Navy Manpower Planning
Navy Manpower Planning
David Rodney March 2017
DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release: distribution unlimited.
This document contains the best opinion of CNA at the time of issue. It does not necessarily represent the opinion of the sponsor.
Distribution
DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release: distribution unlimited. 2/28/2017
Other requests for this document shall be referred to CNA Document Center at inquiries@.
Photography Credit: . Approved by:
March 2017
Linda Cavalluzzo, Vice President and Director Resource Analysis Division
This work was performed under Federal Government Contract No. N00014-16-D-5003. Copyright ? 2017 CNA
Table of Contents
Introduction ..............................................................................................................................................1 Purpose of Monograph ......................................................................................................................1 Top-Level View of the Navy Manpower Planning Process ..........................................................2 The Time Dimension in MPT&E ...........................................................................................................5 MPT&E Management Structure ........................................................................................................6
Requirements ............................................................................................................................................12 Billet Descriptions .................................................................................................................................12 Categories of Manpower ..................................................................................................................13 Afloat Manpower Requirements .................................................................................................14 Shore Manpower Requirements ..................................................................................................16 The Individuals Account ................................................................................................................18
Programming ............................................................................................................................................20 PPBE Process.........................................................................................................................................20 Authorizations.......................................................................................................................................22 Discretionary Spending ......................................................................................................................25
Personnel Planning ..................................................................................................................................27 Analytic Framework ............................................................................................................................27 Closed Labor Market, Survival Curves, and Paygrade "Pyramids".......................................27 Components of Personnel Planning ................................................................................................33 Strength Planning ................................................................................................................................34 Community Management ................................................................................................................35 Accession Planning.............................................................................................................................36 Recruiting ..............................................................................................................................................39 Officer Recruiting............................................................................................................................40
i
Enlisted Recruiting...........................................................................................................................41 Training & Education...........................................................................................................................44
Officer Training & Education ........................................................................................................45 Enlisted Training & Education .......................................................................................................48 Individuals Account .......................................................................................................................52 Career Planning ..................................................................................................................................53 Officer Community Planning ........................................................................................................53 Enlisted Community Planning.......................................................................................................57 Advancement or Promotion .............................................................................................................61 Officer Promotions..........................................................................................................................62 Enlisted Advancements.................................................................................................................66 Compensation .....................................................................................................................................68 The Overall Structure of Compensation .....................................................................................68 Targeted Pays .................................................................................................................................68 Retirement .......................................................................................................................................70 Important Topics in Personnel Planning ..........................................................................................72 Econometric Modeling..................................................................................................................72 Decision Support Systems..............................................................................................................73 Choice of Continuation Rates .....................................................................................................75 Women in the Navy .......................................................................................................................77 Personnel Execution ................................................................................................................................80 Monitoring Execution of Plans...........................................................................................................80 Moving Personnel Through Training Pipelines.................................................................................81 Personnel Distribution..........................................................................................................................83 Fleet Manning ......................................................................................................................................85 Feedback Loops and Process Interactions.........................................................................................88 Evolution of Requirements .................................................................................................................88 Synchronization of Equipment Modernization With School Plans...............................................90 Last Thoughts ............................................................................................................................................91
ii
Glossary .....................................................................................................................................................92 References ................................................................................................................................................95
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