Crop Production 07/11/2019 ...

[Pages:27]Crop Production

ISSN: 1936-3737

Released July 11, 2019, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA).

Winter Wheat Production Up 1 Percent from June Durum Wheat Production Down 25 Percent from 2018 Other Spring Wheat Production Down 8 Percent from 2018 Orange Production Up 1 Percent from June

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.29 billion bushels, up 1 percent from the June 1 forecast and up 9 percent from 2018. As of July 1, the United States yield is forecast at 51.8 bushels per acre, up 1.3 bushels from last month and up 3.9 bushels from last year's average yield of 47.9 bushels per acre. The area expected to be harvested for grain or seed totals 24.9 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 28, 2019, but up 1 percent from last year.

Hard Red Winter production, at 804 million bushels, is up 1 percent from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 259 million bushels, is up less than 1 percent from the June forecast. White Winter, at 227 million bushels, is up 2 percent from last month. Of the White Winter production, 23.2 million bushels are Hard White and 204 million bushels are Soft White.

Durum wheat production is forecast at 58.1 million bushels, down 25 percent from 2018. The United States yield is forecast at 42.9 bushels per acre, up 3.6 bushels from last year. Area expected to be harvested for grain or seed totals 1.36 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 28, 2019, but 31 percent below 2018.

Other spring wheat production is forecast at 572 million bushels, down 8 percent from last year. Area harvested for grain or seed is expected to total 12.1 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 28, 2019, but 6 percent below 2018. The United States yield is forecast at a 47.2 bushels per acre, down 1.1 bushels from last year. Of the total production, 542 million bushels are Hard Red Spring wheat, down 8 percent from last year.

The United States all orange forecast for the 2018-2019 season is 5.33 million tons, up 1 percent from last month and up 36 percent from the 2017-2018 final utilization. The Florida all orange forecast, at 71.6 million boxes (3.22 million tons), is up slightly from last month and up 59 percent from last season's final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 30.4 million boxes (1.37 million tons), unchanged from last month but up 60 percent from last season's final utilization. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 41.2 million boxes (1.85 million tons), is up slightly from last month and up 58 percent from last season's final utilization.

The California all orange forecast is 50.0 million boxes (2.00 million tons), up 2 percent from the previous forecast and up 10 percent from last season's final utilization. The California Navel orange forecast, at 40.0 million boxes (1.60 million tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but up 11 percent from last season's final utilization. The California Valencia orange forecast is 10.0 million boxes (400,000 tons), up 11 percent from last month and up 5 percent from last season's final utilization. The Texas all orange forecast, at 2.49 million boxes (106,000 tons), is up 33 percent from the previous forecast and up 32 percent from last season's final utilization.

This report was approved on July 11, 2019.

Secretary of Agriculture Designate

Bill Northey

Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson

Joseph L. Parsons

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Crop Production (July 2019)

USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Contents Oat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019 ......................... 4 Barley Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019..................... 4 Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019............................................................................................................................................................................. 5 Durum Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019............................................................................................................................................................................. 6 Other Spring Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019............................................................................................................................................................................. 6 Wheat Production by Class ? United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019 .................................................................... 6 Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop ? States and United States: 2017-2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019............................................................................................................................................................................. 7 Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class and Type ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019........................................................................................................................................................... 8 Apricots Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019 .............................................................. 9 Almond Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019............................................................... 9 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units ? United States: 2018 and 2019................... 10 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units ? United States: 2018 and 2019 ....................... 12 Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units ? United States: 2018 and 2019 .................................................................. 14 Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units ? United States: 2018 and 2019 ....................................................................... 15 Winter Wheat Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab ? United States: 2015-2019 ............................... 16 Winter Wheat Heads per Square Foot ? Selected States: 2015-2019 ................................................................................... 17 Percent of Normal Precipitation Map ................................................................................................................................... 18 Departure from Normal Temperature Map ........................................................................................................................... 18 June Weather Summary ........................................................................................................................................................ 19 June Agricultural Summary .................................................................................................................................................. 19 Crop Comments .................................................................................................................................................................... 21 Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 24 Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................ 26

Crop Production (July 2019)

3

USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Oat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019

State

Area harvested

2018

2019

Yield per acre

2018

2019

Production

2018

2019

(1,000 acres)

(1,000 acres)

(bushels)

(bushels)

(1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)

California .............................

6

Idaho ....................................

10

Illinois ...................................

25

Iowa .....................................

33

Kansas .................................

18

Maine ...................................

19

Michigan ..............................

50

Minnesota ............................

105

Montana ...............................

23

Nebraska .............................

22

9

70.0

100.0

420

900

10

84.0

85.0

840

850

20

83.0

66.0

2,075

1,320

80

63.0

63.0

2,079

5,040

25

49.0

57.0

882

1,425

20

67.0

68.0

1,273

1,360

35

63.0

67.0

3,150

2,345

110

59.0

75.0

6,195

8,250

30

43.0

40.0

989

1,200

19

69.0

82.0

1,518

1,558

New York .............................

43

North Dakota ........................

105

Ohio .....................................

30

Oregon .................................

5

Pennsylvania .......................

35

South Dakota .......................

95

Texas ...................................

50

Wisconsin ............................

90

35

54.0

59.0

2,322

2,065

110

82.0

78.0

8,610

8,580

35

65.0

63.0

1,950

2,205

8

99.0

75.0

495

600

50

46.0

58.0

1,610

2,900

85

82.0

93.0

7,790

7,905

40

50.0

40.0

2,500

1,600

130

61.0

62.0

5,490

8,060

Other States 1 ......................

101

58

58.8

59.7

5,942

3,465

United States .......................

865

909

64.9

67.8

56,130

61,628

1 For 2018, Other States include: Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Missouri, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Washington, and Wyoming. For 2019, Other States include: Arkansas, Georgia, Missouri, North Carolina, and Oklahoma. Individual State level estimates will be published in the Small Grains 2019 Summary.

Barley Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019

State

Area harvested

2018

2019

Yield per acre

2018

2019

Production

2018

2019

(1,000 acres)

(1,000 acres)

(bushels)

(bushels)

(1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)

Arizona ..............................

9

15

100.0

130.0

900

1,950

California ...........................

26

48

69.0

60.0

1,794

2,880

Colorado ............................

52

77

145.0

130.0

7,540

10,010

Idaho ..................................

530

485

101.0

98.0

53,530

47,530

Minnesota ..........................

67

77

76.0

72.0

5,092

5,544

Montana .............................

600

705

56.0

47.0

33,600

33,135

North Dakota ......................

385

535

74.0

78.0

28,490

41,730

Virginia ...............................

9

9

70.0

73.0

630

657

Washington ........................

67

93

73.0

68.0

4,891

6,324

Wyoming ............................

50

76

100.0

100.0

5,000

7,600

Other States 1 ....................

183

211

63.5

64.0

11,615

13,497

United States .....................

1,978

2,331

77.4

73.3

153,082

170,857

1 Other States include: Alaska, Delaware, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, New York, North Carolina, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Utah, and Wisconsin. Individual State level estimates will be published in the Small Grains 2019 Summary.

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Crop Production (July 2019)

USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019

Area harvested

Yield per acre

Production

State

2018

2019

2018

2019

June 1

July 1

2018

2019

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (bushels)

(bushels)

(bushels)

(1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)

Arkansas ........................

95

60

55.0

60.0

60.0

5,225

3,600

California ........................

110

135

77.0

65.0

65.0

8,470

8,775

Colorado .........................

1,950

2,150

36.0

41.0

44.0

70,200

94,600

Idaho ..............................

680

680

90.0

83.0

87.0

61,200

59,160

Illinois .............................

560

590

66.0

65.0

63.0

36,960

37,170

Indiana ...........................

260

260

71.0

69.0

67.0

18,460

17,420

Kansas ...........................

7,300

6,600

38.0

50.0

50.0

277,400

330,000

Kentucky .........................

300

320

66.0

77.0

77.0

19,800

24,640

Maryland .........................

200

165

63.0

67.0

75.0

12,600

12,375

Michigan .........................

470

490

76.0

74.0

75.0

35,720

36,750

Mississippi ......................

30

20

49.0

52.0

52.0

Missouri ..........................

520

470

59.0

56.0

60.0

Montana .........................

1,570

1,850

50.0

45.0

46.0

Nebraska ........................

1,010

970

49.0

50.0

53.0

North Carolina ................

370

225

57.0

56.0

53.0

North Dakota ..................

70

75

43.0

50.0

45.0

Ohio ................................

450

420

75.0

63.0

64.0

Oklahoma .......................

2,500

2,750

28.0

37.0

38.0

Oregon ...........................

695

730

67.0

57.0

58.0

South Dakota ..................

660

730

48.0

52.0

54.0

1,470 30,680 78,500 49,490 21,090

3,010 33,750 70,000 46,565 31,680

1,040 28,200 85,100 51,410 11,925

3,375 26,880 104,500 42,340 39,420

Tennessee ......................

285

225

65.0

67.0

66.0

18,525

14,850

Texas .............................

1,750

2,200

32.0

33.0

35.0

56,000

77,000

Virginia ...........................

155

115

60.0

67.0

66.0

9,300

7,590

Washington ....................

1,650

1,660

76.0

69.0

70.0

125,400

116,200

Wisconsin .......................

200

170

71.0

65.0

66.0

14,200

11,220

Other States 1 .................

902

864

53.5

52.4

52.2

48,244

45,086

United States ..................

24,742

24,924

47.9

50.5

51.8

1,183,939

1,290,626

1 For 2018, Other States include Alabama, Arizona, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming. For 2019, Other States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the Small Grains 2019 Summary.

Crop Production (July 2019)

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USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Durum Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019

State

Area harvested

2018

2019

2018

Yield per acre 2019

June 1

July 1

Production

2018

2019

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres)

(bushels)

(bushels)

(bushels) (1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)

Arizona ........................ California ..................... Idaho ............................ Montana ....................... North Dakota ................ South Dakota 1 .............

70 33 11 775 1,075

3

44 42

5 585 680 (NA)

106.0 95.0 85.0 30.0 39.5 28.0

102.0 105.0 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)

103.0 107.0

87.0 39.0 38.0 (NA)

7,420 3,135

935 23,250 42,463

84

4,532 4,494

435 22,815 25,840

(NA)

United States ...............

1,967

(NA) Not available. 1 Estimates discontinued in 2019.

1,356

39.3

(NA)

42.9

77,287

58,116

Other Spring Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019

State

Area harvested

2018

2019

Yield per acre

2018

2019

Production

2018

2019

(1,000 acres)

(1,000 acres)

(bushels)

(bushels)

(1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)

Colorado 1 .......................... Idaho .................................. Minnesota .......................... Montana ............................. Nevada 1 ............................ North Dakota ...................... Oregon 1 ............................ South Dakota ..................... Utah 1 ................................. Washington ........................

4 445 1,570 2,820

3 6,490

75 965

9 515

(NA) 460 1,480 2,500 (NA) 6,400 (NA) 770 (NA) 515

76.0 95.0 59.0 34.0 100.0 49.0 67.0 42.0 52.0 54.0

(NA) 86.0 62.0 32.0 (NA) 47.0 (NA) 48.0 (NA) 45.0

304 42,275 92,630 95,880

300 318,010

5,025 40,530

468 27,810

(NA) 39,560 91,760 80,000

(NA) 300,800

(NA) 36,960

(NA) 23,175

United States .....................

12,896

12,125

48.3

47.2

623,232

572,255

(NA) Not available. 1 Estimates discontinued in 2019.

Wheat Production by Class ? United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019

[Wheat class estimates are based on the latest available data including both surveys and administrative data. The previous end-of-year season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season for States that do not have survey or administrative data available.]

Crop

2018

2019

(1,000 bushels)

(1,000 bushels)

Winter Hard red ....................................... Soft red ........................................ Hard white .................................... Soft white .....................................

662,249 285,558

19,347 216,785

804,477 259,173

23,219 203,757

Spring Hard red ....................................... Hard white .................................... Soft white ..................................... Durum ..........................................

587,007 13,510 22,715 77,287

541,815 12,495 17,945 58,116

Total ............................................

1,884,458

1,920,997

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Crop Production (July 2019)

USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop ? States and United States: 2017-2018 and

Forecasted July 1, 2019

[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year]

Crop and State

Utilized production boxes 1

2017-2018

2018-2019

Utilized production ton equivalent

2017-2018

2018-2019

(1,000 boxes)

(1,000 boxes)

(1,000 tons)

(1,000 tons)

Oranges California, all ...........................................

Early, mid, and Navel 2 ......................... Valencia ................................................

45,400 35,900

9,500

50,000 40,000 10,000

1,816 1,436

380

2,000 1,600

400

Florida, all ............................................... Early, mid, and Navel 2 .........................

Valencia ................................................

45,050 18,950 26,100

71,600 30,400 41,200

2,028 853

1,175

3,222 1,368 1,854

Texas, all ................................................ Early, mid, and Navel 2 .........................

Valencia ................................................

1,880 1,530

350

2,490 2,200

290

80

106

65

94

15

12

United States, all .................................... Early, mid, and Navel 2 .........................

Valencia ................................................

92,330 56,380 35,950

124,090 72,600 51,490

3,924 2,354 1,570

5,328 3,062 2,266

Grapefruit

California ................................................

4,000

4,500

160

180

Florida, all ...............................................

3,880

4,510

165

192

Red .......................................................

3,180

3,740

135

159

White ....................................................

700

770

30

33

Texas .....................................................

4,800

6,100

192

244

United States ..........................................

12,680

15,110

517

616

Tangerines and mandarins 3

California ................................................

19,200

21,000

768

840

Florida ....................................................

750

990

36

47

United States ..........................................

19,950

21,990

804

887

Lemons

Arizona ...................................................

1,000

1,390

40

56

California ................................................

21,200

21,000

848

840

United States ..........................................

22,200

22,390

888

896

1 Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80, Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in

California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80. 2 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in Florida and Texas. 3 Includes tangelos and tangors.

Crop Production (July 2019)

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USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class and Type ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019

[Blank data cells indicate estimation period had not yet begun]

Class, type and State

Area harvested

2018

2019

Yield per acre

2018

2019

Production

2018

2019

(acres)

(acres)

(pounds)

(pounds)

(1,000 pounds)

(1,000 pounds)

Class 1, Flue-cured (11-14) Georgia .......................................................................... North Carolina ................................................................ South Carolina ............................................................... Virginia ...........................................................................

12,500 152,000

12,300 21,000

10,000 122,000

10,000 17,000

1,900 1,650 1,800 2,000

1,900 2,000 2,000 2,200

23,750 250,800

22,140 42,000

19,000 244,000

20,000 37,400

United States .................................................................

197,800

159,000

1,712

2,015

338,690

320,400

Class 2, Fire-cured (21-23) Kentucky ........................................................................ Tennessee ..................................................................... Virginia ...........................................................................

11,000 7,600 280

8,000 6,400

220

3,200 3,050 1,950

35,200 23,180

546

United States .................................................................

18,880

14,620

3,121

58,926

Class 3A, Light air-cured Type 31, Burley

Kentucky .................................................................... North Carolina ............................................................ Pennsylvania .............................................................. Tennessee ................................................................. Virginia .......................................................................

50,000 750

4,000 5,300 1,000

45,000 400

2,500 3,500

700

1,600 1,500 2,200 1,700 1,500

80,000 1,125 8,800 9,010 1,500

United States .............................................................

61,050

52,100

1,645

100,435

Type 32, Southern Maryland Belt Pennsylvania ..............................................................

1,400

1,000

2,200

3,080

United States .............................................................

1,400

1,000

2,200

3,080

Total light air-cured (31-32) .........................................

62,450

53,100

1,658

103,515

Class 3B, Dark air-cured (35-37) Kentucky ........................................................................ Tennessee .....................................................................

7,100 2,800

5,000 1,900

2,700 2,650

19,170 7,420

United States .................................................................

9,900

6,900

2,686

26,590

Class 4, Cigar filler Type 41, Pennsylvania Seedleaf

Pennsylvania ..............................................................

2,400

2,200

2,300

5,520

United States .............................................................

2,400

2,200

2,300

5,520

All tobacco United States .................................................................

291,430

235,820

1,830

533,241

8

Crop Production (July 2019)

USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

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