SeismicHazardandRiskAnalysis - Cambridge

Cambridge University Press 978-1-108-42505-6 -- Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis Jack Baker , Brendon Bradley , Peter Stafford Frontmatter More Information

Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis

Seismic hazard and risk analyses underpin the loadings prescribed by engineering design codes, the decisions by asset owners to retrofit structures, the pricing of insurance policies, and many other activities. This is a comprehensive overview of the principles and procedures behind seismic hazard and risk analysis. It enables readers to understand best practises and future research directions. Early chapters cover the essential elements and concepts of seismic hazard and risk analysis, while later chapters shift focus to more advanced topics. Each chapter includes worked examples and problem sets for which full solutions are provided online. Appendices provide relevant background in probability and statistics. Computer codes are also available online to help replicate specific calculations and demonstrate the implementation of various methods. This is a valuable reference for upper level students and practitioners in civil engineering, and earth scientists interested in engineering seismology.

Jack W. Baker is a Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Stanford University. His research focuses on the modelling of extreme loads on structures and infrastructure systems. He has industry experience in seismic hazard and risk assessment, ground motion selection, and modelling of catastrophe losses for insurance and reinsurance companies. He has recieved several awards for his research and teaching, including the Shah Family Innovation Prize from the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, the CAREER Award from the National Science Foundation, the Early Achievement Research Award from the International Association for Structural Safety and Reliability, the Walter L. Huber Research Prize from the American Society of Civil Engineers, the Helmut Krawinkler Award from the Structural Engineers Association of Northern California, and the Stanford Eugene L. Grant Award for excellence in teaching

Brendon A. Bradley is a Professor in the Department of Civil and Natural Resources Engineering at the University of Canterbury, New Zealand. His areas of interest include engineering seismology, strong ground-motion prediction, seismic response analysis of structural and geotechnical systems, and seismic performance and loss estimation methods. He has received several awards for his technical contributions, including the Royal Society of New Zealand Rutherford Discovery Fellowship, the Shamsher Prakash Foundation Research Award, the TC203 Young Researcher Award from the International Society of Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering, the Shah Family Innovation Prize from the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, the Norman Medal from the American Society of Civil Engineers, the New Zealand Prime Ministers Emerging Scientist Prize, the New Zealand Geotechnical Society Geomechanics Award, and the University of Canterbury Teaching Award.

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Cambridge University Press 978-1-108-42505-6 -- Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis Jack Baker , Brendon Bradley , Peter Stafford Frontmatter More Information

Peter J. Stafford is a Reader in Engineering Seismology and Earthquake Engineering at the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Imperial College London. His research interests are primarily in the areas of Engineering Seismology and Earthquake Engineering, with a particular focus upon the application of advanced probabilistic and statistical approaches in these fields. He has extensive professional consulting experience in international probabilistic seismic hazard and risk analysis projects for critical nuclear and hydro-electric power generation and gas extraction infrastructure. These projects, typically conducted under the SSHAC Level 3 or 4 frameworks, have led to the development of many state-of-the-art analysis approaches in the field. He also has significant experience with the reinsurance sector and providing inputs to the development of portfolio loss models.

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Cambridge University Press 978-1-108-42505-6 -- Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis Jack Baker , Brendon Bradley , Peter Stafford Frontmatter More Information

Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis

JACK W. BAKER

Stanford University, California

BRENDON A. BRADLEY

University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand

PETER J. STAFFORD

Imperial College London, United Kingdom

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Cambridge University Press 978-1-108-42505-6 -- Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis Jack Baker , Brendon Bradley , Peter Stafford Frontmatter More Information

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Information on this title: 9781108425056

DOI: 10.1017/9781108425056 ? Cambridge University Press 2021 This publication is in copyright. Subject to statutory exception and to the provisions of relevant collective licensing agreements, no reproduction of any part may take place without the written permission of Cambridge University Press.

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Cambridge University Press 978-1-108-42505-6 -- Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis Jack Baker , Brendon Bradley , Peter Stafford Frontmatter More Information

Contents

Preface

1 Introduction 1.1 Hazard and Risk Analysis 1.2 Uses of Hazard and Risk Information 1.3 Deterministic Analysis 1.4 Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis 1.5 Probabilistic Risk Analysis 1.6 Benefits of Probabilistic Analysis 1.7 Uncertainties in Probabilistic Analysis 1.8 Validation

Part I Hazard Inputs

2 Seismic Source Characterization 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Earth Structure and Plate Tectonics 2.3 Faults 2.4 Earthquake Processes 2.5 Earthquake Size 2.6 Definitions of Seismic Sources 2.7 Source Characteristics 2.8 Conceptual Development of SSMs Exercises

3 Characterization of Earthquake Rates and Rupture Scenarios 3.1 Introduction 3.2 Approaches to Determining Rupture Rates 3.3 Constraints from Seismicity Data 3.4 Geological Constraints on Activity 3.5 Magnitude-Frequency Distributions 3.6 Rupture Scenarios and Computation of Rates 3.7 Generation of Rupture Scenarios 3.8 Time-Dependent Rupture Rates Exercises

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