December - Abington School District



Name _________________________________________ Date _________________________

2006-2007 Winter Forecast Challenge

Philadelphia International Airport is our local reporting station (note: average winter snowfall = 19.3 inches). Note that this is south and east of Abington and their overall winter conditions and their specific conditions during an actual winter storm can significantly differ from our reported conditions here in Abington.

|Time Period |Prediction: For temperature, predict a|Actual |Difference |Total Error |

| |degree value either above (+) or below | | | |

| |(-) normal. For snowfall use inches as| | | |

| |your unit. | | | |

|Ex. Nov. Temperatures |- 1.8 degrees |- 0.4 degrees |1.4 degrees |1.4 |

|Ex. Nov. Snowfall |0.2 inches |2.3 inches |2.1 inches |3.5 |

|December Temperatures |+ 0.3 (above normal) | | | |

|December Snowfall |2.7 inches | | | |

|January Temperatures |-1.3 (below normal) | | | |

|January Snowfall |10.3 inches | | | |

|February Temperatures |-0.8 (below normal) | | | |

|February Snowfall |5.8 inches | | | |

|March Temperatures |+ 2.3 (above normal) | | | |

|March Snowfall |2.2 inches | | | |

|Largest Snowstorm (inches) of the 2006-2007 |8.4 inches | | | |

|Winter | | | | |

|Month in Which We |January | | | |

|Will Receive Our Largest Snowstorm | | | | |

|Total Snow Days in ASD |2 | | | |

|Total Late Arrivals in ASD |3 | | | |

|Total Early Dismissals in ASD |1 | | | |

|Month, Day, and Year of First Measurable |December 5, 2006 | | | |

|Snowfall Recorded (“Trace” or Greater) at | | | | |

|Philadelphia International Airport | | | | |

|Bonus: Total Winter Snowfall Reported (inches) |29.1 inches | | |DOES NOT APPLY. |

|at Willow Grove Naval Base. If your prediction | | | |BONUS PREDICTION |

|is within 5 inches of the actual amount you may | | | |ONLY. SEE |

|discard the prediction that had the largest | | | |COLUMN ON FAR LEFT |

|value of error. Thus, this prediction will not | | | |FOR FURTHER DETAILS.|

|count against your total error. | | | | |

| Total Error = |

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