral23231930 Somewhat oppose1318911 Strongly oppose1421715 Unsure3324Removing inaccurate and duplicate registrations from voter lists using automatic methods Strongly favor35432932 Somewhat favor30313127 Neutral20162124 Somewhat oppose74117 Strongly oppose3242 Unsure5458Allowing people to register on Election Day at the polls Strongly favor22103620 Somewhat favor21132822 Neutral18161724 Somewhat oppose18241118 Strongly oppose1834612 Unsure3325Requiring all voters to show government issued photo identification to vote Strongly favor51713545 Somewhat favor21192124 Neutral1452116AllRepublicansDemocratsIndependents Somewhat oppose72126 Strongly oppose5294 Unsure2125How confident are you that election systems in the United States are secure from hacking and other technological threats?AllRepublicansDemocratsIndependentsVery confident6945Somewhat confident26332220Neutral19211522Not too confident31263532Not at all confident15102115Unsure3236Do you believe presidential elections should be decided by the national popular vote or by the current Electoral College system?AllRepublicansDemocratsIndependentsNational Popular vote51277749Current Electoral College system34611128Unsure15121223To the best of your knowledge, who won the national popular vote in the 2016 presidential election? AllRepublicansDemocratsIndependentsDonald Trump1628515Hillary Clinton67548659Unsure1718926Survey DemographicsGenderN%Male73548.8Female76550.8Prefer not to say 5.3Total1505100.0EducationN%Less than High School171High School Diploma or GED28318.8Some College47431.8Four-year college diploma45130Post-graduate diploma28018.6Total1505100.0Survey Demographics continued…Race/EthnicityN%White, non-Hispanic134589.4African-American906Latino or Pacific Islander171.1Native American11.7Other422.8Total1505100.0Military ServiceN%Yes1359No135990.3Prefer not to say11.7Total1505100.0IncomeN%Less than $30,00029019.3$30,001 - $50,00029619.7$50,001 - $75,00031320.8$75,001 - $100,00026217.4$100,001 - $125,0001399.2$125,001 - $150,000765.0$150,001 or above1298.6Total1505100.0Party IdentificationN%Republican58338.7Democrat55737.0Independent36524.3Total1505100.0AgeN%18-2917211.430-4438025.245-6459239.365+36124.0Total1505100.0 ................
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