Crop Production 07/11/2019 ...
[Pages:27]Crop Production
ISSN: 1936-3737
Released July 11, 2019, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA).
Winter Wheat Production Up 1 Percent from June Durum Wheat Production Down 25 Percent from 2018 Other Spring Wheat Production Down 8 Percent from 2018 Orange Production Up 1 Percent from June
Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.29 billion bushels, up 1 percent from the June 1 forecast and up 9 percent from 2018. As of July 1, the United States yield is forecast at 51.8 bushels per acre, up 1.3 bushels from last month and up 3.9 bushels from last year's average yield of 47.9 bushels per acre. The area expected to be harvested for grain or seed totals 24.9 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 28, 2019, but up 1 percent from last year.
Hard Red Winter production, at 804 million bushels, is up 1 percent from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 259 million bushels, is up less than 1 percent from the June forecast. White Winter, at 227 million bushels, is up 2 percent from last month. Of the White Winter production, 23.2 million bushels are Hard White and 204 million bushels are Soft White.
Durum wheat production is forecast at 58.1 million bushels, down 25 percent from 2018. The United States yield is forecast at 42.9 bushels per acre, up 3.6 bushels from last year. Area expected to be harvested for grain or seed totals 1.36 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 28, 2019, but 31 percent below 2018.
Other spring wheat production is forecast at 572 million bushels, down 8 percent from last year. Area harvested for grain or seed is expected to total 12.1 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 28, 2019, but 6 percent below 2018. The United States yield is forecast at a 47.2 bushels per acre, down 1.1 bushels from last year. Of the total production, 542 million bushels are Hard Red Spring wheat, down 8 percent from last year.
The United States all orange forecast for the 2018-2019 season is 5.33 million tons, up 1 percent from last month and up 36 percent from the 2017-2018 final utilization. The Florida all orange forecast, at 71.6 million boxes (3.22 million tons), is up slightly from last month and up 59 percent from last season's final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 30.4 million boxes (1.37 million tons), unchanged from last month but up 60 percent from last season's final utilization. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 41.2 million boxes (1.85 million tons), is up slightly from last month and up 58 percent from last season's final utilization.
The California all orange forecast is 50.0 million boxes (2.00 million tons), up 2 percent from the previous forecast and up 10 percent from last season's final utilization. The California Navel orange forecast, at 40.0 million boxes (1.60 million tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but up 11 percent from last season's final utilization. The California Valencia orange forecast is 10.0 million boxes (400,000 tons), up 11 percent from last month and up 5 percent from last season's final utilization. The Texas all orange forecast, at 2.49 million boxes (106,000 tons), is up 33 percent from the previous forecast and up 32 percent from last season's final utilization.
This report was approved on July 11, 2019.
Secretary of Agriculture Designate
Bill Northey
Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson
Joseph L. Parsons
2
Crop Production (July 2019)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Contents Oat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019 ......................... 4 Barley Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019..................... 4 Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019............................................................................................................................................................................. 5 Durum Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019............................................................................................................................................................................. 6 Other Spring Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019............................................................................................................................................................................. 6 Wheat Production by Class ? United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019 .................................................................... 6 Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop ? States and United States: 2017-2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019............................................................................................................................................................................. 7 Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class and Type ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019........................................................................................................................................................... 8 Apricots Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019 .............................................................. 9 Almond Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019............................................................... 9 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units ? United States: 2018 and 2019................... 10 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units ? United States: 2018 and 2019 ....................... 12 Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units ? United States: 2018 and 2019 .................................................................. 14 Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units ? United States: 2018 and 2019 ....................................................................... 15 Winter Wheat Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab ? United States: 2015-2019 ............................... 16 Winter Wheat Heads per Square Foot ? Selected States: 2015-2019 ................................................................................... 17 Percent of Normal Precipitation Map ................................................................................................................................... 18 Departure from Normal Temperature Map ........................................................................................................................... 18 June Weather Summary ........................................................................................................................................................ 19 June Agricultural Summary .................................................................................................................................................. 19 Crop Comments .................................................................................................................................................................... 21 Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 24 Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................ 26
Crop Production (July 2019)
3
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Oat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019
State
Area harvested
2018
2019
Yield per acre
2018
2019
Production
2018
2019
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(bushels)
(bushels)
(1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)
California .............................
6
Idaho ....................................
10
Illinois ...................................
25
Iowa .....................................
33
Kansas .................................
18
Maine ...................................
19
Michigan ..............................
50
Minnesota ............................
105
Montana ...............................
23
Nebraska .............................
22
9
70.0
100.0
420
900
10
84.0
85.0
840
850
20
83.0
66.0
2,075
1,320
80
63.0
63.0
2,079
5,040
25
49.0
57.0
882
1,425
20
67.0
68.0
1,273
1,360
35
63.0
67.0
3,150
2,345
110
59.0
75.0
6,195
8,250
30
43.0
40.0
989
1,200
19
69.0
82.0
1,518
1,558
New York .............................
43
North Dakota ........................
105
Ohio .....................................
30
Oregon .................................
5
Pennsylvania .......................
35
South Dakota .......................
95
Texas ...................................
50
Wisconsin ............................
90
35
54.0
59.0
2,322
2,065
110
82.0
78.0
8,610
8,580
35
65.0
63.0
1,950
2,205
8
99.0
75.0
495
600
50
46.0
58.0
1,610
2,900
85
82.0
93.0
7,790
7,905
40
50.0
40.0
2,500
1,600
130
61.0
62.0
5,490
8,060
Other States 1 ......................
101
58
58.8
59.7
5,942
3,465
United States .......................
865
909
64.9
67.8
56,130
61,628
1 For 2018, Other States include: Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Missouri, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Washington, and Wyoming. For 2019, Other States include: Arkansas, Georgia, Missouri, North Carolina, and Oklahoma. Individual State level estimates will be published in the Small Grains 2019 Summary.
Barley Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019
State
Area harvested
2018
2019
Yield per acre
2018
2019
Production
2018
2019
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(bushels)
(bushels)
(1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)
Arizona ..............................
9
15
100.0
130.0
900
1,950
California ...........................
26
48
69.0
60.0
1,794
2,880
Colorado ............................
52
77
145.0
130.0
7,540
10,010
Idaho ..................................
530
485
101.0
98.0
53,530
47,530
Minnesota ..........................
67
77
76.0
72.0
5,092
5,544
Montana .............................
600
705
56.0
47.0
33,600
33,135
North Dakota ......................
385
535
74.0
78.0
28,490
41,730
Virginia ...............................
9
9
70.0
73.0
630
657
Washington ........................
67
93
73.0
68.0
4,891
6,324
Wyoming ............................
50
76
100.0
100.0
5,000
7,600
Other States 1 ....................
183
211
63.5
64.0
11,615
13,497
United States .....................
1,978
2,331
77.4
73.3
153,082
170,857
1 Other States include: Alaska, Delaware, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, New York, North Carolina, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Utah, and Wisconsin. Individual State level estimates will be published in the Small Grains 2019 Summary.
4
Crop Production (July 2019)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019
Area harvested
Yield per acre
Production
State
2018
2019
2018
2019
June 1
July 1
2018
2019
(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (bushels)
(bushels)
(bushels)
(1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)
Arkansas ........................
95
60
55.0
60.0
60.0
5,225
3,600
California ........................
110
135
77.0
65.0
65.0
8,470
8,775
Colorado .........................
1,950
2,150
36.0
41.0
44.0
70,200
94,600
Idaho ..............................
680
680
90.0
83.0
87.0
61,200
59,160
Illinois .............................
560
590
66.0
65.0
63.0
36,960
37,170
Indiana ...........................
260
260
71.0
69.0
67.0
18,460
17,420
Kansas ...........................
7,300
6,600
38.0
50.0
50.0
277,400
330,000
Kentucky .........................
300
320
66.0
77.0
77.0
19,800
24,640
Maryland .........................
200
165
63.0
67.0
75.0
12,600
12,375
Michigan .........................
470
490
76.0
74.0
75.0
35,720
36,750
Mississippi ......................
30
20
49.0
52.0
52.0
Missouri ..........................
520
470
59.0
56.0
60.0
Montana .........................
1,570
1,850
50.0
45.0
46.0
Nebraska ........................
1,010
970
49.0
50.0
53.0
North Carolina ................
370
225
57.0
56.0
53.0
North Dakota ..................
70
75
43.0
50.0
45.0
Ohio ................................
450
420
75.0
63.0
64.0
Oklahoma .......................
2,500
2,750
28.0
37.0
38.0
Oregon ...........................
695
730
67.0
57.0
58.0
South Dakota ..................
660
730
48.0
52.0
54.0
1,470 30,680 78,500 49,490 21,090
3,010 33,750 70,000 46,565 31,680
1,040 28,200 85,100 51,410 11,925
3,375 26,880 104,500 42,340 39,420
Tennessee ......................
285
225
65.0
67.0
66.0
18,525
14,850
Texas .............................
1,750
2,200
32.0
33.0
35.0
56,000
77,000
Virginia ...........................
155
115
60.0
67.0
66.0
9,300
7,590
Washington ....................
1,650
1,660
76.0
69.0
70.0
125,400
116,200
Wisconsin .......................
200
170
71.0
65.0
66.0
14,200
11,220
Other States 1 .................
902
864
53.5
52.4
52.2
48,244
45,086
United States ..................
24,742
24,924
47.9
50.5
51.8
1,183,939
1,290,626
1 For 2018, Other States include Alabama, Arizona, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming. For 2019, Other States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the Small Grains 2019 Summary.
Crop Production (July 2019)
5
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Durum Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019
State
Area harvested
2018
2019
2018
Yield per acre 2019
June 1
July 1
Production
2018
2019
(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres)
(bushels)
(bushels)
(bushels) (1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)
Arizona ........................ California ..................... Idaho ............................ Montana ....................... North Dakota ................ South Dakota 1 .............
70 33 11 775 1,075
3
44 42
5 585 680 (NA)
106.0 95.0 85.0 30.0 39.5 28.0
102.0 105.0 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
103.0 107.0
87.0 39.0 38.0 (NA)
7,420 3,135
935 23,250 42,463
84
4,532 4,494
435 22,815 25,840
(NA)
United States ...............
1,967
(NA) Not available. 1 Estimates discontinued in 2019.
1,356
39.3
(NA)
42.9
77,287
58,116
Other Spring Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019
State
Area harvested
2018
2019
Yield per acre
2018
2019
Production
2018
2019
(1,000 acres)
(1,000 acres)
(bushels)
(bushels)
(1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)
Colorado 1 .......................... Idaho .................................. Minnesota .......................... Montana ............................. Nevada 1 ............................ North Dakota ...................... Oregon 1 ............................ South Dakota ..................... Utah 1 ................................. Washington ........................
4 445 1,570 2,820
3 6,490
75 965
9 515
(NA) 460 1,480 2,500 (NA) 6,400 (NA) 770 (NA) 515
76.0 95.0 59.0 34.0 100.0 49.0 67.0 42.0 52.0 54.0
(NA) 86.0 62.0 32.0 (NA) 47.0 (NA) 48.0 (NA) 45.0
304 42,275 92,630 95,880
300 318,010
5,025 40,530
468 27,810
(NA) 39,560 91,760 80,000
(NA) 300,800
(NA) 36,960
(NA) 23,175
United States .....................
12,896
12,125
48.3
47.2
623,232
572,255
(NA) Not available. 1 Estimates discontinued in 2019.
Wheat Production by Class ? United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019
[Wheat class estimates are based on the latest available data including both surveys and administrative data. The previous end-of-year season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season for States that do not have survey or administrative data available.]
Crop
2018
2019
(1,000 bushels)
(1,000 bushels)
Winter Hard red ....................................... Soft red ........................................ Hard white .................................... Soft white .....................................
662,249 285,558
19,347 216,785
804,477 259,173
23,219 203,757
Spring Hard red ....................................... Hard white .................................... Soft white ..................................... Durum ..........................................
587,007 13,510 22,715 77,287
541,815 12,495 17,945 58,116
Total ............................................
1,884,458
1,920,997
6
Crop Production (July 2019)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop ? States and United States: 2017-2018 and
Forecasted July 1, 2019
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year]
Crop and State
Utilized production boxes 1
2017-2018
2018-2019
Utilized production ton equivalent
2017-2018
2018-2019
(1,000 boxes)
(1,000 boxes)
(1,000 tons)
(1,000 tons)
Oranges California, all ...........................................
Early, mid, and Navel 2 ......................... Valencia ................................................
45,400 35,900
9,500
50,000 40,000 10,000
1,816 1,436
380
2,000 1,600
400
Florida, all ............................................... Early, mid, and Navel 2 .........................
Valencia ................................................
45,050 18,950 26,100
71,600 30,400 41,200
2,028 853
1,175
3,222 1,368 1,854
Texas, all ................................................ Early, mid, and Navel 2 .........................
Valencia ................................................
1,880 1,530
350
2,490 2,200
290
80
106
65
94
15
12
United States, all .................................... Early, mid, and Navel 2 .........................
Valencia ................................................
92,330 56,380 35,950
124,090 72,600 51,490
3,924 2,354 1,570
5,328 3,062 2,266
Grapefruit
California ................................................
4,000
4,500
160
180
Florida, all ...............................................
3,880
4,510
165
192
Red .......................................................
3,180
3,740
135
159
White ....................................................
700
770
30
33
Texas .....................................................
4,800
6,100
192
244
United States ..........................................
12,680
15,110
517
616
Tangerines and mandarins 3
California ................................................
19,200
21,000
768
840
Florida ....................................................
750
990
36
47
United States ..........................................
19,950
21,990
804
887
Lemons
Arizona ...................................................
1,000
1,390
40
56
California ................................................
21,200
21,000
848
840
United States ..........................................
22,200
22,390
888
896
1 Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80, Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in
California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80. 2 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in Florida and Texas. 3 Includes tangelos and tangors.
Crop Production (July 2019)
7
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class and Type ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019
[Blank data cells indicate estimation period had not yet begun]
Class, type and State
Area harvested
2018
2019
Yield per acre
2018
2019
Production
2018
2019
(acres)
(acres)
(pounds)
(pounds)
(1,000 pounds)
(1,000 pounds)
Class 1, Flue-cured (11-14) Georgia .......................................................................... North Carolina ................................................................ South Carolina ............................................................... Virginia ...........................................................................
12,500 152,000
12,300 21,000
10,000 122,000
10,000 17,000
1,900 1,650 1,800 2,000
1,900 2,000 2,000 2,200
23,750 250,800
22,140 42,000
19,000 244,000
20,000 37,400
United States .................................................................
197,800
159,000
1,712
2,015
338,690
320,400
Class 2, Fire-cured (21-23) Kentucky ........................................................................ Tennessee ..................................................................... Virginia ...........................................................................
11,000 7,600 280
8,000 6,400
220
3,200 3,050 1,950
35,200 23,180
546
United States .................................................................
18,880
14,620
3,121
58,926
Class 3A, Light air-cured Type 31, Burley
Kentucky .................................................................... North Carolina ............................................................ Pennsylvania .............................................................. Tennessee ................................................................. Virginia .......................................................................
50,000 750
4,000 5,300 1,000
45,000 400
2,500 3,500
700
1,600 1,500 2,200 1,700 1,500
80,000 1,125 8,800 9,010 1,500
United States .............................................................
61,050
52,100
1,645
100,435
Type 32, Southern Maryland Belt Pennsylvania ..............................................................
1,400
1,000
2,200
3,080
United States .............................................................
1,400
1,000
2,200
3,080
Total light air-cured (31-32) .........................................
62,450
53,100
1,658
103,515
Class 3B, Dark air-cured (35-37) Kentucky ........................................................................ Tennessee .....................................................................
7,100 2,800
5,000 1,900
2,700 2,650
19,170 7,420
United States .................................................................
9,900
6,900
2,686
26,590
Class 4, Cigar filler Type 41, Pennsylvania Seedleaf
Pennsylvania ..............................................................
2,400
2,200
2,300
5,520
United States .............................................................
2,400
2,200
2,300
5,520
All tobacco United States .................................................................
291,430
235,820
1,830
533,241
8
Crop Production (July 2019)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
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