Vehicle Fuel Economy Standards and Feebate System - aceee

[Pages:21]Vehicle Fuel Economy Standards and Feebate System

ACEEE International Symposium on Energy Efficiency

Washington DC, June 26, 2018

Zifei Yang Researcher

What is ICCT?

? ICCT is an independent non-profit research organization that provides technical support on transport efficiency and emission policies in major auto markets

2

1

Motivation of reducing vehicle fuel consumption

3

Vehicles make up more than 20% of

greenhouse gaTHsE eTRmANiSsPsORioT SnEsCTO...R A major contributor to global anthropogenic CO2 emissions

GLOBAL ANTHROPOGENIC EMISSIONS 38 GtCO2

TRANSPORT EMISSIONS 8.8 GtCO2

ROAD TRANSPORT EMISSIONS 6.5 GtCO2

4.6% 10.6%

Other 77%

Transport 23%

73.9% 10.9%

46.5% 53.5%

LEGEND

RAIL

AVIATION

ROAD

MARINE

HEAVY-DUTY VEHICLES

LIGHT-DUTY VEHICLES

Notes:

Global anthropogenic CO2 emissions in 2010 based on IPCC (2014).

Transport Sources:

CO2

emissions

in

2010

estimated

by

ICCT

(2014)

include

the

full

fuel

lifecycle,

including

direct

emissions

from

combustion

&

upstream

emissions

from

extraction,

refining,

&

distribution

of

fuels.

ICCT (2014). Global Transportation Roadmap Model. Available from

IPCC (2014). Summary for Policymakers. Climate Change 2014, Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate

4 Change [Edenhofer, O., R. Pichs-Madruga, Y. Sokona, E. Farahani, S. Kadner, K. Seyboth, A. Adler, I. Baum, S. Brunner, P. Eickemeier, B. Kriemann, J. Savolainen, S. Schl?mer, C. von Stechow, T. Zwickel and

J.C. Minx (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Integrated vehicle efficiency policy portfolio

Performance standards, economic signals, and technological innovation complement each other.

Market-based approach Information measure

VEHICLE PERFORMANCE

S TA N D A R D S

VEHICLE AND FUEL FEES AND

INCENTIVES

encourage AUTOMOAKERS to build efficient

products

encourage CONSUMERS

to demand efficient products

and drive less

Smart way Labeling

Reduce cost

TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION AND

DEPLOYMENT 5

2 Fuel efficiency standards

6

U.S. fuel economy/GHG standards

New passenger car average GHG (g/km)

Fuel economy (l/100km)

350

15

Historical performance

300

12

National FE

250

standards

200

9

150

6

California FE

100

standards

Future target 3

50

(2017-2025)

0

0

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

7

Technology innovation continues to lower projected costs of compliance with 2025 standards

? Costs of compliance with 2025 standards (vs. 2015) have decreased dramatically ? 2012 rulemaking: $1800 ? EPA assessment (PD-2016): $1300 ? ICCT assessment (2017): $886

? Consumer payback period is shortened ? EPA: 5 years due to lower oil price forecasts ? ICCT assessment: 3 years

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