The Tallest 20 in 2020: Predictions vs. Reality - Council on Tall ...

Tall Buildings in Numbers

The Tallest 20 in 2020: Predictions vs. Reality

In the first edition of the 2012 Journal, CTBUH published a Tall Buildings in Numbers study titled Tallest 20 in 2020: Era of the Megatall--The Projected World's Tallest 20 Skyscrapers in the Year 2020. Now that we have arrived at the second edition of 2020, we look back on the fates of each of the buildings predicted to be the tallest in existence this year--and those that actually did make the list. This report serves as a companion to the research paper beginning on page 44, which provides more background. For an interactive version, and a link to the original article, visit tallest-in-2020.

The 20 Tallest Buildings in 2020

In this graphic, the 20 tallest buildings in 2020 are shown in the foreground, while the skyline that was originally predicted in 2012 is shown in gray in the background.

1. Jeddah Tower (2012 Name: Kingdom Tower) Jeddah, 1,000+ m

2. Burj Khalifa

Dubai

828 m

3. Ping An Finance

Center

Shenzhen

660 m

4. Seoul Light

DMC Tower

Seoul

640 m

5. Signature Tower Jakarta Jakarta 638 m 6. Shanghai Tower Shanghai 632 m

7. Wuhan Greenland Center Wuhan 606 m

8. Makkah Royal Clock Tower Hotel Makkah 601 m 9. Goldin Finance 117 Tianjin 597 m

10. Lotte World Tower Seoul 555 m

1. Burj Khalifa Dubai 828 m

2. Shanghai Tower Shanghai 632 m

3. Makkah Royal Clock Tower Mecca 601 m

4. Ping An

5. Lotte World

Finance Center Tower

Shenzhen

Seoul

599 m

555 m

6. One World Trade Center New York City 541 m

=7. Guangzhou CTF Finance Centre Guangzhou 530 m

=7. Tianjin CTF 9. CITIC

Finance Centre Tower

Tianjin

Beijing

530 m

528 m

10. TAIPEI 101 Taipei 508 m

Three of the 20 buildings on the original 2012 list were not completed as planned, due in part to aviation restrictions after the projects had already begun.

If each building had been constructed in sequence, the Tallest 20 in 2020 would have taken 126 years to complete.

The Burj Khalifa began life as the "Grollo Tower"--a 1990s development concept, originally proposed for Melbourne, Australia.

52 | Tall Building in Numbers

CTBUH Journal | 2020 Issue II

What HappKeeyn: e#d to the 2012 Completed, current rank PredictUendder CTonastlrluectisont 20 SkyPlrionpoesal?

While the timeline below shows the progress of each building between 2012 and 2020, some buildings completed prior to 2012.

Key: # Completed, current rank

Under Construction

Proposal

1. Jeddah Tower (Kingdom Tower)

2. Burj Khalifa (2010) 1

1. Jeddah Tower (Kingdom3T.oPwinerg) An Finance Center

Height changes from 660m to 599m

4

2. Burj Khalifa (42.0S1e0o)ul L1ight DMC Tower

3. Ping An Finance 5C.eSnitgenrature Tower Jakarta

Height changes from 660m to 599m

4

4. Seoul Light DMC Tower 6. Shanghai Tower

2

5. Signature Tower7J.aWkuarhtaan Greenland Center

Proposal height changes from 606m to 636m

Height changes from 636m to 476m On hold

6. Shangh8a. iMTaokwkearh Royal Clock Tower

3

2

7. Wuhan Greenland Cent9e.rGoldiPnroFpinosaanl hceeig1h1t7changes from 606m to 636m

Height changes from 636m to 476m

OOnnhhooldld

8. Makkah Royal Clock Tow1e0r. Lotte Worl3d Tower

5

9. Gold1i1n. FDinoahnacCeo1n1v7ention Center Tower Never completed

On hold

10. Lotte Worl1d2T.oOwneerWorld Trade Center

6

5

11. Doha Convent=io1n3C. GenuatenrgTzohwo(CeuhroCwTTFaNFi eFinovoeakrncGcouemaCnpgleeznthetodrue)

=7

12. One World T=ra1d3e. TCiaennjtienrCTF Finance Centre =13. Guangzhou CTF Finan(cTieanCjiennCthroew Tai Fook Binhai Center)

(Chow Tai Fook Gu1a5n. gDzhaoliua)n Greenland Center

6 =7 On hold

=13. Tianjin CTF Finance Ce1n6tr.ePentominium Tower

(Tianjin Chow Tai Fook Binhai Center)

On hold

=7

15. Dalian Greenland17C.eBnutsearn Lotte Town Tower

On hold

16.

Pentominium

Towe1r8.

TAIPEI 101 (2004)

On hold

10

17. Busan Lotte Town19T.oKwaeisra Feng Long Centre

500m proposal redesigned into a 250m building

20.1S8h. aTAngIPhEaIi1W01or(l2d0F0i4n)anc1i0al Center (2008) 11

19. Kaisa Feng Long Centre

2012

500m pr2o0po1s3al redesigned in2to0a12450m building 2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

=7 2020

20. Shanghai World Fin1a1n.cDiaol CheanCteorn(v2e0n08ti)on11 Center and Towe2r012 Doha 551 m

12. One World Trade Center New York City 541 m

=13. Guangzhou CTF

2013Finance Cen2t0r1e4

2015 15. Dalia2n01G6reenland 2017

(2012 Name: Chow Tai Fook

=13. Tianjin CTF

Guangzhou)

Finance Centre

Guangzhou 530 m

(2012 Name: Tianjin Chow Tai Fook Binhai

Center), Tianjin

530 m

Center Dalian 518 m

16. Pentominium Dubai 516 m

2018

2019

2020

17. Busan Lotte Town Tower Busan 510 m

19. Kaisa Feng Long Centre Shenzhen 500 m

18. TAIPEI 101 Taipei 508 m

20. Shanghai World Financial Center Shanghai 492 m

11. Shanghai World Financial Center Shanghai 492 m

12. International 13. Lakhta 14. Vincom

15. Changsha IFS =16. Petronas Twin

Commerce Centre Center

Landmark 81 Tower T1

Towers 1 & 2

Hong Kong

St. Petersburg Ho Chi Minh City Changsha

Kuala Lumpur

484 m

462 m

461 m

452 m

452 m

18. Suzhou IFS Suzhou 450 m

19. Zifeng Tower Nanjing 450 m

20. The Exchange 106 Kuala Lumpur 445 m

In 2012, South Korea was predicted to have three of the world's tallest buildings by 2020. Instead it has only one--but Lotte World Tower, Seoul, is the world's fifth-tallest building.

The Goldin Finance 117 tower was modeled after a walking stick.

The sum of heights of the

1,501 actual 20 Tallest Buildings in 2020 is 10,452 meters, meters compared to 11,953 for the 2012 projection.

CTBUH Journal | 2020 Issue II

Tall Building in Numbers | 53

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