PRICE FACTORS AND PREDICTIONS 2021 - General Steel
3
STEEL BUILDING
PRICE FACTORS
AND PREDICTIONS
2021
Every year we survey leading economists and organizations who specialize in predicting where the
price of steel will go over the next 12 months.
Here's what we found.
1
WHEN ASKED ABOUT WHAT FACTORS COULD INCREASE STEEL PRICES
PUBLISHED ECONOMISTS AND SAID
Steel prices increased by 3% in 2020 and in 2021 steel
is again predicted to increase by 4.10% or more
Construction spending is expected to increase due to
China's economic recovery and ending lockdowns
Suppliers have not turned on the blast furnaces shut
down during 2020, creating decreased supply
2
HISTORICALLY ECONOMISTS AND EXPERTS
UNDERPREDICT STEEL DEMAND AND PRICE GROWTH
PREDICTED STEEL PRICE INCREASE VS ACTUAL
5
4.1%
3.9%
4
3%
3
2
1.7%
1.4%
1
0
3
2019
Predicted
2019 Actual
2020
Predicted
2020 Actual
2020
Predicted
OTHER FACTORS THAT CAN INCREASE
STEEL PRICES IN THE UNITED STATES
Wars and Conflicts
Natural Disasters
Tariffs
Strength of the Dollar
Expert Prediction for 2021
¡°In 2021 steel demand is expected to recover to 1,795.1 Mt, an increase of 4.1 % over 2020. A
strong recovery in China will mitigate the reduction in global steel demand this year. The post
lockdown recovery in steel demand in the rest of the world has been stronger than was earlier
expected, but it still marks a deep contraction in 2020, both from developed and emerging
economies, with only a partial recovery expected in 2021..¡±
Al Remeithi ? Chairman of the World Steel Economics Committee
? General Steel Corporation
Learn More: Annual Steel Price Forecast
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